Tuesday, October 6, 2015

Indices mixed....

Indices are mixed with Dow green and other indices erasing most of the losses.

S&P 500 @ 1983.08, low 1971.99, high 1991.62

Internals are mostly positive

Oil UP $2.17

Gold UP $9.10

Canadian $ UP 50 tick @ 69.66

VIX Down .87% @ 19.37

In my portfolio :

Added 40% FIT @ $35.96

Portfolio BIDU CNQ FB FIT LULU NXPI VDSI

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.41 following are red :

FB FIT NXPI NFLX FEYE TSLA GOOGL TWTR RAD
LEN AMZN EXPE CMG FFIV YNDX HIMX CRUS
AAL M SBUX DATA CSOD MGA PCLN BRCM
GS.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, October 5, 2015

Indices closed UP 1.56% to 1.85%.....NICE !!!!

Indices closed higher.

S&P 500 @ 1987.05, high 1989.17, 1954.33

RSI @ 55.37

CMF @ 0.127

Internals were :

UP volume led by 15.44 to 1 in NYSE & 4.75 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 7.36 to 1 in NYSE & 3.79 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 31 in NYSE & 6 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 6.69% @ 19.54

Oil @ $46.26

Gold @ $1137.60

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included CNQ FB FIT
NFLX AMBA LNKD GOOGL SWIR TWTR TSL MU
LVS WYNN LEN CSIQ FSLR SPWR AMZN FFIV
MA V YNDX AMCC CIEN FNSR C QIHU AAL 
X STLD ABX SLW GG CCJ COH CSOD MS
Z GS AGU MLNX.......

AH ER....ILMN Down 15.12%

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets UP

AH Oil UP

AH Gold Down

About market, TAPE is showing back to back strong UP moves, S&P 500 has been UP 5 days in a row. Dow & S&P 500 are near 50 DMA and ready to take it out. Tonight IBD is saying " market in new uptrend". Jimmy the Cramer is "rethinking"...All indices closed @ high of the day, these moves happens few times in a year, IF you are in it, then only you get the benefit of "fast UP moves". Many stocks are still near lows and are ripe for UP moves.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices UP 1.52% to 1.75%....NICE !!!!!

Indices are UP right from open and building its gain, currently its @ high of the day.

S&P 500 @ 1985.35, high 1985.55, low 1954.33 ( open )

Internals are positive by 6 to 1 in NYSE & 3 to 1 in Nasdaq

Oil UP 81 cents

Gold UP 40 cents

Canadian $ UP 55 tick @ 69.08, recovery continues in Canadian $ against US$

VIX Down 7.98% @ 19.27

In my portfolio :

Bought FIT @ $37.70

Portfolio BIDU CNQ FB FIT LULU NXPI VDSI

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.28 following are red :

NXPI VDSI FEYE GPRO SU CRUS M SPLK
DATA......

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, October 4, 2015

Can the indices jump 5.73% from here ?

There was a consensus building as to the direction of this TAPE......it was a unanimous conclusion of all technicians, fundamental trackers, HFT and traders.......it was a fast drop to 1600 in S&P 500.....

The trouble with consensus IS that everyone is positioned to " benefit from that thesis "..so everyone in that group had either sold their position or were heavily short this market.......or many variations of that strategy....

Guess what..... we never took out August low of 1867.01......so the-most optimistic short like Louise Yamada & Carter Worth were off by only 267 points or 14.30% in S&P 500......BUT they were very convincing on CNBC with their 40 way charts.......

I am glad that i never take these "charts seriously"...they reflect "past not future"

Future is not ours to see but be ready.....

Ready we were in this BLOG for a long long time, that this is a "TAPE trying to digest many issues"

Wall Street has the unique capability to "take sure shot bet money into heaven" and they never return to this planet earth......

After 7 weeks of holding support and not breaking below August low, any rational mind should have known that "wall Street does not wait that long to break any lows "

BUT....emotions,charts and "death crosses" forces many smart people to see down down & down......see everything were sloping down on charts...but that slope had hit mud..so was stuck in the mud for 7 weeks ......

