Friday, December 31, 2010

Nasdaq weakest near close.....

Indices are mostly flat, but Nasdaq showing some weakness.

Today is weekly Option Expiry which is affecting some high fliers as they were brought below certain strike price.....

Gold UP $13.10

Oil UP $1.50

Canadian $ UP 40 tick @ 100.40..a record high in a year....

In my portfolio :

Bought MGM @ $14.65

Added 20% RVBD @ $35.59

Portfolio is BAC,FFIV,PCLN,AUY,MGM,RVBD,AAPL,AMZN.....

Strong stocks includes WYNN,LVS,SLW,TCK,POT,ISRG,FNSR,
FMCN,GG,ECA,ABX,GS....

Post was delayed due to New Year preparation.

Wishing Happy New Year to all BLOG visitors.

Next post by noon Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, December 30, 2010

Mild pullback in all Indices....

Indices pulled back @ close by .15%...pretty good considering we are very near two year highs..

Internals of the markets were slightly negative...

Stocks which were UP included RVBD,LULU,ARUN,POT,AGU,
TCK,SOHU,IBN,MOS,M,X,SOL,SNDK.....

AH Futures UP

AH Asian markets Mixed

AH Oil Down

AH Gold UP

On a personal note,completed my printout for 2010 for Tax filing purposes.In Canada Capital Gains rules are different from US.... it is 50% taxed for all gains & 50% carryover of all Loss.You are charged same 50% if you hold for 1 day or 10 years....50% is added to your TAXABLE income.Loss can be applied against Gains only..No Loss is allowed IF you have NO gains.....

In stocks i lost 3.3% for the year....

On my short US$ & long Canadian $,I had a gain of 51.1%......I am continuing this strategy in 2011 as i expect Canadian $ to gain further against US$...

Overall i had a gain of 47.8%......

First Eight months of the year was not good for me in stocks , as markets were quite erratic until end of August.....after that it was a slow crawl back ending in 3.3% loss.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices slightly RED in holiday trading.....

Indices are down in slow holiday trading.

Gold Down $9.30

Oil Down $1.77

Canadian $ Down 2 tick @ 99.92

Portfolio is BAC,FFIV,PCLN,RVBD,AUY,AAPL,AMZN

Most stocks are Down

@ 12.11 following are GREEN :

RVBD,POT,LULU,TCK,AKAM,AGU,MOS,SOHU,
M,X,LEN,JDSU,CIEN,SNDK,CRUS,ARUN,EBIX,
ASIA,FMCN,RCI,IBN,SNDA,TTM,VAR....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Wednesday, December 29, 2010

Indices closed GREEN...NICE !!!

Market continues to give a clear signal that it wants to go higher.All indices closed green.

China PMI came in @ 54.4 in December vs 55.3 in November......Dec data slowed to a 3 month low...but it is being digested by Asian markets..Shanghai is Down .36% improving from previous low of almost 1% Down......Hang Seng is Down .12% after being Down .7%......

Currently US Futures are UP

AH Oil UP

AH Gold Down

Stocks which were UP included FFIV,PCLN,RVBD,AMZN,GOOG,AGU,POT,
WYNN,BIDU,CNQ,MOS,IBN,IGTE....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Dow & S&P 500 @ new high...NICE !!!!

All indices are green,while Dow & S&P 500 @ new high...

RSI in S&P 500 @ 72.24...looks like 80 is a possibility.

Gold UP $6.90

Oil Down 29 cents

Canadian $ UP 15 tick @ 99.98

Portfolio is AAPL,AMZN,BAC,FFIV,PCLN,RVBD,AUY

Most stocks are UP

AG stocks are strong

@ 12.08 following are RED :

PCLN,FFIV,ARUN,CRM,NFLX,GS,F,
TCK,RIMM,JKS,SOHU,ISRG,CREE,
JDSU,CIEN,FNSR,SNDK,FMCN,SNDA,
SINA,ICE,NTES,FUQI,NYX,VAR,GNK.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Indices closed Mixed....

Dow & S&P 500 continued their march towards higher close, while Nasdaq took a well deserved rest.

Internals of the market were negative.

Stocks which were UP included AUY,BAC,AAPL,POT,AGU,
MGM,NFLX,SLW,TCK,IAG,GG,X,CIEN.....

Stocks are marking time before an explosive move UP,NEVER take a basing market as boring or negative.

AH Futures UP

AH Asian markets UP

AH Oil Down

AH Gold Down

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Nasdaq taking R&R today,other indices GREEN..NICE !!!

Nasdaq is lagging behind as most high fliers are taking a rest.Dow & S&P 500 are staying green .

Gold UP $23.10

Oil UP 47 cents

Canadian $ UP 72 tick @ 100.04..above par of US$....

Portfolio is BAC,FFIV,PCLN,RVBD,AUY,AAPL,AMZN.....

@ 2.06 following are GREEN :

AUY,BAC,AAPL,MGM,NFLX,SLW,POT,CNQ,
TCK,IAG,X,GG,CIEN,CCME,RCI,AEM,ABX,
JRCC,FWLT.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

PS...Had to step out for some chores,thus delay in BLOG posting.

Saleem

Monday, December 27, 2010

Constructive close AGAIN......NICE !!!!

Indices more the most part "ignored" Chinese rate hike.

S&P 500 & Nasdaq closed green while Dow closed down....basically all indices were close to flat line.

Internals were positive.

Stocks which were UP included BAC,RVBD,AAPL,MGM,
F,GS,TCK,AKAM,MA,V,LEN,JDSU,CIEN,FNSR,C,SNDK,
NVLS.....

AH Futures UP

AH Asian market Mixed

AH Oil UP

AH Gold UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

S&P 500 Down only 1 point....

China announces .25% rate increase BUT we are down only 1 point in S&P 500....

Dow & Nasdaq are down less than .30%.....

I am sure CNBC commentators & Bears are very disappointed with strength in the TAPE.

Gold UP 30 cents

Oil Down 38 cents

Canadian $ Down 4 tick @ 99.12

Portfolio is AAPL,AMZN,BAC,FFIV,PCLN,RVBD,AUY.....

Most stocks are Down..

@ 12.54 following are green :

BAC,GS,SNDA,ICE,IGT,JRCC,NDAQ,
MA,FUQI,MFC,GAME,V,LEN,JDSU,
FNSR,CIEN,C,SNDK,CCME.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, December 26, 2010

Impact of China raising interest rate by .25% ????

Saturday, China announced .25% increase in interest rates.

It was the most discussed interest rate increase in the last one month,some were speculating to be .50% & to be done earlier.So,we have less than anticipated rate of increase & came few weeks later.

Impact of .25% may last for first 15 minutes of trading ,then back to usual trading pattern.

Option players are most optimistic & @ extremely bullish level since Jan 2009,normally this means a pullback.....

VIX has been lowest @15.23 in the last 12 months,but we were lower to 10 area before that.Normally low VIX means a pullback.

Now for the good news,We are about to enter a 3rd year of a presidential term which has been consistent in last 60 years of producing a positive return for the year.Highest return was +17.7%.

So,if we add all the positive & potential short term negative...we MAY have a slight negative going into this full 5 days of trading.

BUT.....2011 will bring major re-allocation into stocks,which should propel S&P 500 into major gains...1380 area is considered attainable in next 12 months.

Our technical guru Carter Worth thinks we peak out @ 1270 area ????

In Conclusion,this week MAY give you another chance to reallocate funds into better stocks.Any weakness on an intraday basis is a buying opportunity.

2011 is going to be a stock pickers market AGAIN,so do your OWN due diligence by studying fundamentals & charts of each stocks you own or want to own.

Good luck in 2011 !!!!

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Saturday, December 25, 2010

RSI & buying decision in "bull market".....

RSI is a good tool to base your buying decision.Like any other tool you need to understand it well based on market/individual stock movement.We all have discovered that what looks good today MAY turn UGLY with market forces.

It is extremely important to know the fundamentals of each company you are trying to start a position.

Based on "bull market" TAPE, it MAY be a very good strategy to buy "strong stocks" when they are around 50......as strong stocks have a tendency to go to 70+++ but do come back to 50+ area for a rest.....

I have learned with great discomfort that "bargain stocks/sectors" have NOT done well @ all & have caused losses to many.

Those who have stayed in "bargain sectors" have seen full year @ a loss,when market is UP substantially.

We all have a tendency to call turn in stocks,but we have failed miserably in that call as "strong stocks get stronger" while "so called bargain" either languishes or keeps going down.

This year has been "tough" for me as some of my bets were "poor choice" like APWR,PALM,CREE,VMW....

Some other bets were timed poorly like AGU,AKAM,EBIX,JKS.....

It is "critical" to realize bad trading strategies, then only one can learn & reposition.Focus on losers much more than winners.Losers will erode your capital much faster & will drag down your entire portfolio/returns for the year.IF i look too hasty in my sell orders ,it is because of getting rid of something that is not working or @ best MAY barely break-even.

It takes tremendous amount of effort/luck to "recover from poor selection/bad trades"

For 2011, i have placed my bets on stronger stocks like AAPL,AMZN,FFIV,PCLN,RVBD,AUY & turnaround story of BAC.......

Also , i am planning to trade less,unless market becomes volatile AGAIN....

The moral of my trading story for 2010 is ,do not buy "speculative stocks" & stay with winners plus think long term in this bull market......

Hopefully, you have taken few pointers from my bad & good trades.Yes there were many good trades like FFIV,AAPL,LVS,AMZN,NFLX,CRUS to name a few.

Here is RSI numbers for the listed stocks as of last close :

BIDU 39.15
CMG 45.36
DRI 46.75
FSLR 47.44
LVS 47.57
ISRG 49.12
CRM 49.76
SLW 51.33
NFLX 51.72
COH 51.94
FFIV 55.78
RVBD 56.65
GS 56.67
PCLN 56.75
AUY 58.75
POT 58.89
C 60.18
GOOG 60.36
AAPL 61.00
CREE 61.59
BAC 62.03
AMZN 63.62
TCK 66.57
MGM 67.31
CNQ 70.46
LULU 75.70

Good luck with your OWN homework for 2011.

Next post by noon Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, December 24, 2010

Toronto closed UP 11.96 on Friday.....NICE !!!!

Toronto Stock Exchange closed UP 11.96 points....highest closed so far.

It was last day to book loss or gain for 2010 in Canada.....

