Next eight weeks could be the-best time to be in market?
Based on history, psychology, world economy, under-exposure......it could be !!!
Q4 / end of the year / end of the month / end of the Q, are all converging.
Till Friday, many participant were not sure as to European outcome, most were expecting failure.
Now that we have a "perception" that Europeans are united in their desire to deal with budgetary discipline, we MAY have entered a new phase in markets.
S&P 500 closed @ 1255.19, which is well above 1225 previous resistance area.
S&P 500 can move through these targets in next eight weeks :
- First target 200 DMA 1263.32
- Second target 1277
- Third target 1292
- Fourth target 1344
- Fifth target 1356
- Sixth target 1370
In next eight weeks, markets strength will determine how many targets we go through.
There are many catalysts in the next eight weeks, as listed below :
- Q4 is the-strongest Q for the market.
- Fed meeting statement to be released on Tuesday, will show a "marked improvement" in their tone.
- Earnings for Q4 should be better than expected.
- There may be a rush to invest for end of December by HF / Mutual Funds / Individuals.
- New inflow for Q1 may come in January.
- World economy may show improvement going into Q1
I, for one will not be surprised IF we go through all targets by end of January 2012.
This market has been compressed for a long time, markets generally looks six months ahead.
Hopefully, we all have learned from our mistakes, & will be positioned to take advantage of upcoming rally. Same old approach may leave you well behind.
Here is my portfolio current % valuation :
LULU 19.28%
RIMM 15.44%
LVS 14.43%
BIDU 13.46%
M 11.69%
RVBD 10.35%
SNDK 9.45%
CNQ 5.90%
Good luck with your OWN homework & your OWN take of market.
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
10 comments:
SALEEM
Here to hope that your prediction is correct!
Cheers
thanks for all your hard work
C
Hi C,
Thanks for your feedback.
Saleem
HELLO Saleem
Looking like a bleak morning...
I have a question--How soon should I try and sell the deep in the money call on Apple. at the market open
or late in the morning?/
thanks again for all your help!!!
Hi C,
Since you waited this long to sell AAPL call, you are left with no choice but to WAIT til Friday...who knows AAPL MAY be higher on / by Friday.....
No sense selling in a very weak market....as your time premium is very low.
My 2 cents.
Saleem
Saleem
thanks for your feedback
AUY is really on sale: See marker edge:
Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) indicates a Bullish Trend.
Chart pattern indicates a Weak Upward Trend.
Relative Strength is Bullish.
Up/Down volume pattern indicates that the stock is under Accumulation.
The 50 day Moving Average is rising which is Bullish.
The 200 day Moving Average is rising which is Bullish.
Look for Support at 14.94
Hi C,
AUY can go to $14.90 area....then its a buy.
Saleem
Saleem
thank you
C
I read something like gold future contracts are pointing lower gold per ounce early next year.
Saleem
This market does not have trend at all, it is just like gambling by either hold overnight and hope for some good news or down big and get trap if opposite happen. I bet a lot of traders are losing money, because of this unfriendly market we are in.
Hi Up,
YES...this has become a difficult market to navigate, based on day to day moves...
BUT i still believe that long term trend is decidedly UP.
One has to strategize to look beyond daily moves.....
Saleem
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