Friday, September 29, 2023

Indices closed mixed....

 Indices closed mixed after a strong start.

S&P 500 @ 4288.05, low 4274.86, high 4333.15

RSI @ 34.02

Internals were :

Down volume led by 1.32 to 1 in NYSE & .65 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.23 to 1 in NYSE & .95 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 86 in NYSE & 122 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 1.04% @ 17.52

Oil @ $90.79

Gold @ $1850.44

Canadian $ @ .6459

Here is my portfolio weighting :

SHOP      51.64%

AI            11.14%

PLTR      10.48%

TSLA      10.38%

NVDA       9.30%

META       6.82%

BTCC          .24%

Next post by 6 PM on Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, September 28, 2023

Indices closed UP .35% to .87%....NICE !!!

 Indices closed UP on calmer Interest rate yield.

S&P 500 @ 4299.70, high 4317.27, low 4264.38

RSI @ 35.16

Internals were :

UP volume led by 2.58 to 1 in NYSE & 1.59 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 2.21 to 1 in NYSE & 1.55 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 261 in NYSE & 264 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 4.83% @ 17.34

Oil @ $91.71

Gold @ $1878.60

Canadian $ @ .6521

Portfolio AI META NVDA PLTR SHOP TSLA BTCC

Indices showed sign of life Russell 2000 was the biggest % gainer followed closely by Nasdaq. Expect another short covering day on Friday, being last day of the week, month & quarter.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Wednesday, September 27, 2023

Indices closed mixed....

 Indices closed mixed as we were deeply oversold.

S&P 500 @ 4274.51, high 4292.07, low 4238.63

RSI @ 30.50

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.11 to 1 in NYSE & 1.35 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by .96 to 1 in NYSE & 1.13 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 384 in NYSE & 298 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 3.80% @ 18.22

Oil @ $93.68

Gold @ $1890.90

Canadian $ @ .6483

Portfolio AI META NVDA PLTR SHOP TSLA BTCC

Russell 2000 was the biggest gainer BUT Nasdaq stole the show with a higher than average volume higher close, Nasdaq has the feel of a convincing REVERSAL.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, September 26, 2023

Indices closed down 1.14% to 1.57%.....

 Indices closed near low of the day.

S&P 500 @ 4273.53, low 4265.98, high 4313.01

RSI @ 30.32

Internals were :

Down volume led by 8.0 to 1 in NYSE & 2.11 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 5.88 to 1 in NYSE & 2.10 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 351 in NYSE & 346 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 12.07% @ 18.94

Oil @ $90.39

Gold @ $1919.80

Canadian $ @ .6486

Portfolio AI META NVDA PLTR SHOP TSLA BTCC

Stocks took a beating on higher yield of 4.56% and imminent Government shutdown. DOW & Russell 2000 went below 200 DMA, June support is being tested.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, September 25, 2023

Indices closed UP .13% to .45%....NICE !!!

 Indices closed UP despite rising yield.

S&P 500 @ 4337.44, high 4338.51, low 4302.70

RSI @ 35.99

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.22 to 1 in NYSE & 1.44 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.23 to 1 in NYSE & 1.14 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 289 in NYSE & 381 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 1.74% @ 16.90

Oil @ $89.68

Gold @ $1936.60

Canadian $ @ .6521

Portfolio AI META NVDA PLTR SHOP TSLA BTCC

Despite closing green in major Indices, Internals were mostly negative. We need better Internals for 2 days to call this a turn for better.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, September 24, 2023

US Stock market Risk vs Reward.......

 US stock market is going through another of those bouts where, nothing is working except those short the market....

Every sector which I monitor is down anywhere from highs about 3.96% to 17.00%....

Individual stocks are taking IT on the chin and they are on the race to new 52 week lows, some major stocks have already made It to new 52 week low list.....

Only in end of July about 8 weeks ago most sectors were making new 52 weeks high.....

SO

What changed in last 8 weeks....

Biggest change IS INTEREST RATE have skyrocketed to 16 years high....look @ 2 year & 10 year rates not a source of confidence

Interest rates alone is causing havoc in corporate financing & Individual financing a bad mix of financial pressure....

Banks are also impacted by high high Interest rates as few were ready for 5% +++

Interest rate alone is causing PE compression for all stocks......

Even high flying energy stocks is down 3.96% from high IF we take XLE close.

SOX as a sector is worst hit with 17.00% lower from high

RUSSELL 2000 is 2nd worst with a slump of 11.11% from high...

SO

There is NO PLACE TO HIDE...

BUT.....one has to look @ RISK / REWARD ratio....

Those who are afraid of these swings may take It as a warning sign of more downside....

BUT OPTIMISTIC trader like me may take a different view, time to get overexposed in discounted stocks

In my opinion, based on history, we may be close to major support in markets & individual stocks...

RISK / REWARD IS VERY COMPELLING....

Wall street offers no guarantees BUT being patient and staying with conviction, pays off in the long run.

Good luck with your own analysis and comfort level.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Friday, September 22, 2023

Indices closed down .09% to .31%.....

 Indices closed down on high interest rate & inflation concern.

S&P 500 @ 4320.06, low 4316.49, high 4357.40

RSI @ 32.82

Internals were :

Down volume led by 1.31 to 1 in NYSE & 1.28 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.12 to 1 in NYSE & 1.29 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 199 in NYSE & 328 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 1.94% @ 17.20

Oil @ $90.03

Gold @ $1946.20

Canadian $ @ .6527

Here is my portfolio weighting :

SHOP      52.19%

AI            11.12%

TSLA      10.55% 

PLTR        9.61%

NVDA       9.25%

META      7.04%

BTCC        .24%

Next post by 6 PM on Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem