Sunday, January 12, 2025

2025 challenging US stock market continues....

 US stock market is displaying technical deterioration in major Indices.....

Even the strongest stocks are on the weak side.....

CES did the-most damage to " quantum frenzy "

Even NVDA was " evasive " in terms of how the business is going....round & round answers given.....

2025 looks like a " negative year " after 2 years of frenzied gains....

As they say " First 5 trading days sets the tone for rest of the year "

Tone is down down down.....

This year of 2025 will find most traders " NOT READY FOR A DOWN MARKET "

Speculative stocks are being crushed 40% @ a time.......

Hard to recover from such a beating.....

There is really no way to hide from a " bear market "

IF you are in the market, you will be negative unless you go for " Money Market " OR T Bills "

Not much of a hope I can share unless you get very very lucky with your stocks....or your timing is PERFECT.....

SO keep CASH on hand for end of the year bargain hunting.....

Good luck with your own take and comfort level.....

Here is my week result :

Last week Down 1.78%

YTD UP 3.99%

Here is my weighting :

SHOP         15.79%

GDXJ         13.79%

AVGO        13.65%

TSLA         13.57%

MSFT        10.76%

AAPL           7.62%

GOOG         7.06%

SMCI           6.59%

BTCC          5.41%

RIOT           3.35%

MU              2.41%

Next post when I buy or sell or on Sunday as usual!

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

9 comments:

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Salem & Stocktrader,
Just bought VGT & IWM for my daughter ROTH. Thank you both for the recommendation!

Stocks100 said...

Hi Simon,

Good luck to your daughter's ROTH investment.

Saleem

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Added 100% MU.NE @ $21.50 in Toronto.

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Good luck with more MU!

I just got back from an AZ trip this weekend and have an eye appointment today so I'll be a bit slow with computing the numbers...

Stocktrader

Stock Rookie said...

Thank you & good luck with more MU!

Hope all well with your eyes apt Stocktrader.

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Sold UEC @ 6.99

The uranium stocks are driven by news flow, but actual earnings power won't come for many years. I sell this now on a poor chart and to add to other names I think have more immediate catalysts.

Trimmed ZENV @ 2.66 (as I am trying to do consistently)

Added small to OSIS @ 152.08
Added small x2 to ATOM @ 10.60 and 10.72
Added small to CRNC @ 14.35
Added small to PSNL @ 5.28
Added half position size to BITU @ 47.26 (to bring it up to a full size)

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Stock Rookie,

The eyes are doing better than they have in a long time so that's such a positive development for my quality of life. Thank you for the well wishes :)

Good luck with the IRA positioning - hopefully can just let it run now!

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Last week: -10.15% (YTD: -3.37%)
Portfolio Leaders: ZENV PLNT
Portfolio Laggards: ATOM BMR CRNC PSNL

It was a brutal week for the portfolio as highfliers came crashing back down due to further increasing rates and profit taking in the new year. Even though the averages also declined (with the Russell 2000 down nearly 3.5%), specific stocks in the portfolio were hit extremely hard (ATOM BMR CRNC all fell 20%+). I see most of this selling as "predictable" and think that once the selling has run its course, we can see them grind back higher again as company prospects look bright. Valuation should always be a factor in buying or selling a stock and I feel like my stocks are at valuations with which I'm comfortable despite this volatile start to the year. I look forward to earnings season and company guidance to make further determinations.

Holdings (after today's moves): OSIS ATOM CRNC CNK PLNT GTLS ZENV BITU PSNL BMR, cash 0%

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with repositioning in many stocks, its always important to re-evaluate what is NOT working.....

Saleem