Wednesday, February 6, 2013

Indices Down .17% to .29%.....

Indices are down after a sharp snapback yesterday.

S&P 500 @ 1508.08

Internals are negative

Oil Down 9 cents

Gold UP $4.00

Canadian $ Down 10 tick @ 100.28

VIX UP 2.19% @ 14.02

In my portfolio :

Added 150% BBRY @ 15.84

Portfolio is BAC,CRUS,BBRY,YHOO

Exposure 85%

Most stocks are down

@ 2.08 following are green :

BBRY,CRUS,YHOO,KORS,FB,LULU,
AAPL,CMG,GOOG,RVBD,YUM,BIDU,
FFIV,COH,CLF,LNKD,PCLN,GMCR,
ZNGA,JDSU,SNDK,MOS,FSLR,MCD,
X,STLD,SLW,MA,SINA,MGA,BJRI,
FCX,AGU.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, February 5, 2013

Indices closed UP .71% to 1.29%.....NICE !!!!

Indices rebounded nicely by closing green.

S&P 500 @ 1511.29, high today was 1514.96.

RSI @ 65.25

CMF @ 0.380

Internals were :

UP volume led by 3.42 to 1 in NYSE & 6.63 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 2.68 to 1 in NYSE & 2.71 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 233 in NYSE & 116 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 6.48% @ 13.72

Oil closed @ $96.64

Gold closed @ $1673.50

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included BAC,BBRY,YHOO,
TCK,FB,AMZN,AAPL,EXPE,PCLN,M,LEN,JCP,MA,V,MU,
GMCR,ZNGA,LRCX,JDSU,FNSR,CIEN,C,QCOM,NVDA,
FSLR,X,QIHU,ECA,MS,KOG,GS,FCX.....

AH ER :

DIS     UP 2.74%    

PNRA UP 3.70%

EXPE UP 4.96%

ZNGA UP 6.57%

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, TAPE resiliency should have been noted by every trader, not only indices came back strong but also made a " new 2013 high in S&P 500"...Feb 1 high of 1514.41 was taken out intraday. This IS a strong bull market, 2013 should see many highs taken out repeatedly.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices UP .85% to 1.25%.....NICE !!!!

Indices are higher on encouraging economic data from EU.

S&P 500 @ 1511.93

Internals are positive by minimum 2 to 1

Oil UP 64 cents

Gold Down $4.60

Canadian $ UP 20 tick @ 100.29

VIX Down 7.77% @ 13.53

Portfolio is BAC,BBRY,CRUS,YHOO

Most stocks are UP

@ 1.58 following are red :

CRUS,CSOD,CF,DNKN,POT,AEM,GG,
YUM,BIDU,CLF,CCJ,SINA,BJRI,IBN,
MLNX....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Monday, February 4, 2013

Indices down .93% to 1.51%.......

Europe put the scare back in worldwide markets today.

S&P 500 @ 1495.71

RSI @ 59.65

CMF @ 0.354

Internals were :

Down volume led by 5.70 to 1 in NYSE & 4.64 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 3.71 to 1 in NYSE & 3.36 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 96 in both NYSE & Nasdaq ( not a typo)

VIX jumped 13.72% @ 14.67

Oil @ $96.17

Gold @ $1676.40

AH ER :

BIDU Down 5.88%

YUM Down 5.41%

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Down

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, here we are down 1.28% from absolute high of  1514.41, after a straight run UP of 8.32%. This is a normal day @ the office nothing more. Those who are reading more than what it could be, here is the next support which is around 1474 area. This is a strong bull market in an improving worldwide economy. Corruption in few countries is NOT a earth shattering news which could derail a strong market. There was opportunity today to buy, for those under-invested.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices down .97% to 1.35%......

Indices are lower due to European issues in Spain & Italy as Bonds yield are on the rise.

European markets are sharply lower, down 1.51% to 3.01%....

S&P 500 @ 1497.43

Internals are negative minimum 3 to 1.

Oil Down $1.48

Gold UP $5.10

Canadian $ Down 15 tick @ 100.12

VIX UP 12.25% @ 14.48

Portfolio is BAC,BBRY,CRUS,YHOO

Most stocks are down

@ 1.55 following are green :

BBRY,GG,APKT,RVBD,FFIV,CLF,LRCX,
JDSU,FNSR,FSLR,SLW,QIHU.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, February 3, 2013

Never fight MOMENTUM........

Dow 14009.79 is the big news item this week....

Dow UP 1000 points in 5 weeks.....not in the news?

S&P 500 @ 1513.17 is also in the news...

VIX @ 12.90 is a news item also.....VIX call buying @ record level

Bull Bear ratio @ near low for individual Investors reading...Bears only 20%.....

All this sound ominous for a "major slump".........

BUT that may not be @ hand......

What is supporting this market......

-New money flow from Bond to equity

-New money flow for 2013 allocation to equity

-Retail investors feeling left out & jumping IN......

-Funds Managers "leveraging UP in equities"......

-Short covering by those betting against this market....

All of the above is happening @ the same time, which IS extremely bullish

BUT @ the same time, we have NOT taken out S&P 500 all time high of 1576.09 which took place on October 11, 2007..which has been in history books for over 5 years ago.......

Based on current momentum, this run may not be over in the short term until we conquer 1576.09....

1600 in S&P 500 looks like a short term target.......then maybe a minor correction of 5%.......

As a famous football coach once said "it Ain't over till its over"........

Some other relevant quotes are "never fight the TAPE"

"Never fight the Fed"

"markets can remain IRRATIONAL for a long period of time"

All of the above quotes may be the-best guide for now.......

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, February 1, 2013

Indices closed UP 1.01% to 1.18%.....NICE !!!!

Indices made higher highs & raced towards five year high.

S&P 500 closed @ 1513.17, high of the day was 1514.41

That takes care of Doug Kass much advertized CNBC prediction of seeing 2013 highs in January & 7% correction from there. We took out 2013 highs of January in first 45 minutes of Feb 1st. How he gets on CNBC with no track record?

RSI @ 71.68

CMF @ 0.430

Internals were :

UP volume led by 4.07 to 1 in NYSE & 1.82 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 3.43 to 1 in NYSE & 2.75 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 271 in NYSE & 237 in Nasdaq

VIX tumbled 9.66% @ 12.90

Oil closed @ $97.77

Gold closed @ $1670.60

Canadian $ Closed @ 100.27

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included BAC,TCK,CMG,
CSOD,GOOG,HMC,SCCO,EXPE,YUM,SU,LVS,FFIV,
GMCR,LRCX,MU,BRCM,JDSU,FNSR,CIEN,C,QCOM,
MOS,SBUX,STLD,EGO,SLW,SINA,MGA,MS,MLNX,
GS,IBN,FCX......

My portfolio weighting is :

BAC 40.91%

YHOO 27.94%

CRUS 22.11%

BBRY 9.04%

Exposure 78%

Next post by 2 PM on Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem