All indices jumped 7%+ last week.
S&P 500 had the biggest jump since March of 09.
In case you have lost count, March 09 was 32 months ago......why am i pointing this duration to you, because this kind of rally is very RARE. In order to take full advantage of this you have to monitor sentiment, technical & Fundamentals of economic scene.
Many pundits including Jimmy the Cramer has been telling everyone to sell all along or stay only in high dividend stocks...which encouraged many traders to stay out of this market or remained underweight. We all know what is happening since sell sell sell......many are NOT participating or barely in, in this major move UP.
This only proves one thing, market is way smarter than "salaried pundits"
What happens next is being debated & opinionated to the hilt on CNBC, general conclusion is that Europeans will cause markets to tank again. These are the same experts who got last week wrong?
We all have to understand why the markets went UP worldwide ?
It went UP because, many Central Banks eased up the banking liquidity which was being choked up due to EU debt issues.
For few weeks now, there has been a concerted effort to deal with EU debt situation. Complex issues do not get resolved in one shot, it is always incremental step towards resolution.
I am expecting EU to get closer to dealing with their crisis, by Friday close we will know, that another step has been taken.
I expect markets to resume rallying, once their is enough signal from France,Germany & others that they are on side.
There is lot more reason to be optimistic about markets based on the following FACTS :
-Consumers are alive & well & spending MORE than EVER. Black Friday & Cyber Monday is FACT.
-US economy is turning UP.
- Chinese are stimulating by lowering discount requirement by .5%
-EU is dealing with many debt issues, Greece & Italy already dealt with.
Based on the above, market has given its nod, by turning UP.
SO, it is up to you to stay ahead of the curve or follow bumbling pundits who do not know which way is UP.
YES, i am more than OPTIMISTIC for a strong year end rally.
Yes, Hedge Funds can take this market LOWER on no reason or MANUFACTURED reasons through their proxies on CNBC, but we are heading HIGHER.
On a personal note, I had the biggest gain last week ever. Quite humbled by this reality.
-Last week, my gain in equity through stocks was 39.90%
-Last week my gain in equity through Canadian $ was 52.16%
-Combined gain in equity last week was 92.06%.........NEVER imagined that i will see numbers like that in a week.
-My portfolio increased by 104.03% last week.......
IF i can attribute this to anything, it will be, to my dogged pursuit of my OWN take on economy, politics, stocks & markets.
Good luck with your OWN homework & your OWN take of markets.
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
25 comments:
SALEEM
Outstanding commentary
Cheers
Heres hoping that APPLE and PLCN
are big next week.
I was not up that huge last week as you were, but, I made $7,000 on Wednesday on paper, witch was oh so nice!
Since I have mostly a portfolio that is made up of ultra conservative divi stocks....the gain was awesome!
thanks for what you do for us and
best to all
Hi C,
Thanks for your feedback.
7K is very good in a day.....
I always look @ my weekly result to get a true picture.
Saleem
Hey Saleem,
Congratulations on your best week ever! Your work ethic and independent thinking has paid huge dividends!
How do you generate the currency gains? Do you just have a standing long CAD/USD position or are you trading?
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Thanks for your message.
I have an amount which generally goes UP in Canadian $ in my trading account.....
As canadian $ goes UP against US$..my buying power goes UP & also my gains for the week due to Canadian $.....then i buy stocks on margin..which increases my velocity big time.
Saleem
SALEEM
do not know how your currency trading works
I am so jealous
Congratulations on the method--it is making money$$$$$
C
Hi C,
My account is set up in CAD but i trade in US$.....
It is rebalanced every second depends on the valuation of CAD vs US$....
I am long CAD & short US$ based on set up....
I can reverse it also, if i feel CAD is overpriced& go long US$ & short CAD...i have done both set up & it has worked each time.
Saleem
Stocktrader and ALL
interesting news on POTASH
:
http://watch.bnn.ca/#clip575833
The entire clip is 15 minutes long.
You'll have to move the time slider to the 9th minute,
that's where the Potash discussion begins.
Good luck
SALEEM
Any good investment buys ideas
thanks in advance
C
Hi C,
PCLN looks good now.
Saleem
Saleem
I agree that PCLN is hot today
As is my apple call.
My account does not have enough buying power to get
some PCLN--so sorry...
C
Hi C,
Go for AMZN ?
Saleem
Hey c,
Thanks for the link!
Hey Saleem,
Added to ERTS this morning with the FRO proceeds from Friday (bad timing on that sell!). Anyways, the ZNGA roadshow started today and there's already an analyst out this morning saying the ZNGA expected valuation means ERTS is undervalued.
Great day again! :)
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
I have trimmed my position quite a bit.....
RSI is getting close to 60 in S&P 500.
Saleem
Hey Saleem,
You've made such huge gains being on margin that you deserve the profit taking. You could sell half your portfolio and still be at 100% exposure! :)
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
6 out of 12 stocks were sold.....
Currently @ 88% exposure.
Saleem
Good morning Saleem
Do you think Ag is in trouble? Seems like they go up little and drop big the next day.
Yes, it is wise to sell some right at this level since we are overbought right now. I am doing some selling this morning too
Hi Up,
I have not had any luck with AG lately...thus staying away.
Good luck with your sell.
Saleem
SALEEM
What did ya sell
I bought
AMZN and BIDU.
selling SNDK , POT , Dunno CLF??
thoughts
C
Hi C,
Sold, CNQ,COH,CLF,LULU,LVS,SNDK...
Saleem
Stocktrader
I was hoping Zynga will price themselves at 14b, but seems like they are looking for 9 billions right now, so i think it is a blow to ERTS
Hey Up,
When the stock is up 100%+ on day one, the valuation becomes 18B+.
Stocktrader
Hey Saleem,
I trimmed my excess in ULTA and doubled up in JKS.
What do you think of these solars and their charts?
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Solar has many headwind including US politicians voting 6-0 blaming Chinese solars for unfair trade practices....
Dont feel too wholesome about solar stocks.
Good luck with your JKS strategy.
I would rather stay with safer TAPE.
Saleem
Hey Saleem,
Thank you for the fair statements. There is definitely a lot to be uncertain about in solars, not the least of which is year-end problems.
I figured with the US vote behind them, and TSL rallying today on a downgrade, I thought maybe we'd seen the worst already and could potentially see a short squeeze?
Hopefully my downside is limited until I can sell on/after Thursday...
Stocktrader
Saleem
What happened to the market
it is melting away??
Ugh
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