Friday, November 30, 2012

Indices closed Mixed.....

Despite political wrangling indices finished mostly UP.

S&P 500 closed @ 1416.18, high was 1418.86

RSI @ 55.81

CMF @ +0.026

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.36 to 1 in NYSE & .99 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.23 to 1 in NYSE & .98 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new highs were leading by 117 in NYSE & 23 in Nasdaq

Oil closed @ $88.91

Gold closed @ $1712.70

Canadian $ closed @ 100.67

In my portfolio :

Bought TCK @ $33.67

Bought LEN @ $37.83

Portfolio weighting is :

KORS 25.63%

AUY  24.40%

JCP    20.96%

TCK   15.61%

LEN    13.40%

Exposure 68%

Stocks which closed UP includes KORS,TCK,RIMM,
CF,AMZN,M,EXPE,NFLX,GOOG,LNKD,MA,V,
GMCR,FB,QCOM,MCD,ECA,WYNN,AGU....

Next post by 2 PM Sunday

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, November 29, 2012

Indices closed UP .28% to .68%......NICE !!!!

Indices were given Washington political jolt but recovered nicely.

S&P 500 closed @ 1415.95, high today was 1419.70

RSI @ 55.72

CMF @ +0.064

Internals were :

UP volume led by 3.09 to 1 in NYSE & 2.55 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 2.58 to 1 in NYSE & 2.73 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 151 in NYSE & 48 in Nasdaq

VIX closed Down 2.9% @ 15.06

Oil closed @ $88.07

Gold closed @ $1727.20

In my portfolio :

Sold AMZN

Sold CF

Doubled my position in AUY @ $18.96

Portfolio is KORS,JCP,AUY, RIMM ( calls expiring Friday)

Exposure 48%

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included RIMM, AMZN,CF,
TCK,CRUS,HMC,AAPL,FFIV,AEM,PCLN,FCX,GOOG,
PANW,FB,ZNGA,MU,CIEN,FNSR,QCOM,MOS,
STLD,CCJ,MGA,BJRI,AGU,IBN.....

AH News :

ZNGA Down 12.60%

SPLK UP 2.07%

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian Markets UP

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, Indices are struggling near resistance thanks to our politicians. Friday is Option Expiry thus volatility may increase. I may wait till Monday to add to my portfolio unless price is very right. I am keeping a close eye on stocks RSI for my sell & buy decision. Some stocks are getting stronger & may be bought for quick trade.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices are UP .37% to .63%....NICE !!!!

Indices are working its way higher on its own strength.

S&P 500 @ 1417.07

Internals are positive by minimum 2 to 1

Oil UP $1.65

Gold UP $10.50

Canadian $ Down 6 tick @ 100.74

VIX Down 2.71% @ 15.09

In my portfolio :

Bought AUY @ $19.27

Portfolio is AMZN,CF,JCP,KORS,AUY, RIMM (calls)

Exposure 70%

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.17 following are red :

JCP,AUY,LEN,APKT,M,EXPE,NFLX,
SNDK,LULU,GG,YHOO,RVBD,COH,
CLF,LNKD,GMCR,LRCX,ARNA,
NVDA,EGO,SINA,ECA,MS,MLNX,
KOG.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Indices closed UP .79% to .83%......NICE !!!!

Indices tested support & made a V bottom.

S&P 500 closed @ 1409.93

RSI @ 53.48

CMF +0.048

Internals were :

UP volume led by 3.93 to 1 in NYSE & 3.20 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 2.23 to 1 in NYSE & 1.58 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 56 in NYSE & 1 in Nasdaq

VIX closed Down 2.58% @ 15.51

Oil closed @ $86.49

Gold closed @ $1716.50

AH ER WDAY UP 1.52%

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included AMZN,JCP,KORS,RIMM,
APKT,CRUS,M,CMG,AUY,GG,
AEM,EXPE,PCLN,LULU,GOOG,
BIDU,COH,GMCR,ZNGA,LRCX,MU,
JDSU,FNSR,SBUX,BWLD,X,STLD,CCJ,ECA,
MGA,BAC,MS,GS,WYNN,LVS......

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets UP

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, S&P 500 made a higher low & closed higher than recent high.I believe that S&P 500 could take out much dreaded 1420 with ease. Staying bullish has been productive & exposure can be expanded now. I am @ 64% exposure which is highest in several weeks.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices UP .37% to .57%......NICE !!!!

