Monday, May 5, 2014

Indices UP .05% to .14%.....NICE !!!!!

Indices reacted to machines on ongoing Chinese weakness, but when no panic followed all the losses are erased & indices showing green.

S&P 500 @ 1882.75, high 1883.52, low 1866.77

Internals are negative

Oil Down 65 Cents

Gold UP $6.80

Canadian $ UP 20 tick @ 90.47

VIX UP 2.63% @ 13.25..high today 14.20

Portfolio WUBA GRPN LULU MU OWW SWIR

OWW reported before open, it was a beat in Sales & EPS if you factor income tax charges, guiding higher Sales....but market God decide which way it will go in trading, currently down 3.77%....

Most stocks are down

@ 2.16 following are green :

WUBA LULU MU SWIR FB YY EXPE LNKD
MA AMZN TSLA PCLN KORS AAPL
CMG V FSLR SPWR YNDX SNDK
NFLX PANW GMCR Z.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Sunday, May 4, 2014

SO...it IS May......

Much dreaded MAY is here.....

We have gone 2 trading day in May already....

Technicians use 5 trading days in January to see the trend & how the month ends to know the trend for year....

It will be wise to use the same trend for May & see how it goes.....

Many are scared of May already & Friday's TAPE was of no help.

Many bears are playing their "sure shot" bet to get huge gains.....

It IS shaping to be an epic battle between bulls & bears.

Bears are counting on history to give them the edge

As of Friday's close here is the numerical challenge for the key indices :

S&P 500 @ 1881.14, all time high 1897.28...only 16.14 points away

Dow @ 16512.89, all time high 16631.63 only 118.74 points away

Nasdaq @ 4123.90, 14 year high 4371.71...247.81 points away

I have a strong feeling that we may take all time highs in Dow & S&P 500 as early as Monday which will give a severe blow to the bear thesis.....

This MAY may not be the old MAY @ all...we have a very good chance to see bullish firework.....

SO ...it IS MAY.....& do NOT go away $$$$$

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Friday, May 2, 2014

Indices closed down .09% to .28%......

Jobs report was super strong but stocks sold off on concern of interest rates rising sooner than expected.

S&P 500 @ 1881.14, low 1878.50, high 1891.33

RSI @ 56.14

CMF @ 0.106

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.51 to 1 in NYSE & .91 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.32 to 1 in NYSE & 1.06 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 111 in NYSE & new lows were leading by 16

VIX Down 2.57% @ 12.91

Oil @ $99.76

Gold @ $1302.90

Canadian $ @ 90.17

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included LULU
KOG RAD LEN TSLA AG LVS JKS SU X
FSLR CRUS MFLX ABX SLW GG 
AEM CSOD WLT WYNN......

Here is my weighting @ close :

MU    35.68%

LULU 27.84%

WUBA 20.02%

GRPN 5.89%

OWW  5.52%

SWIR 5.05%

Exposure 179%

Next post by 2 PM on Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, May 1, 2014

Indices closed mixed......

Indices went UP & by close lost most of the gains, only Nasdaq was UP.

S&P 500 @ 1883.68, low 1878.04, high 1888.59

RSI @ 57.26

CMF @ 0.134

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.03 to 1 in NYSE & 1.25 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.33 to 1 in NYSE & .90 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 95 in NYSE & new lows were leading by 15 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 1.19% @ 13.25

Oil @ $99.42

Gold @ $1283.40

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included WUBA GRPN SWIR OWW RAD FB GM YY YELP EXPE YHOO LNKD AMZN BIDU PCLN KORS SPWR JKS CSIQ ONVO ARUN LEN SINA FFIV V PANW STLD CSOD TRLA WYNN ....

AH ER : EXPE Down 2.53%, LNKD Down 4.57%, SWIR Down 4.93%, KOG Down 7.78%, INVN Down 15.01%, AKAM UP 2.05%, WYNN UP 2.65%

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold Down.

About market, it is all about jobs report, expectations is for jobs growth of 210K, I expect almost 225 K. Anything better than consensus will be greeted by a huge rally as it will confirm Fed view that US economy is heading in the right direction. Don't be shocked IF my guess is lower than actual jobs growth.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

SWIR beats on Sales, EPS miss by 1 cent

SWIR reported the following:

Sales Q1 Actual  $121.2 million vs expected $119.20 million a beat by $2 million

EPS actual 2 cents vs expected 3 cents.. a miss by 1 cent

Guidance Q2 $128 million to $131 million vs expectations of $123.81 million...higher guidance by $5.69 million

EPS guidance for Q2 6 to 8 cents per share vs expectation of 9 cents..a miss by 2 cents due to integration cost....

SWIR bid $20.50 ask $20.55..closed @ $22.09

Conference call starts @ 5.30 PM

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Bought SWIR @ $21.85..reports tonight....

Bought SWIR @ $21.85

Reports tonight, expectations are :

Q1 Sales $119.20 million, EPS 3 cents

Q2 expected guidance Sales $123.81 million & EPS 9 cents

Expecting a beat...

Exposure 179%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices mixed.....

Good earning report propelled Nasdaq but other indices are in red. It is all about jobs report.

S&P 500 @ 1881.04, high 1888.59, low 1878.04

Internals are mixed

Oil Down 33 cents

Gold Down $11.40

Canadian $ Down 9 tick @ 90.34

VIX UP 1.04% @ 13.55

Portfolio WUBA GRPN LULU MU OWW

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.38 following are red :

LULU KOG COH TSLA GOOGL YUM INVN
RVBD CRUS ZNGA LRCX BRCM CIEN
JDSU FNSR C M GMCR MCD X
ABX CCJ GIB WLT Z AGU
MLNX....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem