Monday, August 6, 2012

Indices UP .52% to .99%....NICE !!!!

Indices are going UP again.

S&P 500 @ 1398.15

Internals are positive by 2 to 1

Oil UP 41 cents

Gold UP $5.20

Canadian $ UP 16 tick @ 100.02

VIX UP 2.05% @ 15.96

Portfolio is BIDU LVS LEN NTES JCP TCK AUY

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.29 following are RED :

LEN YUM CMG LULU M AMZN 
MA BRCM GMCR BWLD ARNA
PANW SNE

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, August 5, 2012

Are we all set to take out April high of 1422.38.....YES we CAN !!!!

SO..here we are on Aug 3rd of 2012, S&P 500 sitting @ 1390.99.


There is no QE3


There is NO Draghi shock & awe

World economy is hitting the lowest point since 2009

Spain & Italy still under severe stress

Greece willing to say yes to any condition for "staying alive"


BUT S&P 500 keeps chugging along ?


Many simplistic analytical tool is telling you to hide in cash, as there is "no sign of hope from "Draghi to Bernanke"


Simple never makes it in real world ever......


Those who made it to the top were "not looking for ideal condition"


"Those who fight adversity, succeed in the end"


But on Wall & Broad, trader make it big when dealing with "negativity & hopelessness"


That is known as "contrary indicator"........


Wall Street generally projects six months out, which in today's term is "February 2013"


IF you can project that far, then you can "see the light @ the end of this economic tunnel"


We may be looking @ above 3% GDP growth in US, Canada.....


Our favourite economist Roubini & Rosenberg were calling for "recession" in US which spooked many investors. Facts never backed this theory.


Many CNBC "know it all are predicting hard landing in China" which further erodes investors confidence.


SO Wall Street, true to its reputation of being "smarter than all pundits put together", is marching to its own drum. It is sitting only 32 points away from making a "new 52 wk high"....


I have a strong conviction, that we are looking @ best August in a long time, where series of  new 52 wk highs could be in the cards.


Can we go near 1500 in S&P 500, please do not bet against it.


BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.


Saleem

Friday, August 3, 2012

Indices closed UP 1.69% to 2.00%......NICE !!!!!

Indices were already UP in pre-market along with European Stock Exchanges, then came added fuel to bullish fire of 63% more job creation in USA.


S&P 500 closed @ 1390.99


RSI @ 60.67


Internals were :


UP volume led by 8.10 to 1 in NYSE & 4.95 to 1 in Nasdaq


Advancing stocks led by 4.81 to 1 in NYSE & 3.30 to 1 in Nasdaq


New 52 wk highs were leading, 194 in NYSE & 66 in Nasdaq


VIX tumbled 10.98% @ 15.64.......long time since digit 15 @ close.

Oil closed @ $91.40

Gold closed @ $1609.30

Canadian $ went above US$ to as high as 100.20.


In my portfolio :


Added 25% more AUY @ $14.70


Portfolio is BIDU,LVS,LEN,NTES,JCP,TCK,AUY


Here is my portfolio weighting as of close :


NTES 25.04%
 LVS   16.16%
TCK   15.06%
AUY  14.52%
JCP    12.37%
LEN   10.12%
BIDU  6.73%
Exposure 147%

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included BIDU,LVS,NTES,JCP,
PCLN,KORS,TIF,
LULU,M,CLF,
FCX,GOOG,LNKD,FB,CMG,
SU,LRCX,MU,JDSU,CIEN,FNSR,C.......


Next post by 2 PM Sunday.


BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.


Saleem

Thursday, August 2, 2012

Indices closed down .36% to .74%.....

ECB threw cold water with its conference call, that nothing is ready to be implemented.


S&P 500 closed @ 1365.00


RSI @ 52.81


Internals were :


Down volume led by 3.59 to 1 in NYSE & 1.94 to 1 in Nasdaq


Declining stocks led by 1.63 to 1 in NYSE & 1.37 to 1 in Nasdaq


New 52 wk highs led by 26 in NYSE & new 52 wk lows led by 55 in Nasdaq


VIX closed Down7.33% @ 17.57


Oil closed@ $87.13


Gold closed @ $1590.70


In my portfolio :


Bought back 40% BIDU @ $121.71

Portfolio is BIDU,LVS,LEN,NTES,JCP,TCK,AUY

Exposure 143%


AH ER :


ONNN Down 6.43%


LNKD UP 7.31%


OPEN UP 14.20%


AH FuturesMixed


AH Asian Markets Mixed


AH Oil & Gold UP


About market, @ close.... reaction to ECB was pretty timid, this is telling me that TAPE remains healthy & it wants to go higher. Weak Jobs report reaction may be similar to today or positive by close. It is OK to remain optimistic as markets are handling disappointments in stride, this is a mark of a relatively strong market..


BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.


Saleem

Indices down .85% to 1.35% on ECB inaction....

ECB lack of concrete steps is taking a toll on world markets, Spain & Italy exchange is down about 5%.


Indices are down .85% to 1.35%.


S&P 500 @ 1356.92


Internals are negative form 1.5 to 1 to 3 to 1 range


Oil Down $1.61


Gold Down $17.00


Canadian $ Down 21 tick @ 99.27

VIX Down .63% @ 18.84...extremely surprised @ weakness.


In my portfolio :


Sold BIDU


Portfolio is LVS,LEN,NTES,JCP,TCK,AUY


Most stock are down


@ 2.11 following are green :


LEN,AUY,GG,LULU,M,CMG,V,
GMCR,BWLD,ARNA,YUM,EGO,
SLW,AEM.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Wednesday, August 1, 2012

Indices closed down .25% to .66%........

Indices reacted to Fed statement, which was changed a bit in language.


S&P 500 closed @ 1375.32


RSI @ 57.01


Internals were :


Down volume led by 1.88 to 1 in NYSE & 2.08 to 1 in Nasdaq


Declining stocks led by 1.67 to 1 in NYSE & 2.75 to 1 in Nasdaq


New highs led by 161 in NYSE & new lows led by 41 in Nasdaq


VIX UP.16% @ 18.96


Oil closed @ $88.91


Gold closed @ $1603.70


AH ER :


GMCR UP 12.67%


YELP UP 14.97%


FSLR UP 19.26%


AH Futures Mixed


AH Asian Markets Mixed


AH Oil & Gold Down


About market, it is all about ECB, meeting ends @ 730 AM EST, Press conference starts @ 830 AM EST. CNBC pundits are predicting little or no action & markets will be disappointed. I totally disagree, there will be decisions which will impact yields all over, Spain & Italy will benefit immediately, which is the-biggest challenge. I also expect concrete road map for many other specific actions. I am hopeful that European & US exchange should look lot healthier.


BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.


Saleem

Indices down .06% to .29% on Fed minutes.....

Fed policy statement saying that "economy has slowed in first half"...but no other change in language.


S&P 500 @ 1378.41


Internals are negative.

Oil UP 99 cents

Gold Down $8

Canadian $ Down 4 tick @ 99.64

VIX Down 3.38% @ 18.29....signalling better close.

Portfolio is BIDU,LVS,LEN,NTES,JCP,TCK,AUY

Most stocks are down


@ 2.36 following are green :


BIDU,LVS,NTES,LEN,AUY,COH,CLF,
SU,GOOG,LNG,LRCX,BRCM,CIEN,
SNDK,MU,MOS,X,STLD,AEM,
ECA,WYNN,FCX....


BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.


Saleem