Monday, February 28, 2022

Indices closed mixed...

 Indices closed mixed.

S&P 500 @ 4373.94, low 4315.12, high 4388.84

RSI @ 44.93

CMF @ 0.195

Internals were :

Down volume led by 1.43 to 1 in NYSE & 1.70 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.10 to 1 in NYSE & 1.03 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 57 in NYSE & 122 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 9.28% @ 30.15

Oil @ $95.72

Gold @ $1900.70

Canadian $ @ .7334

Portfolio HST BTCC MGM NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

Stocks which were UP 3% or more included

BTCC PLTR RIOT SOL

APA XPEV NTR MOS FSLR

SPWR JKS SEDG ENPH CSIQ

NIO AFRM HOOD CCJ COIN ARKK

MGNI CLF MSTR DASH RUN DKNG

PANW ZM CRWD UBER BYND TWLO

TSLA QS OXY SQ OSTK.....

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, TAPE reacted to sanctions against Russia which was affecting their currency which slumped 30% in a day. Market erased most of the losses while Nasdaq was the strongest index with a green close. Banks & airlines were weak. Hopefully Tuesday will be a better day for most indices.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, February 27, 2022

US stock market in recovery mode.....

 US stock market may have discounted just about everything.

First it was COVID-19 and its many manifestations...

Second it was a major shutdown of world economies..

Third spiraling cost of just about everything

Fourth Mighty Fed wants to control Inflation

Fifth Russia trying to take over Ukraine

Sixth West & Russia on collision course to control everything from Russia

I do think most of the above have entered an end game not to far away.....

World economy is slowly ratcheting UP

Cost are coming down IF you can believe it...look @ lumber and maybe Oil has seen its peak also, Gold lower...gold & silver stocks are not looking healthy....

Even technology stocks have found solid support...some are heading higher think BLOCK

YES..it will be a slow grind in near term...because Fed has to do something in few days...will it be .25 basis or 50 basis...my bet 50 basis will be greeted with a strong rally...then a wait for 2 months for another hike....while we make up lost ground....

Please look @ your portfolio closely, it is looking dicey on Wall & Broad...be well diversified with restart stocks....they are ready and able to vroom vroom hard

World is opening up for travelers, most restrictions are gone and / or are on their way out

SO stay calm, show conviction and patience, because we have a long way to travel nirvana....

Good luck with your own analysis, expertise and comfort level.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem




Friday, February 25, 2022

Indices closed UP 1.64% to 2.51%...NICE !!!!

 Indices closed UP back to back to confirm this new uptrend. Many sector participated. Indices closed @ high of the day.

S&P 500 @ 4384.65, high 4385.34, low 4286.83

RSI @ 45.61

CMF @ 0.215

Internals were :

UP volume led by 5.28 to 1 in NYSE & 3.26 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 4.29 to 1 in NYSE & 2.59 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 92 in NYSE & 90 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 9.00% @ 27.59

Oil @ $91.54

Gold @ $1887.60

Canadian $ @ .7255

Stocks which were UP 3% or more included MGM UAL

APA NTR MOS MGA TJX PYPL GE TECK SQ M

ARKK X ROKU CNQ MGNI SCHW FCX CLF

PINS AMD PFE PANW TOL DAL ENPH CVX

DHI PHM KBH EXPE LAC.....

Here is my portfolio weighting :

HST      24.99%

UAL     19.64%

MGM   19.33%

PLTR  10.92%

BTCC    9.14%

NCLH   8.42%

SOL      4.47%

RIOT   3.09%

Next post by 6 PM on Sunday

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, February 24, 2022

Indices closed UP .28% to 3.34%....NICE !!!!!

 Indices closed UP.

S&P 500 @ 4288.70, high 4294.73, low 4114.65

RSI @ 37.82

CMF @ 0.123

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.04 to 1 in NYSE & 3.54 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.14 to 1 in NYSE & 1.52 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 1070 in NYSE & 1308 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 2.26% @ 30.32

Oil @ $92.81

Gold @ $1926.30

Canadian $ @ .7155

Portfolio HST BTCC MGM NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

Stocks which were UP 7% or more included PLTR RIOT SOL

AFRM CCJ SQ M ARKK ROKU MGNI DASH

PINS RUN DKNG CSIQ PANW ZI CRWD

ESTC UBER ENPH SEDG MRNA OLED

QS FSR OSTK MSTR....

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets UP

AH Oil UP

AH Gold Down

About market, TAPE saw its most climactic selling today on news of Russian entry into Ukraine. In the late afternoon lot of short covering and spirited buying pulled all indices in a v bottom action, All indices closed @ or near high of the day, a complete turnaround. Most sectors participated in today's V reversal.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Wednesday, February 23, 2022

Indices closed down 1.31% to 2.57%....

 Indices closed down.

S&P 500 @ 4335.50, low 4221.51, high 4341.51

RSI @ 31.84

CMF @ 0.039

Internals were :

Down volume led by 2.80 to 1 in NYSE & 3.51 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 2.92 to 1 in NYSE & 3.15 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 538 in NYSE & 684 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 7.67% @ 31.62

Oil @ $92.10

Gold @ $1910.40

Canadian $ @ .7279

In my portfolio :

Sold CNX @ $15.89

Added 50% MGM @ $22.45

Added 45% SOL @ $5.15

Portfolio HST BTCC MGM NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

Stocks which closed green included CNX

SLI CTRA SNAP MOS MGA AG PAAS

FCX DKNG CSIQ PANW PENN NEM 

CVX AEM API OXY SLB LNG JKS

OSTK PANW.....

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Down

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, TAPE opened higher but turned lower quickly then closed @ lowest point of 2022, not a good sign, most indices have gone well below correction and some hitting bear definition of down 20%. It has been a very difficult market but opportunistic buying must be done IF you know the stocks well. Very few ever buy @ low of the year and very few sell @ highest point of the year.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, February 22, 2022

Indices closed down 1.01% to 1.42%.....

 Indices closed down.

S&P 500 @ 4304.76, low 4267.11, high 4362.12

RSI @ 35.85

CMF @ 0.088

Internals were :

Down volume led by 3.97 to 1 in NYSE & 2.66 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 3.79 to 1 in NYSE & 2.91 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 445 in NYSE & 658 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 3.82% @ 28.81

Oil @ $92.35

Gold @ $1907.40

Canadian $ @ .7260

Portfolio HST BTCC CNX MGM NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

Stocks which closed green included

CCJ GE ROKU CNQ MGNI

CLF DKNG DOCU CRWD

MCD TWLO SPLK API

AMD CIEN.....

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil Unchanged

AH Gold Down

About market, TAPE reacted to politics of US vs Russia on Ukraine situation. Reaction was muted as this was in the news for a while. This TAPE remains very difficult @ its worst very bearish & on oversold bounce brings optimism. We closed very very close to recent lows. We are all set for an oversold bounce.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, February 21, 2022

US stock market in full blown bear market....

 US stock market is giving every signal that " all is not well "

Nothing matters these days :

10 year yield UP, market goes down

10 year yield goes down, market goes down

Earnings bad, stock goes down after being down 50%

Earnings good, stock goes down after being down 40%

Ukraine has become " center of all international tension " and market goes down on positive or negative development....there is no oil there or can it disrupt international trade in any way....but market has made it end all and be all issue.....a sure sign of bear market...nothing matters.....

World economy is racing back to normalcy, vaccine requirements being pushed out, planes are flying, factories are humming, trucks and containers are moving...but we keep going down.....

Famous chip shortage is another mystery after 2 years of COVID-19...does not make sense on lowered Auto production worldwide for 2 years.....