Fiscal cliff was a problem @ open ...Now its not a problem after assurance given by both sides that deal is probable.

S&P 500 @ 1404.29...low today was 1385.43..hair above 200 DMA

Internals are positive

Oil Down $1

Gold Down $25.50

Canadian $ UP 16 tick @ 100.73

VIX Down .63% @ 15.82

In my portfolio :

Sold APKT

Bought KORS @ $52.10

Portfolio is AMZN,CF,JCP,KORS, RIMM ( calls)

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.02 following are red :

CF,LEN,HMC,AAPL,SU,NFLX,FCX,PANW,
DNKN,TCK,CLF,YHOO,LNKD,CIEN,C,
MOS,EGO,SLW,V,LNKD,SINA,MS,
MLNX,KOG,AGU.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

Indices closed down .30% to .69%.....

Indices closed near lows of the day......

S&P 500 closed @ 1398.94

RSI @ 49.12

CMF +0.015

Internals were :

Down volume led by 2.32 to 1 in NYSE & 1.23 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.25 to 1 in NYSE & 1.23 to 1 in Nasdaq..yes these numbers are accurate?

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 85 in NYSE & 29 in Nasdaq

VIX closed UP 2.71% @ 15.92

Oil closed @ $87.18

Gold $1742.30

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included APKT,JCP,
NFLX,GOOG,RVBD,LVS,GMCR,CCJ,BJRI,IBN....

AH ER :

GMCR UP 21.59%

ADI Down 2.77%

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Down

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, It is all about fiscal cliff resolution. Politicians are on TV busy with blame game. Until we see "some movement towards agreement" market remains under pressure. Some stocks are performing better than indices.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices mixed.....

Indices are mixed despite resolution of Greece & better economic news in US.....

S&P 500 @ 1405.32

Internals are mostly positive

Oil Down 32 cents

Gold Down $6

Canadian $ UP 5 tick @ 100.72

VIX Down 2.32% @ 15.14

Portfolio is APKT,AMZN,CF,JCP,RIMM (calls)

Most stocks are UP

@ 1.53 following are red :

RIMM,CRUS,HMC,AAPL,M,SU,CMG,
SNDK,AEM,GG,BIDU,CLF,LNKD,
C,ARNA,SBUX,MCD,STLD,
KOG,GS.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, November 26, 2012

Nasdaq closed green......NICE !!!!

Indices closed near best level of the day. Nasdaq closed green.

S&P 500 closed @ 1406.29

RSI @ 52.15

CMF closed green @ +0.053...first time since wk 1 of October.

Internals were :

Down volume led by 1.52 to 1 in NYSE & .60 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.31 to 1 in NYSE & .84 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 64 in NYSE & 19 in Nasdaq

VIX closed UP 2.44% @ 15.51

Oil closed @ $87.74

Gold closed @ $1749.60

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets UP

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, Technicians were disappointed with their prediction of a selloff. Nasdaq closing green was a major challenge to bear thesis. IBD tonight is saying "market in confirmed uptrend"...I knew that !!!!
Suggest maintaining bullish posture as news should get better.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices down .04% to .58%......

Indices were under selling pressure but Nasdaq is trying for green.

S&P 500 @ 1402.04, low was 1397.68

Internals are mixed

Oil Down 42 cents

Gold Down $2

Canadian $ Down 14 tick @ 100.58, Canadian Central Bank Governor is taking over as Head of England Central Bank causing some pressure on CAD

VIX UP 3.1% @ 15.61

Portfolio is APKT,AMZN,CF,JCP, Call Option RIMM

Most stocks are down 

@ 1.54 following stocks are green :

APKT,AMZN,RIMM,CRUS,AAPL,YHOO,
EXPE,SNDK,DNKN,LNKD,GMCR,RB,
LRCX,MU,BRCM,ZNGA,NVDA,MOS,
MS,GS,IBN....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, November 25, 2012

What next for S&P 500 ?

S&P 500 has been UP five straight trading days, it is UP 4.90% or 65.80 points.

Technicians are looking @ 1420 as resistance, which is less than 11 points away.

Resistance are made to be broken or taken out when there is enough momentum.

RSI @ 53.55 which leaves room for further gains

There could be further buying pressure as month end is approaching

Many traders including hedge funds are not participating in this rally due to fiscal cliff issue....

By the time "fiscal cliff is resolved" market may be lot higher

We also may face the performance issues as end of November approaches.

All in all "trend is your friend"

YES..Indices may react to ongoing issues like Greece / EU or Fiscal Cliff every so often..but trend is upward for now.....

Black Friday / Cyber Monday Sales are another bullish factor....

Many stocks in different sectors are on the move now, big gains can be made in many stocks IF patience is exercised......

SO...get back into doing research for picking "new stocks" where gains may be "above the charts"

IF you want to evaluate your stock picks compare it against major indices on a weekly basis.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, November 23, 2012

Indices closed UP 1.30% to 1.38%.....NICE !!!

Indices staged a strong rally on improving Chinese data & hope for good Black Friday sales....

S&P 500 closed @ 1409.15

RSI @ 53.35

CMF @ -0.029...best level in weeks...

Internals were :

UP volume led by 12.11 to 1 in NYSE & 6.63 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 4.99 to 1 in NYSE & 3.26 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 90 in NYSE & 19 in Nasdaq

VIX closed Down 1.11% @ 15.14

Oil @ $88.14

Gold @ $1748.50

Canadian $ @ 100.79

Portfolio is APKT,AMZN,CF,JCP

Bought 10 $12 Strike Call Option expiring next Friday @ .38 cents on RIMM

@ close following were UP 1% or more :

APKT,CF,RIMM,HMC,AAPL,M,SU,
AUY,TCK,FFIV,SNDK,AEM,FCX,BIDU,
COH,V,LRCX,MU,BRCM,JDSU,CIEN,FNSR,
LVS,QCOM,GMCR,MOS,SBUX,MCD,STLD,EGO,
SLW,CCJ,ECA,MGA,BAC,MS,KOG,WYNN,GS,AGU......

Next post by 2 PM on Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Wednesday, November 21, 2012

Happy Thanksgiving......!!!!

S&P 500 have been UP 3.6% from lows of four day's ago.

S&P 500 closed @ 1391.03

RSI @ 46.10

CMF @ -0.058

Internals were :

UP volume led by 2.20 to 1 in NYSE & 2.45 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 2.08 to 1 in NYSE & 1.87 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk were mixed, UP 42 in NYSE & DOWN 2 in Nasdaq

VIX closed UP1.53% @ 15.31

Oil closed @ $87.38

Gold closed @ $1728.30

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included APKT,AMZN,
HMC,PANW,DNKN,EXPE,FFIV,AUY,GG,AEM,EGO,
RIMM,COH,CLF,FB,ZNGA,JDSU,CIEN,FNSR,SNDK,
ARNA,NVDA,X,BAC,BJRI,WYNN,IBN.....

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian Markets UP

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, world markets including Canada is open on Thursday. I expect this uptrend to strengthen when we go full session from Monday. It is important not to chase yesterdays superstars, other stocks are running away.

Enjoy Thanksgiving with friends & family.

PS.....Next post on Friday after US close which is half day in US, full day everywhere else.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices UP .15% to .35%.....NICE !!!!

Indices are UP despite uncertainty about Greece & Gaza.

S&P 500 @ 1389.87

Internals are positive.

Oil UP 52 cents

Gold UP $5.80

Canadian $ UP 4 tick @ 100.33

VIX UP .13% @ 15.10

Portfolio is APKT,AMZN,CF,JCP

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.26 following are RED :

JCP,TCK,KORS,LULU,FCX,GOOG,BIDU,
MU,BWLD,MOS,CCJ,SLW,MS,MLNX,KOG,
GS,AGU.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, November 20, 2012

Constructive close today......

Indices closed mixed with S&P 500 & Nasdaq in green & Dow down slightly.

S&P 500 closed @ 1387.81

RSI @ 44.68

CMF @ -0.057

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.25 to 1 in NYSE & 1.05 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.27 to 1 in NYSE & .88 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk were mixed, +44 in NYSE & -23 in Nasdaq

VIX closed Down 1.05% @ 15.08

Oil closed @ $86.75

Gold closed @ $1723.60

AH News :

CRM UP 1.68%

CRUS UP 5.31%

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets UP

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, TAPE showed its resiliency for third day in a row despite comments from Fed Chief. TAPE is giving a clear signal that downside is contained for now & firm support has been established for this market. Today's TAPE was extremely impressive that BBY & HPQ effect lasted only till about 2 PM. For now all clear for Northbound TAPE.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices down .39% to .46%......

Indices are negative after a huge run yesterday.

S&P 500 @ 1381.58, low so far 1377.04

RSI @ 42.40

Internals are negative

Oil Down $2.71

Gold Down $11.50

Canadian $ Down 19 tick @ 100.13

VIX UP 2.3% @ 15.59

Portfolio is APKT,AMZN,CF,JCP.....

Most stocks are down

@ 1.56 following are green :

AMZN,CF,JCP,LEN,EXPE,NFLX,PCLN,
KORS,LULU,POT,BIDU,LVS,RIMM,
COH,LNKD,V,GMCR,FB,ZNGA,
CIEN,ARNA,MOS,SBUX,MCD,
WYNN,BAC....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, November 19, 2012

Indices closed UP 1.65% to 2.21%.....NICE !!!!

Indices closed UP on renewed hope for agreement.

S&P 500 closed @ 1386.89 @ the highest level of the day.

RSI @ 44.29

CMF @ -0.132

Internals were :

UP volume led by 14.23 to 1 in NYSE & 6.76 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stock led by 7.52 to 1 in NYSE & 3.68 to 1 in Nasdaq

VIX closed down 7.13% @ 15.24

Oil @ $86.67

Gold @ $1734.40

Net new 52 wk stat were mixed +32 in NYSE & -29 in Nasdaq

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included JCP,CF,
AAPL,YHOO,SU,CMG,CRUS,AEM,GG,LULU,
FCX,GOOG,PANW,LVS,RIMM,COH,LNKD,
MA,V,GMCR,BRCM,JDSU,FNSR,C,ARNA,
NVDA,MOS,SINA,BAC,MS,MLNX,KOG,
GS,AGU,SBUX,X,STLD,EGO,SLW....

AH ER QIHU UP4.98%

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, we had a follow up gain which is a technical confirmation of this UP move. Today's gain was very strong which may need some digestion or sideways move. Sentiment has improved for further gain. Buy strong stocks on any negative move.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

PS...my brothers wife could not survive her fight with life, she passed away around 5 PM est. Thanks for your prayers.

Saleem


Indices UP 1.28% to 1.69%.....NICE !!!!

Indices are strong as President Obama made optimistic comment about deal to avert fiscal cliff.

S&P 500 @ 1381.24

RSI @ 41.97

Internals are positive by minimum 3 to 1

Oil UP $2.70

Gold UP$19.70

Canadian $ UP 47 tick @ 100.32

VIX Down 4.45% @ 15.68

In my portfolio :

Added 30% APKT @ 18.23

Added 20% AMZN @ $228.70

Portfolio is APKT, AMZN,CF,JCP

Exposure 58%

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.03 following are red :

APKT,SNDK,BIDU,CLF,FB,ZNGA,BJRI.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, November 18, 2012

Down 6.33% in 12 trading days........

S&P 500 went from 1434.27 to 1343.35 in 12 trading days of November.....

This is a pretty steep correction for non-flash crash type of event.

Many technicians are not very hopeful based on "weak rebound on Friday"

This is also "Thanksgiving shortened week" with low volume.

A better picture of strength may emerge in the last week of November.

Market direction will be dictated by development or lack of progress in coming days or week on Fiscal Cliff.....

SO..the question IS ?

How we should position ourselves in this market environment.

My suggestion is to stay involved with your own comfort level.

Once "fiscal Cliff is averted"...it will be a "huge boost to this market.

Many stocks are behaving much better & held up well in this collapse......pay attention to those stocks like YHOO,APKT,MA,V,FB...to name a few in my universe.

Many stocks rebounded nicely on Friday which needs focus.

Many sectors are falling apart technically speaking which should be avoided.

It is back to basic about "stock picking"

Good luck with your own research & comfort level.

It is NOT all clear YET.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, November 16, 2012

Indices closed UP .37% to .57%......NICE !!!!

Politicians got the "message of the markets" & started to do the job for which they were elected for. Market turned on a dime from losses to gain on optimistic tone for a deal.

S&P 500 closed @ 1359.88, low for the day was 1343.35.

