Markets are responding to the following positives :
-President Obama & his team on MANY QUICK/TIMELY initiatives...
-TARP funding of everything....
-Mark to MODEL accounting for Banks....
-Interest rates for mortgages below 5%....
-G20 funding of $1 trillion in new support for struggling economies....
-G20 resolve to contain hedge funds & oversight of all financial institutions....
-Stimulus package of $800 billion in US
-Stimulus package of almost $700 billion in China.
-Worldwide interest rates are near all-time lows.....
-Economy showing sign of life in US,Europe & China....
-Uptick rule being restored
All of the above have created a market which IS healthy and has moved UP by 24.82% in Dow,26.82% in S&P 500 & strongest of all Nasdaq 28.26%.....from Lows in March !!!!
So....
How high can we go !!!!
As this bear market was the worst since depression...so we should look BEYOND average recovery..means HIGHER than average return from LOWS.....
Here is the AVERAGE return on Dow from bear market lows since 1929 :
1 year 55.62%
3 year 77.56%
5 year 103.41%
I have an OPINION....... that this time around the % gain in each of the time period MAY be as much as DOUBLE of listed above......
So as a very famous song says....
WE HAVE ONLY JUST BEGUN.......
So what looks the-best in terms of opportunity which will even OUTPACE the average HYPER return.....???
It is the Technology sector.....
Technology remained healthy with lots of cash & debt free...they are also the-most productive...
Try to compare that with any other industry.....
Technology also will be the FIRST to increase Sales & EPS with growing demand..as CHIPS are in everything from Autos to Ships ......
Most technology FRONT LINE stocks are trading near lowest PE in 3 years some as low as 1/3rd ......so with time there is a CHANCE that TECHS MAY TRIPLE going forward.....
There is $300 trillion sitting in money market earning almost 0%...ready to jump back in stocks as confidence is built in markets.......IMAGINE that...it will be very CROWDED @ entry point in most QUALITY stocks......
Try to stay with leaders in each sector in a industry-wide diversified mode.....
Here is some attractive names with PE based on 2010 which I own OR looking @ taken from MSN Moneycentral :
RIMM..... 13.38 2/11
AAPL......19.76 9/10
GOOG.....17.73 12/10
GNK.......4.64
IPI.........6.91
AGU.......5.80
POT.......6.82
CMED.....7.59..3/10
SOL.......8.35
You can do the same analysis as above on many other stocks with excellent results going forward.....
I will strongly urge you.....to ensure your OWN comfort level with your OWN due diligence ALWAYS......
YES...there will be profit taking & PULLBACKS along the way...
BUT....
TREND IS YOUR FRIEND !!!!
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
3 comments:
SLEEM
Great blog today
I do not necessarily agree that Obama is doing a great job, but the money is out ther to jump start the economy--I love that!
3 cheers of teh Dry shippers
Please keep up your great work
I appreciate it.
I also need to study up on covered calls--for GE stock -- any thoughts
Hi Madmax,
Thanks for your appreciative note ..it makes my day !!!!
Obama is doing a "better job than JWB"because he has a good grasp of what needs to be done or his priority is defined.....no surprise about him & his ideas for future..which wall street can live with.....may not agree with???
About covered call on GE...since your cost is $10.60...you should only consider covered call when GE is near $15 for next month expiry...otherwise leave your GE alone for 2 years & you will do just fine!!!!
Saleem
SALEEM
that is sound advice which I sahll take to heart
thanks a lot
Even an old man like me can learn a thing or two
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