Once we complete this " bear cycle " and turn UP, none of the issues will matter....nobody will even mention Ukraine or Chip shortage...

SO keep your focus on your fundamental & technical analysis of each company in your holdings...that is all which matters in end....

Be ready to buy when downward pressure is @ maximum or reshuffle your portfolio to better mix....

YES...all bear markets do end and they become very painful in the end...which IS just about NOW...

Good luck with your patience & conviction, two virtues of fighting a full blown bear market...

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, February 18, 2022

Indices closed down .68% to 1.23%.....

 Indices closed down near low of the day while Nasdaq closed after creating " death cross "Market action was extremely bearish while there sellers on any news even good earnings report being punished like NVDA.

S&P 500 @ 4348.87, low 4327.22, high 4394.60

RSI @ 38.35

CMF @ 0.162

Internals were :

Down volume led by 2.03 to 1 in NYSE & 2.80 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.84 to 1 in NYSE & 2.10 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 220 in NYSE & 424 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 1.21% @ 27.75

Oil @ $91.07

Gold @ $1899.80

Canadian $ @ .7247

Stocks which closed green included

SLI TJX M QCOM QRVO SWKS

AMD TOL EAT DHI PHM FFIV

NFLX LTHM JWN LNG JKS

LVS ULTA NKE CMG.....

Here is my portfolio weighting ;

HST       25.19%

UAL      20.09

MGM   12.30%

PLTR  10.38%

BTCC    9.26%

NCLH   8.98%

CNX     7.46%

RIOT    3.20%

SOL     3.14%

Next post on Monday around 6 PM, US & Canadian Markets are closed on Monday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Thursday, February 17, 2022

Indices closed down 1.78% to 2.88%....

 Indices closed down

S&P 500 @ 4380.26, low 4373.81, high 4456.06

RSI @ 40.20

CMF @ 0.122

Internals were :

Down volume led by 3.35 to 1 in NYSE & 4.47 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 2.82 to 1 in NYSE & 3.64 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 176 in NYSE & 299 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 15.73% @ 28.11

Oil @ $91.76

Gold @ $1902.00

Canadian $ @ .7298

In my portfolio ...added 350% PKTR @ $12.65

Portfolio HST BTCC CNX MGM NCLH PLTR RIOT SOK UAL

Stocks which closed green included

XPEV NTR AG PAAS DASH GOLD NEM AEM OXY LNG....

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Down

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, TAPE was in selling mode because they could. Most sectors were red and internals were negative. One day UP and next day DOWN is the pattern of a very weak market, IF you have conviction " stay with conviction " opportunistic buying is a great idea on weak days and quick booking of profit on UP days seems to work, rest is noise.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Wednesday, February 16, 2022

Indices closed mixed....

 Indices closed mixed.

S&P 500 @ 4475.01, high 4489.55, low 4429.68

RSI @ 46.48

CMF @ 0.114

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.31 to 1 in NYSE & .97 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.87 to 1 in NYSE & 1.07 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 145 in NYSE & 201 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 5.49% @ 24.29

Oil @ $93.66

Gold @ $1871.50

Canadian $ @ .7310

Portfolio HST BTCC CNX MGM NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

Stocks which closed green included HST NCLH

NTR MOS AG M BYD JBLU RCL CCL QRVO

PAAS CNQ LAC FCX SNOW GOLD NXPI

GOOS NEM AEM CIEN NTAP DDOG

ASML AMZN FFIV SLB LNG....

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, TAPE was under some selling pressure in anticipation of Fed minutes, after 2 PM once minutes were known there was a sigh of relief and market recovered nicely and made a respectable close, in this case a mixed close. This remains a very difficult market but there is gradual recovery taking place.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, February 15, 2022

Indices closed UP 1.22% to 2.53%....NICW !!!!

 Indices closed UP.