RSI @ 31.10

CMF @ -0.188

Internals were :

UP volume led by 2.18 to 1 in NYSE & 1.67 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 2.86 to 1 in NYSE & 1.45 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk lows were leading by 132 in NYSE & 147 in Nasdaq

VIX closed Down 8.78% @ 16.41

Oil closed @ $86.67

Gold closed @ $1714.70

Canadian $ @ 99.72

In my portfolio :

Added 30% JCP @ $16.43

Portfolio is APKT,AMZN,CF,JCP

Exposure 52%

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included AMZN,LEN,HMC,
M,EXPE,KORS,LULU,PANW,LVS,RIMM,COH,LNKD,
GMCR,FB,ARNA,SLW,ECA,MLNX,KOG,SNE.....

Next post by 2 PM Sunday

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, November 15, 2012

Indices closed down .16% to .35%.....

Indices are finding very little support.

S&P 500 closed @ 1353.33, low today was 1348.05

RSI @ 27.21

CMF @ -0.198

Internals were :

Down volume led by 1.43 to 1 in NYSE & 1.19 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 2.14 to 1 in NYSE & 1.61 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk lows were leading by 252 in NYSE & 157 in Nasdaq

VIX closed UP .39% @ 17.99

Oil closed @ $85.45

Gold closed @ $1713.80

Canadian $ closed @ 99.75

Portfolio is APKT,AMZN,CF,JCP

Stocks which closed UP included RIMM,YHOO,LNKD,
V,ZNGA,C,BAC,GS,MS,BWLD,NVDA,SINA,BJRI,
AGU,HMC,M,CMG,EXPE,NFLX,FFIV,PCLN,KORS,
TZA,BIDU,DNKN.....

AH ER :

DELL Down 1.99%

INTU UP 1.77%

ADSK UP 1.8%

ARUN UP 5.34%

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, i was expecting an oversold bounce today even a weak one, but that is not in the card these days. Market sentiment has deteriorated further to the point that money is leaving much faster now. CMF is showing deeper negative flow & new 52 wk lows are staying high. Any bounce should be met with selling. It is a long battle of politicians & market is giving "clear message to better wake up in a hurry or else"...

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

PS...missed my afternoon BLOG due to sudden serious illness of my sister-in-law, she is in ICU.

Saleem

Wednesday, November 14, 2012

Indices closed down 1.29% to 1.45%.....

Indices were way down today....

S&P 500 closed @ 1355.49, low today was 1352.50

RSI @ 27.69

CMF @ -0.144

Internals were :

Down volume led by 11.48 to 1 in NYSE & 2.58 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 8.62 to 1 in NYSE & 4.04 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk lows were leading by 185 in NYSE & 124 in Nasdaq

VIX closed UP 7.63%  @17.92

Oil closed @ $86.32

Gold closed @ $1730.10

In my portfolio :

Sold LVS

Bought APKT @ $18.71

Portfolio is APKT,AMZN,CF,JCP

Exposure 49%

AH ER :

NTES Down 2.58%

NTAP UP 10.24%

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, internals are telling me that we may have reached selling climax today. We may start to get our footing back & start building for higher ground. Technically we are "deeply oversold". RSI in S&P 500 has reached extreme bearishness. Hopefully we see better tone for Thursday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices down .59% to .85%.....

Indices are in freefall......

S&P 500 @ 1364.99, low so far is 1363.93

Internals are negative by minimum 2 to 1

Oil UP 99 cents

Gold UP $1.40

Canadian $ Down 9 tick @ 99.68

VIX UP 1.32% @ 16.87

Portfolio is AMZN,CF,LVS,JCP

Most stocks are down

@ 2.31 following are UP :

APKT,HMC,YHOO,M,NFLX,FFIV,CRUS,
TZA,RIMM,CLF,FB,ZNGA,BRCM,JDSU,
CIEN,FNSR,MCD......

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

PS..post was delayed to listen to press conference by President Obama which did not help this market.

Saleem


Tuesday, November 13, 2012

Indices closed down .40% to .70%......

Indices closed down on worries about Europe & Fiscal cliff.