Canadian $ closed UP 36 tick to close @ 99.36 US..getting close to parity with US$

Following are close of popular Canadian stocks :

AUY down 4 cents

RIMM Down 27 cents

RCI UP 6 cents

POT UP 7 cents

AGU Down 37 cents

TCK Down 4 cents

CNQ UP 10 cents

TLM UP 11 cents

SU UP 4 cents

AEM Down 8 cents

ABX UP 6 cents

GG Down 5 cents

Enjoy your Christmas with family & friends !!!!!

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, December 23, 2010

Dow closed @ high of the year......NICE !!!!

Dow finished @ the best level of the year by closing green.....

VIX UP 6.6% @ 16.47

Wall Street is closed on Friday , but world markets are open full session including Canada.

Stocks which closed UP included AUY,SLW,POT,JKS,SOL,
CNQ,TCK,MOS,MA,CREE,JASO,SOLF.....

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian markets Mixed

Gold Down

Oil UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

PS..There will be no post on Friday,but will list some trading ideas on Saturday by noon.

Saleem

Mixed market on weekly option expiry....

Weekly option are expiring today ,so all big guns are under pressure.

Dow is UP, while S&P 500 & Nasdaq are down less than .20%

Most stocks on my screen are down today as they are mostly big cap.

Gold Down $6.60

Oil UP $1.10

Canadian $ UP 47 tick to 99.15

In my portfolio :

Bought BAC @ $13.08

Portfolio is BAC,FFIV,PCLN,RVBD,AUY,AAPL,AMZN.....

@ 1.08 following are green :

AUY,JKS,SOL,POT,CNQ,SLW,RIMM,
MOS,CREE,JASO,STP,SOLF,IGTE,FUQI,
RCI,GG,CSIQ,AEM,ABX,FSLR....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

PS...post was delayed as i had to step out.

Saleem

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Another high & highest close...NICE !!!!

Markets are closing on 2010 with a major uptrend.....

All indices had record high & close.

Internals were positive again.

When there is a whisper of "bubble"..then it bodes well for further upside.

VIX closed @ 15.45.....sign of imminent blow off in markets.....

Stocks that were UP 1% or more included PCLN,LEN,BZH,
BAC,EBIX,NVTL,CNQ....

In my portfolio :

Sold JKS

Bought PCLN @ $316.94

Portfolio is FFIV,PCLN,RVBD,AUY,AAPL,AMZN......

AH Futures UP

AH Asian markets Mixed

AH Oil UP

AH Gold UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Higher highs AGAIN.....NICE !!!!

Market is predicting good things for US economy & is making higher highs again.

28Th Dec is the last trading day to book gain or loss for 2010 for US trading,in Canada it is 24Th Dec.It is important to do tax planning now for capital gains/loss.

I am ANXIOUSLY waiting for GURU'S prediction for 2011..especially from Prechter & Rosenberg...whose broken crystal ball is "amusing reading"

Gold Down $1.40

Oil UP 52 cents

Canadian $ UP 27 tick @ 98.55

In my portfolio :

Added 35% AUY @ $12.46

Portfolio is FFIV,JKS,RVBD,AUY,AAPL,AMZN....

Most stocks are UP

@ 12.14 following are RED :

FFIV,JKS,MGM,LVS,WYNN,MGA,ARUN,
CRM,BIDU,SLW,TCK,AKAM,SOHU,MA,
SOL,AMCC,CIEN,FNSR,SOLF,LSCC,SNDK,
IGTE,FMCN,SINA,JRCC,NTES,AEM,ISRG,
SNE,FWLT....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, December 21, 2010

Record high & record close in all indices...NICE !!!!

Market is running away towards new record repeatedly.

All indices closed near high of the day.

Internals were strong.

RSI is @ 70.81 in S&P 500 & 70.88 in Nasdaq...there is a very good chance that we may hit 80.

Stocks which were UP 3% or more included JKS,NFLX,MGA,CRM,
BZH,LSCC,SNDK,EBIX,NVTL,IGTE,MGM......

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian markets mostly UP

AH Oil UP

AH Gold UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Melt UP continues in all indices ....NICE !!!!

All Indices are @ new high......

Markets are in "melt UP " phase...where indices CAN go higher than most predictions.

Gold Down 70 cents

Oil UP 40 cents

Canadian $ UP 12 tick @ 98.34

In my portfolio :

Added 25% FFIV @ $134.20

Portfolio is FFIV,JKS,RVBD,AUY,AAPL,AMZN

Most stocks are UP

@ 12.27 following are RED :

FFIV,RVBD,AMZN,ARUN,WYNN,SLW,RIMM,
ISRG,MA,CREE,FNSR,CCME,RCI,CTRN,LULU,
AEM,ABX....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, December 20, 2010

Higher Highs in S&P 500 & Nasdaq...NICE !!!!

S&P 500 & Nasdaq made another high.....

Internals were mixed

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included AMZN,SLW,IAG,LEN,LVS,SOL,
MGM,LDK,FNSR,JASO.....

AH Futures UP

AH Asian markets UP

AH Gold UP

AH Oil UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

S&P 500 & Nasdaq green....NICE !!!!

S&P 500 & Nasdaq are in green despite US$ being strong......