S&P 500 @ 4471.07, high 4472.77, low 4429.28

RSI @ 46.16

CMF @ 0.050

Internals were :

UP volume led by 3.53 to 1 in NYSE & 6.49 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 3.03 to 1 in NYSE & 3.88 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 224 in NYSE & 145 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 9.28% @ 25.70

Oil @ $92.07

Gold @ $1856.20

Canadian $ @ .7251

Portfolio HST BTCC CNX MGM NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

Stocks which were UP 4% or more included

BTCC HST NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

SLI SNAP AMAT XPEV FSLR SPWR NIO

MU GE COIN X JBLU ROKU MRVL WYNN

QCOM QRVO LAC CCL CLF MSTR RUN AMD 

CSIQ JKS GAN LYFT NXPI SHOP CIEN DAL

CRWD UBER ENPH TER BYND NVDA LRCX

OLED QS FSR ULTA GOOS....

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, TAPE staged an oversold bounce based on positive development on Ukraine border. All sectors participated in todays run except energy stocks which needed a rest. Keep focus on booking profit based on RSI or your own strategy.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, February 14, 2022

Indices closed down .0.01% to .49%....

 Indices closed down.

S&P 500 @ 4401.67, low 4364.84, high 4426.22

RSI @ 40.22

CMF @ -0.024

Internals were :

Down volume led by 3.08 to 1 in NYSE & 1.54 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 2.80 to 1 in NYSE & 2.17 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 577 in NYSE & 367 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 3.55% @ 28.33

Oil @ $95.46

Gold @ $1869.40

Canadian $ @ .7264

Portfolio HST BTCC CNX MGM NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

Stocks which closed green included CNX PLTR SOL

MGA AG SQ QRVO SWKS DASH AMD GOLD

GOOS ZM NVDA TWLO TSLA AEM AMZN 

SPLK EXPE LVS MA NKE KBH PANW....

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil Down

AH Gold UP

About market, TAPE continues to digest yield increase and building support @ the same time, we may be ready to start moving UP gradually. So far we have not violated lows from that famous Monday, which is a good thing. Some stocks are showing relative strength and they belong to many sectors and should be bought.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, February 13, 2022

US stock market in trouble.....

 US stock market on Friday gave a very troubling picture.....

Excuse was Russia, but it reflected more of its own negative slant...

Technically speaking, we are on a troubling downward slope

Nasdaq is the first major index which is "staring @ Death Cross "

Nasdaq has come down a long way from strongest index to showing

most technical deterioration......

RUSSELL 2000 is showing death cross......small cap in real trouble

TAN / Solar stocks also showing Death Cross

On the strength side, nobody should be surprised that XLE is making new 8 year high, Energy stocks keeps on making new all time highs, largely ignored by " smart crowd"

SO...there is much more room to go UP in XLE

RSI wise XLE is sporting a very healthy 72.00...more room to run to 80++++

TAN / Solar is showing weakest RSI @ 39.78

Second most strong RSI of 55.09 is shown by JETS, airlines ETF

XLF showing 3rd strongest RSI @ 53.25

Nasdaq showing 2nd weakest RSI @ 40.80

As one can clearly see that there is a " strong message from TAPE "

Never fight the message of market when it is so clear cut....

It will be very difficult to make money in this type of TAPE unless you are in right sector and in right stocks, first may be easy after the fact, BUT stock selection requires deep study of fundamentals & technicals....

Do not be complacent, when market is proving you wrong, please accept and make necessary changes.

Good luck with your own analysis and comfort level.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, February 11, 2022

Indices closed down 1.43% to 2.78%.....

 Indices closed down near low of the day, reason being Russian scare about an invasion of Ukraine. Bond yield came down from record level of yesterday.