S&P 500 closed @ 1374.53

RSI @ 32.34

CMF @ -0.061

Internals were :

Down volume led by 2.24 to 1 in NYSE & 2.35 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 2.13 to 1 in NYSE & 2.10 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk lows were leading by 82 in NYSE & 101 in Nasdaq

VIX closed down .18% @ 16.65

Oil closed @ $85.38

Gold closed @ $1724.80

AH ER / News :

MOS Down 5.10%

POT Down 1.50%

CF Down 1.41%

AGU Down 1.35%

CSCO UP 7.54%

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil Down 

AH Gold UP

About market, TAPE has been extremely weak since election & have closed below 200 DMA for four days in S&P 500. CSCO may ignite buying which gives a chance for booking profit. I am of the view that there is so much technical damage, that we may resume downward move from Thursday onwards. One number to keep in mind that we need to close well above 1381.58 in S&P 500, this is 200 DMA.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices mixed.....

Nasdaq is down while Dow & S&P 500 are UP.

S&P 500 @ 1384.88 after dipping to 1371.39

Internals are negative

Oil Down 34 cents

Gold Down $6.10

Canadian $ Down 14 tick @ 99.85, lower than US$

VIX down 1.98% @ 16.35

In my Portfolio :

Sold BIDU

Bought CF @ $198.05

Bought JCP @ $17.72

Portfolio is AMZN,CF,LVS,JCP

Exposure 58%

Most stocks are down

@ 2.20 following are green :

AMZN,CF,LEN,AAPL,M,YHOO,PANW,
CMG,NFLX,FFIV,SNDK,PCLN,KORS,
LULU,FCX,LNKD,MA,QCOM,EGO,

MLNX,WYNN,EGO.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, November 12, 2012

Mixed close today.......

Indices were struggling on low volume.

S&P 500 closed @ 1380.03

RSI @ 33.86

CMF -0.055

Internals were :

Down volume led by 1.27 to 1 in NYSE & 1.05 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.13 to 1 in NYSE & 1.17 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk lows were leading by 24 in NYSE & 68 in Nasdaq

VIX closed UP 10.37% @ 16.68

Oil closed @ $85.57

Gold closed @ $1730.90

Stocks which closed UP included BIDU,APKT,
CF,YHOO,CMG,TCK,PCLN,LULU,FCX,TZA,
RIMM,COH,LNKD,MA,GMCR,FB,LRCX,
BRCM,CIEN,C,ARNA,X,CCJ,SINA,MS,
BJRI,GS.....

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Down

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, TAPE has been weak & needs capitulation. Internals have been weak but needs an extreme negative ratios to qualify for capitulation. Currently there is still hope & optimism that many are predicting a "move UP on a daily basis". I think we test 1373.03 in S&P 500 and go lower. This analysis is based on historical trend. A flush out & then recovery. IF i have to take a guess...it looks like Thursday may be an UP day.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices UP .23% to .27%........NICE !!!!

Indices are UP ....

S&P 500 @ 1383.57, 200 DMA @ 1381.30, low Friday 1373.03..so far its higher low.....

Internals are positive

Oil Down 16 cents

Gold Down $2.20

Canadian $ UP 19 tick @ 100.06..above US$

VIX Down 8.60% @ 17.01...this is not a good indicator today of what is happening in equities ?

Portfolio is AMZN,BIDU,LVS

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.20 following are Down :

LVS,HMC,AAPL,LEN,JCP,AUY,FFIV,CRUS,SNDK,
GG,NVDA,MOS,SBUX,EGO,SLW,MLNX,WYNN,
SNE....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem






Sold APKT & PANW.......

Sold APKT & PANW....

Booked gain in APKT & sold the dog PANW

Portfolio is AMZN,BIDU,LVS....

Exposure down to 48%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

PS..practicing what i am preaching.....

Saleem

Sunday, November 11, 2012

Downward move intensifying, what to do ?

Here we are, indices are below all technical support & majority of stocks are breaking down, not a scenario for optimism......

We all know which group has taken to or are responsible for this technical breakdown.......

Knowing the players who love being on TV but never accomplishing task @ hand, will take this market to lower level.

Currently weak support is in 1350 to 1360 area......

Major support is around 1320 area with 1290 area as line in the sand....

These support level seems given based on history of US politicians, waiting for last second for token deal & pushing everything to another Super-committee to report in 90 days.......

SO based on history, it is important to adjust to this ongoing reality till Christmas week.......

I am looking @ seven weeks of well defined negativity......

What we can do in the meantime is :

-Sell the under-performing stocks ASAP

-Sell the rally

-Keep reducing exposure

-Those who are brave enough VIX can be a good contrary position.

-Book "small profit ASAP"

It IS important to understand this ongoing Wall Street wisdom "NEVER FIGHT THE TAPE"

I have already started reducing exposure & will do more to be @ a "higher comfort level"

Good luck with your OWN analysis & comfort level.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, November 9, 2012

Indices closed UP .03% to .32%.....NICE !!!!

Indices managed to close green.

S&P 500 closed @ 1379.85

RSI @ 33.77

CMF -0.096

Internals were :

Down volume led by .89 to 1 in NYSE & 1.02 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.10 to 1 in NYSE & 1.01 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk lows were leading by 57 in NYSE & 102 in Nasdaq

VIX closed UP .65% @ 18.61

Oil closed @ $86.07

Gold closed @ $1730.90

Canadian $ closed @ 99.87....below US$

Portfolio is APKT,AMZN,BIDU,LVS,PANW

Here is my portfolio weighting :

PANW 26.42%

LVS    22.10%

AMZN 18.54%

BIDU 17.00%

APKT 15.94%

Exposure 83%

Stocks which closed UP 1% or more included APKT,LVS,
AAPL,NFLX,FFIV,CRUS,GOOG,RIMM,CLF,LRCX,
QCOM,ARNA,STLD,CCJ.....

Next post by 2 PM on Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, November 8, 2012

Indices closed down .94% to 1.42%......

Indices closed @ lowest level of the day, S&P 500 & Nasdaq closed @ the lowest fraction of the day, DOW missed by few tick.......

S&P 500 @ 1377.51

RSI @ 32.60...this is lowest since June 2012....bullish indicator

CMF @ -0.114...this is not so extreme in this selling...bullish indicator

Internals were :

Down volume led by 4.39 to 1 in NYSE & 3.83 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 2.70 to 1 in NYSE & 2.79 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk lows were leading by 29 in NYSE & 77 in Nasdaq

VIX closed Down 3.14% @ 18.48

Oil closed @ $85.09

Gold closed @ $1726.00

AH ER / News :

PCLN Down 1.89%

EXPE Down 4.02%

GRPN Down 16.07%

KYAK UP 26.61%

OWW UP 12.74%

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Down

AH Oil & Gold UP

Chinese CPI for October came in @ +1.7% vs expectations of +1.9%
Chinese PPI for October came in @ -2.8% vs expectations of -2.7%
These numbers are extremely bullish, as this leaves lot of room for Chinese Central bank to ease up.

About market, we have gone through a major pullback & it may have run its course. Sentiments is extremely negative which IS a contrary indicator. Even "super bull Jimmy the Cramer" is crying uncle. Expecting a green close for Friday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

S&P 500 trying to stay above 200 DMA.....

Indices are in "correction mode" as politicians are showing their "double talk on TV".....

S&P 500 @ 1383.85, low today 1381.28 fraction above 200 DMA @ 1380.74

RSI @ 34.14

Internals are negative by 2 to 1

Oil UP 33 cents

Gold UP $13.60

Canadian $ Down 36 tick @ 100.03

VIX Down 2.25% @ 18.65

In my portfolio :

Sold RVBD

Portfolio is APKT,AMZN,BIDU,LVS,PANW

Exposure 83%

Most stocks are down

@ 1.50 following are green :

APKT,AUY,GG,AEM,TZA,LRCX,C,
QCOM,ARNA,NVDA,EGO,SLW,
BAC,MLNX,KOG.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Wednesday, November 7, 2012

Indices closed down 2.36% to 2.48%......

Indices were in intense selling pressure until close.

S&P 500 closed @ 1394.53

RSI @ 37.01

CMF @ -0.104

Internals were :

Down volume led by 10.16 to 1 in NYSE & 7.37 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 4.52 to 1 in NYSE & 5.85 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk lows were leading by 8 in NYSE & 70 in Nasdaq

VIX closed UP 8.53% @ 19.08

Oil closed @ $84.44

Gold closed @ $1714.00

AH ER :

WFM Down 1.96%

QCOM UP 7.81%

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Down

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, today was a culmination of Romney defeat, Mario Draghi comment about Germany. Barak Obama victory did not sit well with HF / Bankers also. Republican's in a televised press conference showed willingness to work with Re-elected President. Reaction was half as bad as last victory of President Obama when Dow plunged 5.1%.Today was an over-reaction to above mentioned. I believe market will be back to building its momentum again.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem