Sunday, November 22, 2009

Option expiry & Thanksgiving are positive for Markets !!!!

Option Expiry & Thanksgiving are a positive mix for the markets.

We made higher HIGHS in market last week & sold off hard...this has repaired technicals & overbought conditions.

S&P 500 went to 1113.69 a new 09 high & higher highs on chart..an ascending pattern..sign of technical strength despite neutral economic data.....

S&P 500 is Down 2% from its peak & RSI is @ 54.60....this time RSI did not go higher than 65 area......so...the trading range IS narrowing which CAN trap some optimistic traders.....

S&P 500 50 DMA is 1070.36 which IS roughly 21 points from where we closed on Friday......so there is always a risk that we test 50 DMA.......which will be a potential correction of 3.9% ????

Where are the opportunities in this market.....Gold,Silver,Ag,Shipping & Tech are looking ready to make another run UPWARDS......Solar MAY take a rest as their RSI are in deep overbought territory???

Here is my $ allocation @ Friday's close :

AAPL 26.20% Tech PC/Smartphones
GNK 22.95% Bulk Dry Shipping
M...11.22% Retail Department Store
LVS..10.72% Casino Operator
SLW.10.22% Silver Reseller
MRVL 10.01% Tech PC/Smartphones
AUY ..8.68% Gold Producer

As you can see I follow strict discipline in being diversified..which I highly recommend for everyone especially @ current elevated levels....

I will continue to trade out profitable positions & buy laggards based on RSI.....do NOT be complacent in this market as shorts are ready to pounce on any weakness....so stay alert !!!!

I will also book some loss to offset my gains for the year for tax purposes as capital gains are taxed @ 50% in Canada ..no matter IF you sell in 1 hour or 5 years.....tax treatment do not change.

Good luck on your strategy & comfort level with this market.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

5 comments:

  1. SALEEM

    Great blog
    thanks

    As always good luck

    ReplyDelete
  2. Hi Madmax,

    Thanks for your feedback.

    Saleem

    ReplyDelete
  3. Hello Saleem here is my current reserch
    I kinda like LVS and GS
    thoughts?

    NAME Target RSI
    APPLE $231.00 59.9
    AGU $59.00 67.8
    AUY $9.75 69.6
    M $29.00 45
    MRVL $23.00 53
    GS $210.00 42
    GE $23.00 55.7
    T $13.00 56.4
    LVS 46.7
    DVN 51.4

    ReplyDelete
  4. Hi Madmax,

    LVS is deeply oversold....

    GS is rebounding today....

    Both are good....split half half..

    Saleem

    ReplyDelete
  5. SALEEM

    thanks will do

    I sold the AGU as the profits were
    making me joy happy

    AG is king for now.
    thanks for your thoughts

    ReplyDelete