Sunday, May 11, 2025

US stock market to move above trading range....

 US stock market has digested " trade war related rhetoric "....

Discussion with China went well for 2 days.....

SO trade fiasco is being mended slowly....which IS a good thing

US stock market should go above recent trading range....

Many stocks have found support and is ready to move higher...

Overexposure in stock market is highly recommended in a " diversified portfolio "

Here is my last week result :

Last week down .34%

YTD down 3.38%

Here is my weighting :

SHOP         19.66%

GOOG        13.01%

AAPL           9.72%

TSLA           9.59%

UBER          7.96%

AVGO         7.28%

ABX            6.94%

NVDA         6.89%

MSFT         6.51%

SMCI          5.95%

AMZN        3.50%

MU             2.99%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

23 comments:

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Added 100% ABX.TO @ $25.82

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Good luck with more ABX!

Stocktrader

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Salem,

Good luck with more ABX. It's a great day to buy..

Simon

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Last week: +8.20% (YTD: -27.03%)
Portfolio Leaders: DAVE AEVA PSNL SSYS
Portfolio Laggards: FATN RXRX

In a digestion week for the overall markets, the portfolio posted its second 8%+ gain in a row thanks to great earnings from individual companies. Last week we saw some actual stock picking and investors not worrying as much about the broader market or economy. Ultimately this is the way to make money in any market except deep bears where literally nothing is working, but in any kind of mixed to good environment, there are always standout performers and we should look to find those consistently. The MAJOR mistake I made last year was not remembering this important aspect of investing and it hurt me even into this year (as I finally started trying some explosive growth stocks right as the market sent them out of favor). I will continue to evaluate the portfolio and line up new potential ideas, and then rotate as needed to capture the next good idea. For now, the portfolio is in a position I like, even if we see some pullback or digestion (especially after a day like today!)

Holdings: DAVE UPST RZLV RBRK CFLT AVAV SSYS PSNL III CVCO FATN, cash 0%

Stocktrader

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Stocktrader,
Congrats on your stella consecutive weeks of gains. Hopefully, it will continue...

Simon

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Salem & Stocktrader,
I sold a little of SOXL & TECL and bought some FATN @6.85 today.

Simon

Stocks100 said...

Hi Simon,

Good luck with FATN....

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Simon,

Nice gains with the leverage ETFs!

Good luck to all of us with FATN...

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

ODD looks like a buy here at $61 on the insider sell. If it stays in this area, I will sell something at close to have buying power for tomorrow...

Stocktrader

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Stocktrader,
Thank you for your kind words and thank you for ODD information!

Simon

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Sold CFLT @ 22.18 (the market orders took forever to execute)

The stock will likely need quite a while to repair the technicals and I think there will be better opportunities out there. I'll take the quick gain on a post-earnings overreaction.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Sold CVCO @ 542.57 ahead of earnings

Despite relative strength, I think the valuation is fair and some aspects of the quarter are worth viewing from the sidelines for me. I need to understand more about the underlying sales/financing trends and material/labor costs before re-engaging with the investment.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Trimmed my overweight in DAVE @ 175.49

This move has gapped the stock back to a more fair valuation, so I take the excess and look for another position (as the stock is up nearly 100% since my purchase).

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Trimmed a bit of RBRK @ 82.39 to bring it down to equal weight after outperformance.

I have 3 positions cash available now.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Nice strategy of locking gains & bringing to more normalized weighting...

Good luck with 3 picks !!!

Saleem

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Stocktrader,
Congrats on booking profits! Good luck with your next pick!

Simon

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

I got my whole fill of ODD @ 61.00

I'm quite happy :)

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

I struggle to foresee a negative catalyst coming but certainly we are due for some profit taking/breather. I have two positions to allocate and two new ideas but one of the charts is quite extended, although still "undervalued".

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Also, AEVA reports after the bell and I wonder if I should keep some cash available if it dips.

Also, PONY remains intriguing despite the spectre of broad Chinese-stock delisting. The lockup expiration is on May 25th, but many of the key executives have signed agreements to not sell for 1.5 years. I wonder if since the trade rhetoric between the two countries has softened we might see a de-listing push get backburnered for now.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Bought TTMI @ 30.05

An electronic equipment manufacturer that supplies key industries like aerospace and data centers, its earnings report and guidance recently were ahead of expectations even with the automotive segment sluggish still. Upside to estimates, undervaluation versus peers even with the run, a recently announced buyback program, and relative strength price action makes me interested here.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Bought CVLT @ 181.09

Seeing increasing traction in its cyber-resilience segment, the measured but persistently positive price action (similar to RBRK's) puts me onto this name.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

YES....market IS extended NOW.....thus patience & conviction is required....

Good luck with ODD, TTMI & CVLT....

Saleem

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Stocktrader,
Good luck with all three stocks today and thank you for the new stock picks!

Simon