Gold UP $5.40

Oil UP 28 cents

Canadian $ Down 49 cents @ 98.22

Portfolio is FFIV,JKS,RVBD,AUY,AAPL,AMZN

@ 12.50 following are green :

AUY,AMZN,AAPL,SOL,LVS,ARUN,GOOG,
WYNN,MGM,F,GS,SLW,IAG,MOS,MA,V,
ISRG,GG,LEN,FNSR,SNDK,ECA,CSIQ,
JRCC,AEM,VLO,ABX,FWLT.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, December 19, 2010

Market ready to take off AGAIN.......

Indices are @ highs of the year.....

Option Expiry put a break on all big movers.....

S&P 500 stayed near highs for the last 5 trading days.....

I am expecting next 3 weeks to have a strong UPWARD bias.....

There is a very good chance that S&P 500 could go anywhere between 1277 to 1300 area....

There is a need for hedge funds,High Frequency Traders,mutual funds to reallocate funds from new contribution & Bonds/Treasury into stocks......

Even the most skeptics are "kind of QUIET" these days...not uttering a word about "being BEARISH"

Prechter is hiding, as he has been DEAD WRONG on everything he said 12 months ago.....his wave theory must be in REVERSE..it is sad to see that someone who claims to be "technically oriented" cannot SEE a straight line UPWARD sloping TAPE ????

Now the question IS......?

How to position for next 12 months ?

I do believe, that whatever has worked in the last 12 months should work even better for next 12 months...which means Technology......

As this a "major bull market"..you need to go with winners...anything which has struggled in the last 12 months needs to avoided......

I also believe that Gold is poised for another run towards $1500.......so gold stocks in a portfolio may not be a bad idea...as North Korea has a habit of causing panic......

Banks /Insurance stocks are also set to benefit from rising interest rates as their spread makes them more profitable..so lending is set to resume now.....

Make sure that you go with the leaders in any sector NOT laggards.......

For some, 2010 has NOT been profitable because they were stuck in their narrow focus...while broad market was running away.....

As for technicals & RSI...it is to be adjusted now to Buy @ 50 + as they represent strength & normal pullback..do not attempt to buy anything below 50..let them come UP to 50 minimum...

Different markets needs different strategy...in strong bull market,you stay with what has worked and do not trade ....all in a broad portfolio.....

You can tell , that i have gradually adjusted to a "different approach" & will stay that way in 2011.......

IF 2011 is going to be UP another 20%..means S&P 500 @ 1500...you need to be an investor NOT a trader.......

Economy worldwide is on an UP slope ,even in US we are looking healthy now.....

US has gone into a "major transformation" with both Republicans & Democrats working together for improving their economy...their "sense of urgency & decision making" has impressed me big time in the last 72 hours......

Good luck with your OWN rejig of your portfolio.

It is time to catch UP & make "boat load of money"

It is NOW or NEVER....

2011 is only 9 trading days away !!!!

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Saturday, December 18, 2010

Buy rated stocks.....

Following stocks are flashing buy signal.Please do your OWN due diligence by checking FA/TA/TAPE.

NILE,TRLG,APKT,MPEL,FL,IAG,M,
BCSI,SNDA,BIG,MON,FRG,OPWV,
AFFX,PMCS,AKS,MCP,NDN,YGE.

Next post by noon Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, December 17, 2010

Highest close in S&P 500 & Nasdaq...NICE !!!!

Nasdaq went to new high & closed @ its highest level along with S&P 500.

Internals were positive....

RSI in Nasdaq @ 67.15

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included FFIV,RVBD,JKS,MGM,
TCK,RIMM,FNSR,AMCC,AKAM,IAG,MOS,CCJ,X,CIEN,C,STP,EBIX,
CCME.....

In my portfolio :

Sold SOL

Portfolio is FFIV,JKS,RVBD,AUY,AAPL,AMZN....

By noon Saturday,i will list some trading ideas.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Nasdaq Green on Option Expiry....NICE !!!!

Nasdaq is green on Option Expiry......

Dow & S&P 500 are down less than .23%......not bad for OE....

Gold UP $2.20

Oil UP 17 cents

Canadian $ Down 71 tick @ 98.73

Portfolio is FFIV,JKS,SOL,RVBD,AUY,AAPL,AMZN

Most stocks are UP...

@ 12.35 following are RED :

AAPL,AUY,SOL,LVS,WYNN,ARUN,GOOG,
F,GS,SLW,IBN,MA,GG,JASO,SOLF,NVLS,
NVTL,IGTE,DRYS,CRM,RCI,ECA,SINA,
AEM,ABX,FSLR,SNE,GNK.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, December 16, 2010

Highest close in S&P 500 & Dow.....NICE !!!

All indices are ready to take out highs AGAIN.....

S&P 500 & Dow closed @ the highest level.

Internals were strong.

Corrections are short lived in a major bull market.

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included FFIV,RVBD,MGM,WYNN,LVS,
IBN,ISRG,X,CIEN,FNSR,CRUS,CCME.....

AH ER by RIMM & ORCL was a beat & guide above....AH UP by 2.13% & 3.83%

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian markets Mixed

AH Oil UP

AH Gold & Silver UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices Green...NICE !!!!

Indices are back on track with green....

Many stocks were oversold & seeing a nice bounce.

Casino stocks are on Fire !!!!

Gold Down $16.80

Oil Down 22 cents

Canadian $ Down 19 tick @ 99.34

Portfolio is FFIV,JKS,SOL,RVBD,AUY,AAPL,AMZN......

Most stocks are UP.....

@ 12.40 following are RED :

AUY,SOL,TSL,BIDU,YOKU,DANG,GS,SLW,
CNQ,TCK,IAG,GG,CREE,NVTL,IGTE,FMCN,
SINA,ICE,CTRN,AEM,NTES,ABX...

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Indices closed down......

All Indices closed down....

Reason for negative TAPE for 3 days is "overbought condition","profit taking for year end" & "Option Expiry"

Generally when TAPE is negative for 3 day's,technical rebound is to be expected.

Internals of the market were as follows :

Down volume led by 3 to 1 in NYSE & 2 to 1 in Nasdaq
Declining stocks led by 19 to 10 in NYSE & 15 to 10 in Nasdaq

These are NOT extremely negative numbers, BUT in a bull market ,it may be enough to get a technical rebound....

Many stocks have come down substantially in the last 3 day's,so buying on weakness may not be a bad idea.

In my portfolio :

Sold BIDU

Sold 40% JKS

Doubled my position in FFIV @ $130.36

Portfolio is FFIV,JKS,SOL,RVBD,AUY,AAPL,AMZN......

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil,Gold & Silver Down

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

European Debt pressuring markets.....

European debt has taken centre stage again, as Spain credit rating potential downgrade is rattling the markets.Option Expiry is another ongoing pressure.

Gold Down $16.50

Oil UP 28 cents

Canadian $ UP 19 tick to 99.65

In my portfolio :

Sold LVS

Bought RVBD @ $34.41

Portfolio is JKS,RVBD,SOL,AUY,AAPL,FFIV,AMZN,BIDU....

Most stocks are down ...

@ 12.46 following stocks are green :

RVBD,JKS,SOL,AMZN,AAPL,PCLN,MOS,POT,X,
JDSU,CIEN,FNSR,NVLS,JASO,ASIA,FMCN,SINA,SNDA,
ICE,LULU,JRCC,FSLR,FWLT,APKT.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

Indices closed green....NICE !!!!

Indices closed green, but internals were negative.

Lot of profit taking going on or Option Expiry activity,which is giving the TAPE a negative slant for the most part.

Stocks which were Down 2% or more included LVS,FFIV,RVBD,NFLX,PCLN,
CRM,AKAM,SOHU,BBY,CREE,LEN,C,FUQI,EBIX,NVTL,CRUS,CCME....

VIX closed @ 17.61 UP .34%

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian markets Down

AH Oil Down

AH Gold & Silver Down

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Dow @ new high....NICE !!!!

All indices are green in Option Expiry week.

Dow is @ new high.....S&P 500 & Nasdaq close to high.

Many stocks are being "pressured down" due to Option Expiry & some being overbought.

Gold UP $2.10

Oil UP 17 cents

Canadian $ UP 42 cents @ 99.67

Portfolio is JKS,LVS,SOL,AUY,AAPL,AMZN,BIDU,FFIV.....

Most stocks are down :

@ 12.49 following are green :

JKS,SOL,AUY,AMZN,TSL,LDK,WYNN,GOOG,
CNQ,TCK,RIMM,ISRG,V,M,X,GG,JDSU,CIEN,
FNSR,JASO,SNDK,BAC,FMCN,NTES,VLO,FSLR,
TTM,SPWRA,VAR....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, December 13, 2010

Last hour selling caused a weak close.....

Indices were @ record high in almost 3 years,but last hour selling took away all the gains.Nasdaq was the big loser while Dow & S&P 500 managed a green close.

Internals were negative.

Stocks which ended green included AAPL,AUY,BIDU,MGA,
GS,GOOG,SLW,MA,V,X,CNQ,JDSU,EBIX.....

VIX closed down .34% @ 17.55...???Fear index still going down....

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian markets mostly UP

AH Oil Down

AH Gold UP... above $1401

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

New highs in all indices...NICE !!!

Indices are moving higher again.....

All Indices are close to new highs in 3 years....

Gold UP $9.61

Oil UP 31 cents

Canadian $ UP 32 cents @ 99.42

Portfolio is AUY,JKS,LVS,SOL,AAPL,AMZN,BIDU,FFIV.....

Most stocks are UP

@ 12.53 following are down :

JKS,SOL,FFIV,TSL,NFLX,RVBD,RIMM,PCLN,
CRM,POT,RDWR,YOKU,DANG,MOS,SOHU,
ISRG,CREE,FMCN,SINA,SNDA,CTRN...

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, December 12, 2010

Nasdaq @ 3 yr HIGH..sign of things to come....

Nasdaq has jumped to 3 yr high while S&P 500 is @ 27 month high.....

World's fastest economy has a new headache,China fighting fastest growth in 3 years & runaway inflation.

World's fastest growing economies like China & India have been "tightening" their banking system to control inflation & contain GDP growth......that is taken as "negative news" by US media as US continues to struggle with their GDP growth......

Chinese & other Asian economies are growing @ rapid clip which is a good thing for US & Europe.

US media has "overplayed" the role of Ireland,Portugal & Greece..while ignoring all the good things happening worldwide.....Roubini,Rosenberg & CNBC are master of TRIVIA......