S&P 500 @ 4418.64, low 4401.41, high 4526.33

RSI @ 41.25

CMF @ 0.009

Internals were :

Down volume led by 1.93 to 1 in NYSE & 2.60 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 2.40 to 1 in NYSE & 2.57 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 422 in NYSE & 308 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 14.43% @ 27.36

Oil @ $93.10

Gold @ $1842.10

Canadian $ @ .7319

Stocks which closed green included CNX

APA SU OXY SLB LNG CNQ NTR

MOS CGC AG TECK DKNG NEM

NVAX CVX AEM GLD MRNA

TOU....

Here is my portfolio weighting :

HST      25.87%

UAL     21.63%

MGM  13.96%

BTCC 10.65%

NCLH   9.87%

CNX     8.13%

RIOT   3.76%

SOL     3.44%

PLTR  2.69%

Next post by 6 PM on Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, February 10, 2022

Indices closed down 1.47% to 2.10%...

 Indices closed down.

S&P 500 @ 4504.08, low 4484.31, high 4588.92

RSI @ 46.89

CMF @ 0.011

Internals were :

Down volume led by 2.90 to 1 in NYSE & 2.81 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 3.09 to 1 in NYSE & 2.25 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 384 in NYSE & 204 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 19.79% @ 23.91

Oil @ $89.88

Gold @ $1837.40

Canadian $ @ .7351

Portfolio HST BTCC CNX MGM NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included CNX SOL

MOS MU X CLF SNOW ZI DDOG PDD BA TWLO....

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, TAPE was under selling pressure again as 10 year yield went UP to 2.04%. There was comment by a Fed official that a 50 basis point increase in Fed fund rate may be necessary, which is a foregone conclusion even before today's hotter than expected inflation rate. Hopefully we stabilize here and close on Friday may be positive.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Wednesday, February 9, 2022

Indices closed UP .86% to 2.08%....NICE !!!!

 Indices closed UP.

S&P 500 @ 4587.18, high 4590.03, low 4547.00

RSI @ 53.48

CMF @ 0.037

Internals were :

UP volume led by 4.27 to 1 in NYSE & 6.56 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 2.99 to 1 in NYSE & 2.41 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 75 in NYSE & 80 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 6.90% @ 19.96

Oil @ $89.66

Gold @ $1836.60

Canadian $ @ .7321

Portfolio HST BTCC CNX MGM NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

Stocks which were UP 4% or more included

NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

SLI SNAP XPEV NIO AFRM

MU CCJ BYD SAVE TRIP ROKU 

TWTR WYNN PENN FCX CLF 

MSTR DASH PANW LYFT GOOS

DOCU SHOP CRWD ENPH FB LRCX

SQ CMG....

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil UP

AH Gold Down

About market, TAPE was strong and most sector participated in today's rally. Indices closed near high of the day. Internals were mostly strong & positive. FB finally got bid from value traders. Most stay home stocks came to life also.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, February 8, 2022

Indices closed UP .84% to 1.28%....NICE !!!!

 Indices closed UP.

S&P 500 @ 4521.54, high 4531.32, low 4465.40

RSI @ 48.13

CMF @ 0.038

Internals were :

UP volume led by 2.03 to 1 in NYSE & 2.36 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.58 to 1 in NYSE & 1.71 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 258 in NYSE & 183 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 6.21% @ 21.44

Oil @ $89.36

Gold @ $1827.90

Canadian $ @ .7289

Portfolio HST BTCC CNX MGM NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

Stocks which were UP 3% or more included

MGM NCLH RIOT SOL UAL

AFRM MU X JBLU RCL CCL

MRVL SWKS AAL LAC MGNI

FCX CLF BIDU PDD BABA

AMD LYFT GOOS DAL PDD

EXPE JWN JKS SLI OSTK...

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets UP

AH Oil UP

AH Gold Down

About market, TAPE was strong and closed near high of the day, it was a much more balanced market today in recent memory, restart stocks, Chinese & Semiconductors stocks all participated. Only group which lagged today was FANG an ongoing phenomenon. Internals were mostly positive.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, February 7, 2022

Indices closed mixed.....

 Indices closed mixed.

S&P 500 @ 4483.87, low 4471.47, high 4521.86

RSI @ 44.74

CMF @ 0.053

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.39 to 1 in NYSE & 1.36 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.16 to 1 in NYSE & 1.33 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 194 in NYSE & 189 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 1.55 % @ 22.86

Oil @ $91.32

Gold @ 22.86

Canadian $ @ .7313

Portfolio BTCC CNX HST MGM NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

Stocks which were UP 3% or more included

BTCC NCLH RIOT UAL

AG PAAS COIN JBLU

AAL SAVE TRIP RCL

WYNN MSTR SNOW

NEM SLB.....

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil Down

AH Gold UP

About market, TAPE was UP then down then UP and finally closed mixed, close was less than impressive. Internals were half decent. Reopen, Crypto & select technology stocks did well, FANG is not faring well lately. Rotation has taken hold. Monitor your portfolio for relative performance daily and react accordingly.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, February 6, 2022

US stock market in higher interest rates.....

 US stock market is entering a new era of higher interest rates in few days.

Starting in March stock market will face a new challenge of an increase of 50 basis points in Fed funds rates, impact of this will be felt in many ways :

Higher Prime rates

Higher Mortgage rates

Higher payments on may line of credits / interest rates tied to prime.

Higher monthly payment on all borrowing will curtail spending

Stock market will go in ICU again....

Stock market hates uncertainty in any shape size or form especially higher payments for most.

Corporate profits will be impacted with lower Sales on many front

Corporate borrowing cost will jump

All in all not a minor blip

US stock market action recently is giving every indication that go go days of 2020 is long gone, buy and hold may not work.

US stock market has changed, lot of jitter and lot of pain for participants.

US stock market will require a " new skill set " to navigate through frequent volatility

2020 bad habits may not go so easily as it was so simple to go with the flow and quadruple your money...

Current market environment is such that losing money may be a recurring phenomenon....

Higher interest rates which may jump again in May leaves little time for error or rebuilding equity.

Expect a very difficult first 6 months of 2022

You do have few choices to deal with new and difficult US stock market :

Reduce exposure by @ least 50%, 25% exposure is recommended

Try to be nimble, go for quick singles and wait for another opportunity.

Completely stay out of stock market until October of 2022, which may present a very nice entry point.

Based on the above choices, IF you stay in even with less exposure, do not look @ bargains, look for restart of economy stocks in a well diversified format.

IF your selection does not make you money in 1 week, then you have to start all over quickly with different set of stocks....

I think I have made my points very well, it is up to you to thinks and act based on your own comfort level & understanding of current market environment.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, February 4, 2022

Indices closed mixed.....

 This was among the wild week which I have encountered since 1999, Jobs data was well above expectations and all previous jobs numbers were revised UP, a total reversal of employment picture. Bond yield jumped to highest level to justify 2 hikes in March & May.

S&P 500 @ 4500.53, high 4539.66, low 4451.50

RSI @ 45.97

CMF @ 0.059

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.28 to 1 in NYSE & 2.60 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by .88 to 1 in NYSE & 1.79 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 318 in NYSE & 298 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 4.64% @ 23.22

Oil @ $92.31

Gold @ $1807.80

Canadian $ @ .7238

Stocks which were UP 3% or more included 

BTCC MGM PLTR RIOT SOL

SLI XPEV AFRM HOOD CCJ SQ

BYD ROKU MRVL TWTR MGNI MSTR

DASH PINS DKNG PANW DOCU SHOP DDOG

TSLA AMZN SNAP....

In my portfolio Bought CNX @ $15.07

Here is my portfolio weighting 100% exposure :

HST          26.34%

UAL         20.77%

MGM       14.40%

BTCC     10.76%

NCLH      9.82%

CNX        8.18%

RIOT      3.57%

SOL        3.37%

PLTR     2.79%

Next post by 6 PM on Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, February 3, 2022

Indices closed down 1.45% to 3.74%.....

 Indices closed down.

S&P 500 @ 4477.44, low 4470.39, high 4542.89

RSI @ 43.99

CMF @ 0.051

Internals were :

Down volume led by 4.58 to 1 in NYSE & 5.43 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 4.74 to 1 in NYSE & 3.74 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 185 in NYSE & by 194 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 10.23% @ 24.35

Oil @ $90.27

Gold @ $1804.10

Canadian $ @ .7318

In my portfolio :

Bought SOL @ $5.10

Bought in closing seconds MGM @ $43.00

Portfolio HST BTCC MGM NCLH PLTR RIOT SOL UAL

Stocks which closed green included

HOOD GE TECK IBM BABA OXY....

AH Futures UP

AH Asian markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, TAPE was in freefall thanks to FB earnings which took entire technology sector down along with other other stocks. AH AMZN & SNAP stole the show with their earnings reports showing huge gains. 830 AM it is all about jobs report which is expecting 165K which may be another miss. This market is extremely jittery and is working on emotions and overreaction not an ideal investing or trading environment. Have your own game plan and execute without guidance from any guru.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem 

Wednesday, February 2, 2022

Indices closed UP .63% to .94%...NICE !!!!

 Indices closed UP.

S&P 500 @ 4589.38, high 4595.31, low 4544.32

RSI @ 52.71

CMF @ 0.039

Internals were :

Down volume led by .99 to 1 in NYSE & 1.44 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.01 to 1 in NYSE & 1.65 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new highs were leading by 17 in NYSE & lows by 53 in Nasdaq

VIX UP .59% @ 22.09

Oil @ $88.26

Gold @ $1810.30

Canadian $ @ .7308

In my portfolio :

Added 25% BTCC.TO @ $7.57

Added 100% RIOT @ $15.17

Bought PLTR @ $13.31

Portfolio HST BTCC NCLH PLTR RIOT UAL

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included CNX CTRA AMAT

MOS MU X MRVL QCOM QRVO SWKS CLF AMD IBM MSFT

NXPI NEM AEM KL TOLKBH MTCH EAT NVDA MCD LRCX

GOOG LNG MA V ORCL....

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, TAPE scored its 4th UP day @ close, internals were weak. AH FB slammed the rally brake by missing and guiding lower, 42 analysts had a buy on FB thus a stunning reversal & down action in FB as much as 23%. SNAP, TWTR also went down sharply. AH Futures are down 342 in Nasdaq, could be the-worst carnage in tech land on Thursday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, February 1, 2022

Indices closed UP .69% to .78%...NICE !!!!

 Indices closed UP.

S&P 500 @ 4546.54, high 4550.49, low 4483.53

RSI @ 49.12

CMF @ -0.008

Internals were :

UP volume led by 3.20 to 1 in NYSE & 3.69 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 2.84 to 1 in NYSE & 2.78 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new lows were leading by 14 in NYSE & 56 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 11.56% @ 21.96

Oil @ $88.20

Gold @ $1801.50

Canadian $ @ .7310

In my portfolio :

Sold MGM @ $44.25

Sold SNAP in AH @ $35.00

Portfolio HST BTCC NCLH RIOT UAL

Stocks which were UP 3% or more included RIOT NCLH MGM SNAP

PLTR SU CNX APA AFRM LULU TECK COIN X SAVE RCL WYNN

CNQ CCL FCX CLF DKNG GAN PENN BA NFLX OXY OSTK

GOOS....

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian Markets UP

AH Oil UP

AH Gold Down

About market, TAPE went UP 3 day's in a row and closing @ high of the day. Earnings were strong from GOOG with 20 to 1 stock split, PYPL was the loser of the day taking down SQ, AFRM in AH. Most technology stocks were UP in celebration of GOOG earnings. Do not forget to do some selling in this strength.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem