Sunday, December 26, 2010

Impact of China raising interest rate by .25% ????

Saturday, China announced .25% increase in interest rates.

It was the most discussed interest rate increase in the last one month,some were speculating to be .50% & to be done earlier.So,we have less than anticipated rate of increase & came few weeks later.

Impact of .25% may last for first 15 minutes of trading ,then back to usual trading pattern.

Option players are most optimistic & @ extremely bullish level since Jan 2009,normally this means a pullback.....

VIX has been lowest @15.23 in the last 12 months,but we were lower to 10 area before that.Normally low VIX means a pullback.

Now for the good news,We are about to enter a 3rd year of a presidential term which has been consistent in last 60 years of producing a positive return for the year.Highest return was +17.7%.

So,if we add all the positive & potential short term negative...we MAY have a slight negative going into this full 5 days of trading.

BUT.....2011 will bring major re-allocation into stocks,which should propel S&P 500 into major gains...1380 area is considered attainable in next 12 months.

Our technical guru Carter Worth thinks we peak out @ 1270 area ????

In Conclusion,this week MAY give you another chance to reallocate funds into better stocks.Any weakness on an intraday basis is a buying opportunity.

2011 is going to be a stock pickers market AGAIN,so do your OWN due diligence by studying fundamentals & charts of each stocks you own or want to own.

Good luck in 2011 !!!!

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

2 comments:

madmax said...

SALEEM


very good stuff
a lot to digest too!!!!!!!!!!

I got J CRAMER getting back to even book--A good read

thanks for 2010 blog and comments and suggestions
Please keep helping us learn and making money!

I loved some of out moves--way cool

happy holidays to you the wife and all your friends and fellow blog readers

Stocks100 said...

Hi Madmax,

Thanks for your appreciative note.

We are all here to share our collective wisdom.

Thanks for your message for my family.

Happy Holidays !!!

Saleem