US stock market is a better gauge of world economic growth which is doing way better than non-genius prediction of Prechter,Rosenberg,Adami & Kass ...majority of them NEVER saw anything good for stock market for 3 years in a row......Prechter saw 400 in S&P 500,Rosenberg saw lower than 666 & Adami Wrong & Proud everyday.....Kass predicted top in S&P 500 @ 1000 & AGAIN @ 1130 ???

Prechter also predicted crash of Gold which went to series of all-time high ?

Do you know why i mention all of the above ?

Because all of these characters have been so WRONG for so long that it is SCARY..& never seem to REVISIT their FLAWED thesis.....

Back to markets.......

Financials & small caps are outperforming while some big caps are stuck @ or below old highs....

Markets seems to be in love with "cloud computing" & running it UP....

This week is Option Expiry & may create another buying opportunity as MM try to control the strike price...Wed & Thursday is subjected to unusual trading pattern.....

RSI in Nasdaq is @ 69.25 , below 80 area reached in first week of November.....

SO..keep an eye on RSI if it gets close to 80...may cause profit taking......

Try to do homework in lagging sector & try to pick stronger stock in that sector.

Having a mix of top performing & laggards may be a smart way to position in this market.

Lagging sectors are Solar,AG,Financial,Retail,Internet Gaming.....

Good luck with your OWN due diligence.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Saturday, December 11, 2010

Buy rated stocks.....

Following stocks are flashing buy signal.Please do your OWN due diligence by checking FA/TA/TAPE.

FFIV,RVBD,IAG,SKS,FUQI,OVTI,CTRN,
EXPE,SWIR,SNDA,MON,NUAN,BOOM,
PEET,GOOG,MGA......

Next post by noon on Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, December 10, 2010

Another closing high for S&P 500 & Nasdaq....

S&P 500 & Nasdaq are @ highest close in two years.

Internals of the market were strong AGAIN....

Stocks that were UP 3% or more included JKS,FFIV,LULU,TCK,
RVBD,IBN,CIEN,FUQI,SNDK......

By noon Saturday,I will list ideas for trading.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Nasdaq & S&P 500 @ new HIGH...NICE !!!!

Nasdaq & S&P 500 are trading @ highest point in how many years ???

RSI @ 68.31 & 66.72.....

Consumers feeling good about everything......

Shorts are in deep trouble.....

Gold Down $6.30

Oil Down 65 cents

Canadian $ UP 19 tick @ 99.09

In my portfolio :

Bought back FFIV @ $139

Portfolio is JKS,LVS,SOL,AUY,AAPL,AMZN,BIDU,FFIV....

@ 1.12 following are green :

JKS,AAPL,AMZN,FFIV,NFLX,PCLN,
RVBD,RIMM,GOOG,CRM,GS,POT,
IAG,IBN,CCJ,MA,V,CREE,TCK,CIEN,
FNSR,FUQI,SNDK,IGTE,EBIX....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, December 9, 2010

Constructive close AGAIN......NICE !!!!

S&P 500 & Nasdaq had another record close while Dow lost 2 points.

Internals of the market remained strong

Interest rate jumped....30 year Fixed @ 4.91% today vs 4.66% last week

Gold jumped to $1392.10.....

AH NFLX & FFIV jumped upon inclusion in S&P 500....

In my portfolio :

Sold FFIV

Portfolio is JKS,LVS,SOL,AUY,AAPL,AMZN,BIDU

White House & Lawmakers are all set to pass renewing Bush Tax cut ..also renewing all Alternative Energy provision which was set to expire....it should be a very good day for Solar stocks on Friday..as it was assumed that expired initiative will NOT be renewed.....

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Down

AH Gold Down

AH Oil UP.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Stocks mixed on rising bonds yield.....

Interest rates are ticking higher on mortgages & Bonds,this giving another digestive phase for the market...

Dow is down .28% while S&P 500 & Nasdaq hanging on to gains...

Gold UP $4.70

Oil Down 1 cent

Canadian $ UP 18 tick @ 99.09

In my portfolio :

Added 25% SOL @ $8.88

Portfolio is AUY,JKS,LVS,SOL,AAPL,BIDU,AMZN,FFIV

Stocks are mostly UP...

@12.27 PM following are UP :

LVS,JKS,AUY,FFIV,LULU,NFLX,GS,SOHU,X,
GG,CREE,JDSU,CIEN,IGTE,FNSR,FMCN,SINA,
CTRN,FWLT.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Wednesday, December 8, 2010

Highest close in all indices...NICE !!!!

Market defied all skeptics AGAIN by closing in GREEN....all indices closed @ their highest level in how many years?.......

Fast Panic Money crowd is Now short Gold & Silver......how nice.....it should embarass them again...Adami the "report card reader" keeps repeating his botched call on SLW & now SLV ????

Markets are in the process of taking off AGAIN......

Stocks which ended UP includes AAPL,PCLN,GS,GOOG,CRM,MA,
V,CREE,BAC,NVLS,ARUN......

AH Futures UP

AH Asian markets UP

AH Gold,Silver & Oil UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Nasdaq & S&P 500 UP...NICE !!!!

Indices are trying to base here before moving UP again.....

So far Nasdaq & S&P 500 are green while Dow is down by .03%

CNBC Fast Panic Money crowd was so negative last night, it was a great contrary indicator..they all seems to PANIC @ the same time ????

Gold Down $26.60

Oil Down 20 cents

Canadian $ UP 20 tick @ 99.01

Portfolio is AUY,JKS,LVS,SOL,AAPL,BIDU,FFIV,AMZN....

Most stocks are Down....

@ 12.34 following are green :

PCLN,GS,MGM,WYNN,CRM,SOHU,MA,V,
CREE,JDSU,CIEN,FNSR,FUQI,BZH,BAC,
NVTL,CRUS,ARUN,NVLS,RCI,SINA,
BRCD,CTRN,ICE,LULU,MFC,NYX,SPWRA,
FSLR,ISRG,FWLT.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, December 7, 2010

Disappointing close in indices......

Close today was weak.....

Reason for weakness is linked more to bickering within Democrats
which may derail agreement reached between Obama & Republicans.....

Tax agreement is extremely critical for this market going forward......any delay/changes will be taken as negative for market.

Internals of the market were positive even though we closed near low of the day.....

In my portfolio :

Sold RVBD

Bought AUY @ $12.69

Portfolio is AUY,JKS,LVS,SOL,AAPL,BIDU,FFIV,AMZN

AH NFLX down sharply as CFO is leaving

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian markets Mixed

AH Oil,Gold,Silver Down

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices @ new highs...NICE !!!!

Major indices are @ new 2 year high...

Many stocks are @ all time highs....

S&P 500 RSI @ 63.63.....

Gold Down $2.30

Oil Down 76 cents

Canadian $ Down 39 tick @ 99.05

In my portfolio :

Added 125% LVS @ $48.86

Portfolio is LVS,JKS,RVBD,SOL,BIDU,FFIV,AAPL,AMZN

Most stocks are Down.....

@ 12.32 following are green :

AAPL,BIDU,FFIV,AMZN,CRM,NFLX,MGA,
GS,GOOG,AKAM,MOS,SOHU,CCJ,M,X,CREE,
LEN,AMCC,JDSU,SNDK,CRUS,NVLS,C,FMCN,
SNDA,BRCD,CTRN,NYX,VLO...

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, December 6, 2010

Only Nasdaq closed Green......

Indices were all green,but in last fifteen minutes Dow & S&P 500 closed red by .17% & .13%....

Nasdaq managed to stay green by .13%.......

Internals were positive overall.

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included SOL,RVBD,NFLX,IAG,
SLW,SOHU,TCK,JASO,STP,SOLF,LDK,FUQI,LSCC,EBIX,KGC.....

Interesting predictions from GS as listed below :

S&P 500 to 1450 next 12 months

Gold to $1690 end of 2011

Oil to $105 in 2011

Short US$

Long Chinese Yuan

US GDP to 4% growth by 2012

AH Futures Green

AH Asian markets Down

AH Oil Down

AH Gold & Silver UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices getting ready to turn GREEN.....

Indices are slightly under water due to major gains last week plus Ben Bernanke "honest take" on US economy is giving pause to HFT......

I expect indices to close green....

Gold UP $13.40

Oil Down 24 cents

Canadian $ Down 13 tick @ 99.43

Portfolio is JKS,LVS,RVBD,SOL,AAPL,BIDU,AMZN,FFIV...

Most of the stocks are UP

@ 12.12 following are RED :

LVS,WYNN,FFIV,F,CRM,MGA,
POT,MOS,AKAM,IBN,CREE,ISRG,
SNDK,NVLS,BAC,ARUN,AUY,RCI,
BRCD,NDAQ,NYX,SPWRA...

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, December 5, 2010

S&P 500 headed to 1300 area..quite possibly !!!!

S&P 500 & entire market turned around in a big way with internals extremely positive.Why do i focus so much on internals ,because it is showing the "real strength" of this market.

Many sectors are making new highs be it tech,retail,autos,restaurants,base metals or gold.

This market has the trapping of a "major bull market" like 1998 -2000.....

All those skeptics of this market like Prechter,Rosenberg,Kass,Adami,Roubini are all looking "extremely challenged" in their ability to either see or predict the market direction.....

We had all the reason to go down 300 points with weakest jobs report...BUT we closed green ???

Many HFT & hedge funds decided to wait out the disaster of jobs report till Monday to catch low low prices....BUT they will all be a buyer @ high high prices on Monday.....

YES...i expect Monday to be a "very strong day"......

So..IF you have done most of your buying by Friday.....you will look pretty good on Monday..

Those of you who stayed put ,will also be rewarded on Monday.....

SO...the bigger question IS ????

How high S&P 500 CAN go in this "run for the roses".......

As RSI is @ 62.63..there is lot of room to run...RSI can easily head towards 78 area.....

Translating into S&P 500 numbers,i will not be surprised to see 1300 area in this run.....

1300 target,closed @ 1224.71.....potential lift off of 76 points or another whopping jump of 6.2%..

Some of you alway's WAIT for IBD to give confirmation of any rally...well that has NOT worked well @ all..you have missed buying stocks @ low of the day while IBD announced "market under correction"

SO..all IBD followers will also pile in to buy @ new S&P 500 high on Monday......in some case like solar stocks they will be buying @ 20% higher????

The point of IBD reference is that in a strong bull market you are better off rotating from extended stocks like NFLX @ its peak to stocks in beaten down stocks like Solar & Gold???

Some stocks like FFIV,RVBD,AAPL,AMZN,BIDU,PCLN have not gone too far from their recent highs........some actually made new highs while IBD was in a PANIC mode & suggesting sell sell sell......

SO..try & understand this market ..it is a strong bull & going much higher...

NOW..it is year end performance for HFT/Hedge funds/Mutual funds/Private equity..they will all pile IN........

SO stay put in good stocks even when they are resting above 50 DMA.........sooner than later ,they will take off also....

SO..try to capitalize in the next four weeks,which could be the-best in a long long time !!!!!

Good luck with your OWN comfort level & home work.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Saturday, December 4, 2010

Buy rated stocks.....

Following stocks are flashing buy signal.Please do your OWN due diligence by checking FA/TA/TAPE.

BIDU,MGM,STP,JASO,SPWRA,BRCD,SEED,
IAG,PCLN,HCBK,ECA,HOTT,DHI,MT,HMC.

Next post by noon Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, December 3, 2010

Impressive close despite horrible jobs report.....

Market TAPE surprised everybody by closing green.

Internals of the market were positive....

Gold @ all time high

Oil @ highest point in two years.

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included SOL,BIDU,PCLN,AUY,
SLW,MOS,SOHU,LEN,TSL,YGE,AMCC,FNSR,JASO,STP,FUQI,
CRUS,NVTL,KGC....

By noon Saturday,i will list some trading ideas.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Nasdaq green despite poor jobs report......

Market were given a jolt @ 830 AM,when Jobs report missed by over 100K.Jobs will be slow in coming and may take another six months to show decent growth.

Nasdaq is green as that sector is growing rapidly.

Gold @ record high UP $16.70

Oil UP 74 cents

Canadian $ Down 13 tick @ 99.51

In my portfolio :

Sold AUY

Doubled my position in LVS @ $49.73

Portfolio is JKS,RVBD,LVS,SOL,BIDU,FFIV,AMZN,AAPL.....

Most stocks are UP

@ 1.56 following are RED :

AMZN,AAPL,NFLX,LVS,GS,WYNN,MGA,RIMM,
CRM,MA,M,RCI,SNDA,ICE,CTRN,LULU,NDAQ,
FSLR....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

PS...Post was delayed as i had to step out.

Saleem

Sold AUY..EOM

Thursday, December 2, 2010

S&P 500 closed @ 1221.53.......NICE !!!!

S&P 500 closed @ 1221.53 which is 5.55 points away from high of 1227.08.....

RSI is @ 61.68

Friday Jobs report is due @ 8.30 AM,expectation is 140K headline number & 153 K private jobs creation.....we have not met the expectations yet in many months, coming short each time.

I have a feeling again that numbers MAY be shy of estimates especially in 153 K private jobs area.......

Markets have risen sharply recently,so a pause may be due......

On top of that Guy Adami is saying we blast through resistance of 1227.08,as Adami has never been right for 18 months......how can he be right this time...so there is my contrary indicator....

Stocks which were UP 3% or more included JKS,SOL,FNSR,TCK,LEN,JDSU,STP,BAC,EBIX.....

AH futures Mixed

AH Asian market Mixed

AH Oil Down

AH Gold & Silver UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

S&P 500 @ 1218.27 UP 1.01%...NICE !!!!

Indices are all green with S&P 500 strong......

Economic news continues to be encouraging,which is good for the stock market.

Gold UP $9.50

Oil UP 40 cents

Canadian $ UP 1.33 @ 99.52

In my portfolio :

Added 15% SOL @ $8.35

Bought RVBD @ $34.49

Portfolio is AUY,BIDU,FFIV,JKS,RVBD,SOL,AAPL,AMZN,LVS....

Most stocks are UP

@ 12.19 following are down :

NFLX,LVS,WYNN,FFIV,PCLN,AMZN,MOS,
AKAM,MA,M,SNDA,CTRN,LULU,NTES,GAME.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Wednesday, December 1, 2010

Strong close in all indices...NICE !!!!

Indices closed UP 1.64% to 2.27%.....

S&P 500 closed @ 1206.07...this close is interesting because,many pundits on CNBC only yesterday, predicted no more than 1190 in any rally...Adami prediction was well below 1150 after a brief stop @ 1170 area ????

Internals of the market was strong.

Volume was above average in S&P 500/Nasdaq but highest in Dow.

Jim Cramer is advocating taking profit in many high fliers,which is very good suggestions for those who do not monitor market closely or not aware of improving fundamentals in some business.

AH futures Mixed

AH Asian markets UP

AH Oil Down

AH Gold & Silver UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Nasdaq UP 2.2%...Rally back on track...NICE !!!!

Chinese PMI & best jobs data in 3 years are fueling this bull market AGAIN......

Nasdaq is the best gainer with a jump of 2.2%...

Gold UP $5.90

Oil UP $2.22

Canadian $ UP 89 tick @ 98.40

In my portfolio :

Bought SOL @ $8.63

Portfolio is AUY,BIDU,FFIV,JKS,AAPL,AMZN,LVS,SOL

Most stocks are UP

VIX Down 12.11% @ 20.69

@ 12.46 following are RED :

NFLX,MOS,SOHU,NVTL,FMCN,CTRN,APWR...

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem