Tuesday, November 30, 2010

All indices closed lower.....

Market is trying to digest European debt crisis, which has resulted in lower Euro = Higher US$..

This is the reverse of what was happening before when US$ was heading lower & lower......

Considering the above chaos in currencies,S&P 500 seems to be holding its own.S&P 500 closed @ 1180.55,low @ 1174.14 while 50 DMA is @ 1178.07........

So far the technical picture is intact,while declines were in the lead in all indices by a ratio of over 2 to 1 on the downside.....

Wed close should end the debate IF this correction is over.....

Chinese PMI came in better than consensus.....actual 55.2 vs expectations of 54.7......

Chinese input cost were hotter @ 73.5 vs 69.9 previous month.....this is like PPI...which puts inflation hotter & MAY result in further tightening.

In my portfolio :

Sold NFLX

Portfolio is AUY,BIDU,FFIV,JKS,AAPL,AMZN,LVS...

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included AUY,NFLX,SLW,ISRG,TCK,
RIMM.....

Solar stocks were in deep trouble thanks to Euro weakness..some were down from 7% to 9%...

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian markets Down

AH Oil UP

AH Gold UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Higher lows in S&P 500.....Technically strong picture !!!!

S&P 500 is making higher lows two days in a row,now making a run for green...

Bull market TAPE is always like this ,weak in AM then getting stronger by close.

Gold UP $22.70

Oil Down 46 cents

Canadian $ Down 57 tick @ 97.52 due to weak Canadian GDP....

Portfolio is AUY,BIDU,FFIV,JKS,AAPL,AMZN,LVS,NFLX

VIX 22.48 UP 4.41%

@ 1.29 following are green :

NFLX,AUY,LVS,WYNN,SLW,POT,TCK,
ISRG,M,X,GG,MA,LEN,CTRN,LULU,
AEM,ABX,RIMM.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

PS..was tied up in phone calls,thus delay in posting.

Saleem

Monday, November 29, 2010

Only .14% to .37% pullback @ close...NICE !!!!

This bull market showed its resiliency again by erasing most of the losses by close.How we close is absolutely critical in any market.

S&P 500 found support above previous low of 1173......we closed @ 1187.76..RSI @ 49.17.
S&P 500 also closed above 50 DMA of 1177.31.....we have NOT closed below 50 DMA since end of August......

Today had the feel of selling getting exhausted.Buying on weakness is a strategy which i have followed & stocks that are NOT working out as planned should be sold.

In my portfolio :

Bought LVS @ $49.50

Portfolio is AUY,BIDU,FFIV,JKS,AAPL,AMZN,LVS,NFLX......

As you can clearly see, that i have high comfort level with this market.Sometimes i get sloppy with some weak stocks then wake up on a day like today to prune them out.Another strategy which i have been very successful is to trade in & out of many strong stocks which has high volatility like AAPL......

SO IF you are tracking my portfolio, please keep in mind that i may sell into strength or IF i find a better trading idea.It is never a reflection about how i feel about that particular stock,I may buy the same stock next day IF price is right based on charts.

This market is like dot.com days of 1998-2000,thus trading extremely high beta stocks are highly desirable...that is what i am getting into.High RSI are not necessarily bad in this type of market.

Strong stocks which were UP 1% or more included AMZN,NFLX,SLW,IBN,X,CREE,TCK,BAC,
NVTL.....

Before open TSL reports,expecting a beat & upbeat commentary about upcoming Q & higher guidance......

AH Futures Down

AH Asian markets Down

AH Gold,Oil Down

AH Silver UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

S&P 500 made double bottom ?

S&P 500 went down to 1173.64 higher than previous low of 1173......maybe we have a double bottom....

YES..it is all about European Debt.......

Gold UP $3.40

Oil UP $1.37

Canadian $ Down 12 tick @ 97.72

In my portfolio :

Sold AGU

Sold WYNN

Bought AMZN @ $179.80

Bought AAPL @ $313.59

Doubled my position in JKS @ $25.83

Portfolio is AUY,BIDU,FFIV,JKS,AAPL,AMZN,NFLX....

Most stocks are down

VIX @ 22.95 UP 3.29%

@ 12.16 following are Green :

NFLX,AMZN,AUY,SLW,FMCN,SINA,
CTRN,AEM,SNE,GS,IBN...

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, November 28, 2010

Will Europe & Korea put pressure on Wall Street?

Wall Street is bracing for European debt crisis to boil over & Korean peninsula to light another fire......

I personally believe that Wall Street last week showed tremendous resiliency even in thin trading.....

Wall Street lost about 1% for the week when faced with news from China,Europe & Korea.....that is saying a lot about the strength of this market.....

Retail sales picture will play a larger role in how we trade next week......

Even when we are facing slight downward pressure in market, many strong stocks are making new highs.....

As this IS a strong bull market,buying strong stocks on down days are proving to be a smart move.....so any weakness should be bought.

IF we look @ S&P 500 i expect it to find strong support in 1170 area..RSI @ 49.90 is quite compelling.S&P 500 closed @ 1189.40

Retail traders have remained negative on the market & has pulled cash out for 28 straight week..latest week they pulled $2.8 billion in cash......it is hard to interpret why retail are so negative for 7 months while markets have gone straight UP from May low of 1010.91.Retail are a real contrary indicator...???

Hedge funds have been marking time also & MAY jump in when they feel markets is not going lower...could be a very strong finish to end of the year...i am expecting new highs in S&P 500 & Dow by end of December......

IF you are trying to analyze this market & draw a comparable...look to 1998 to 2000 chart of Nasdaq when Nasdaq went from 1500 to 5000 area in a span of two years......no markets are identical but can give you some idea.......

Technology stocks are making all time highs on a daily basis & should continue to do so......

SO..either you can worry all about Europe & Korea or use any weakness to position in better stocks.......

December will be a very strong month on a historical basis.

Ensure that your portfolio is positioned for strong gains.....

Good luck with your OWN strategy & homework.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Saturday, November 27, 2010

Buy rated stocks.....

Following stocks are flashing buy signal.Please do your OWN due diligence by checking FA/TA/TAPE.

JDSU,MELI,DAL,UAL,KNOT,MIPS,
DNN,NCTY,RMBS,SIMO,HST,KKD,
NUAN,SNDK,NM,RBY,LTXC,USU,
AAU......

Next post by noon Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, November 26, 2010

Europe & Korea caused negative close....

Indices closed down .34% to .85% based on renewed fear about Debt in Euro Zone,Korea also played a role in downward pressure.....

Gold Down $10.00

Oil Down 8 cents

Canadian $ Down 99 tick @ 98.06

VIX UP 13.6% @ 22.22

In my portfolio :

Sold AAPL

Sold LVS

Sold 50% AGU

Bought JKS @ $27.00

Bought NFLX @ $188.60

Portfolio is AGU,AUY,BIDU,FFIV,JKS,NFLX,WYNN

Most stocks were Down

@ close following were UP :

NFLX,BIDU,CRM,AKAM,FFIV,AAPL,
JDSU,FNSR,ARUN,MGA,JRCC...

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

PS...Next post by noon Saturday.

Saleem