Friday, May 6, 2011

Markets in MAY 2011......

SO..here we are in famous MAY of 2011......

Markets as expected, had a fast correction of almost 3% in indices...

Correction happened in four trading days, which saw recent highs & then escalator down. On day five , we had a minor bounce of about less than half a percent.

Some traders are scared of this "weak bounce".......

It is "critical" that we analyze this market with all the cross-current, to get a realistic conclusion.

SO...what happened this week ?

- Silver crashed

- Oil crashed

- Gold got beaten down

- US$ turned UP

- Equities tumbled in a hurry to the tune of  3% in 4 trading days...

When was the last time we saw all that in 4 trading days ?

I do not recall EVER..in my long focus of all markets.....

Plus today, Greece was back in focus to "stall our rally"

SO... all of the above created a "monster of MARGIN CALLS to many High Frequency Traders "

SO..today we are all sifting through the after affects of this "margin Hurricane" worth many BILLIONS.......

BUT...despite all of the above, you  will agree with me that 3% correction in equity markets was pretty TAME.....

HFT had to liquidate all the HIGH BETA stocks which had been running strong, to meet their margin calls for Oil & Silver......

This should explain my steadfast OPTIMISM for equity market.....

In any PANIC selling, you must evaluate the reasoning. This alerts you to some "unbelievable opportunities"

RSI in all indices did not pierce 50...which is the best RSI picture i have seen in any fast correction....

As of tonight, RSI are as follows :

S&P 500 53.12

Nasdaq 55.77

Dow 58.36

Based on "May syndrome" & earnings coming to an end...we may be looking @ RSI range for Indices & Stocks from 50 to 70 range ...back & forth.......

It will be PRUDENT to shift trading ideas to different sectors based on RSI......

I personally monitor RSI closely for Stocks & Indices, which have always guided me more accurately , for my market projection.......

It is more important to watch RSI for stocks than markets.....most of the time RSI in stocks "turn UP first" than Indices....

SO.....YES , we are in MAY......BUT you can still make money by knowing your stocks FA/TA well....

Who said making money in Wall Street is easy......

It is all about KNOWING your stocks trading range.....which keeps CHANGING.....

Good luck with your OWN comfort level with MAY, BUT some stocks will reach highs in month of MAY.......that is a REALITY !!!!!!

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

4 comments:

psrajpal said...

Saleem,

Some news related to RENN that is disturbing.

Sun May 8, 2011 5:35pm EDT


(Repeats item originally sent on Friday) * China increasingly concerned about "Jasmine Revolution" * Has banned certain searches, increased Web restrictions * Social networking company Renren faces govt oversight * Could be shut down for failure to comply -IPO prospectus

More details are here - http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/05/08/markets-stocks-ipos-idUSN0813053220110508

Stocks100 said...

Hi Paramjeet,

That is part of normal disclosure by every company in its prospectus or filing with SEC......they are expected to list "worst case scenarios"....GOOG to BIDU..they all have to do it with every filing with SEC....

RENN stated all that in their prospectus before they sold a single share in its IPO..Not only RENN sold all its allocated shares but it was "oversubscribed to its max allowable"...so $850 million was bought @ $14 per share...

IF there is any weakness..i will add more......

Saleem

c said...

GOOD MORNING TO YOU Saleem

RENN is doing OK

BIDU is not
My telco's are hurt locker!!
SINA makes highs and profit taker move in and down she goes
Where is the breakout for SINA

Stocks100 said...

Hi C,

I am 4 for 4 today..not bad...

Breakout for SINA is $136.25 according to stockconsultant.com...

SINA reports Wed AH......

Market is sloppy today thanks to Greece dowgrade by S&P .....

Saleem