And bulls and bears hit multi decade low this Wednesday, a gap of 10.4% lead for bears..i do not recall such a lead for bears in a long long long time....as many BLOG readers know that these are "unbelievable reliable contrary indicators"

IF we follow basic TAPE action, it would have told us that we are building a nice base for a major move UP.......

SO....what we do, TAPE comes within 5 points of August low and made a U or V turn whichever turns you like......

And to top all of the doom scenario, we got a lousy jobs report..you can imagine Yamada & Worth excitement with that report..when we went down 258 Dow points in a hurry......BUT something strange happened to fast trip to 1600..we turned UP 200 points, a turnaround of 458 points..but that is being challenged by few diehard bears as nothing significant ?

Bottom line is that, we have moved 79.45 points or 4.24% in S&P 500 in 4 trading days......

Next target is a move to 50 DMA which is only 2.60% away...which 50.77 points to 2002.13 in S&P 500...

After that, we may push towards 200 DMA which is 111.75 points from current level or another 5.73% to make a "golden cross"......goodbye "death cross"

These are not difficult targets to get to 2063.11 in S&P 500.....

SO..relax and get on board with this 'Changed bullish TAPE"

It was a painful 8 weeks, but last 4 days were "super sweet"

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, October 2, 2015

Indices closed UP 1.23% to 1.74%....NICE !!!!

Jobs report showed growth of 142K , 50 K short of expectations, market tanked 258 points and closed above 200 points ...why....because momentum was building for an up move as sellers were exhausted by 1030 AM.......& we had the-best reversal in 4 years and closed @ highest point of the day.....

S&P 500 @ 1951.36, high 1951.36, low 1893.70

RSI @ 49.20

CMF @ 0.060

Internals were :

UP volume led by 5.44 to 1 in NYSE & 5.04 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 3.07 to 1 in NYSE & 2.18 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk lows were leading by 225 in NYSE & 163 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 7.14% @ 20.94

Oil @ $45.54

Gold @ $1136.60

Canadian $ @ 68.52, highest level in weeks....

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included BIDU CNQ VDSI
YY YHOO TSLA GOOGL BABA TWTR TSL COH MU
LVS WYNN JKS CSIQ FSLR SPWR AMZN SINA
EXPE EBAY YUM FFIV YELP YNDX HIMX
CRUS SNDK CIEN FNSR QIHU AMCC X
GMCR STLD ABX SLW GG AEM CCJ
DATA CSOD AGU TRIP MLNX.....

In my portfolio :

Added 33% CNQ @ $19.33

Here is my weighting :

FB      23.70%

BIDU  22.94%

LULU 18.42%

NXPI  13.27%

VDSI  11.48%

CNQ   10.19%

Exposure 310%

Next post by 2 PM on Sunday

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, October 1, 2015

Indices closed mixed......

Indices closed mixed.

S&P 500 @ 1923.82, high 1927.21, low 1900.70

RSI @ 43.61

CMF @ -0.025

Internals were :

Down volume led by .92 to 1 in NYSE & 1.14 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.04 to 1 in NYSE & 1.45 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk lows were leading by 154 in NYSE & 163 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 7.96% @ 22.55

Oil @ $44.74

Gold @ $1113.70

AH ER..MU UP 6.97%

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil UP

AH Gold Down

About market, TAPE was extremely erratic, first UP then Down and then closing mostly green. Technically we have confirmation of this recovery from S&P 500 & Nasdaq. Also we made higher highs today, all in all a good day for this TAPE. Its all about jobs data, as we have some kind of momentum now, it may propel us higher.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices down .48% to .68%.....

Indices are lower after a strong day yesterday, off their worst levels though...

S&P 500 @ 1912.58, low 1900.70, high 1927.21

Internals are negative by 2 to 1 in Nasdaq

Oil Down 16 cents

Gold Down $2.30

Canadian $ UP 57 tick @ 67.45

VIX Down 4.57% @ 23.38

In my portfolio :

Added 40% VDSI @ $16.83

Portfolio BIDU CNQ FB LULU NXPI VDSI

Most stocks are down

@ 2.30 following are green :

VDSI FEYE NFLX SWIR PCLN GOOGL RAD
LEN AMZN SINA EXPE CMG EBAY FFIV
SPWR SNDK CIEN AAL SBUX DATA 
GS TRIP MLNX.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem