IF you look @ headlines on Friday & this weekend, you will believe that something horrible has happened or going to get worse in stock market......
Facts for the week ending Friday IS :
Dow was UP .1%
S&P 500 was UP .3%
Nasdaq was Down 1.3%
SO...what is this "hyper-analysis of last week".......
As we all should know that "market goes UP & then goes Down"
SO it went down for the week in Nasdaq only......
We all know why Nasdaq was weak, mother of all stock AAPL is well below 50 DMA.....
Many earnings report not only was bad in technology, but they are "not optimistic about Q4"
When future in any sector do not look good....smart investors "sell,sell,sell"
Now..what happens in the week ending next Friday, should be the-focus.....
AMZN & AAPL are reporting in the week ahead.......how they report is going to encourage buying or more selling......
Monday is also last debate among politicians... both will say & promise anything to get vote...so what else is new ???
IF i have to guess...there may be more positive action than negative in the coming week.
Any selling needs to be analyzed to "spot positive TAPE in many sectors"
Techs may be IFFY but "homebuilders are NOT"
Some turnaround candidates in Techs are OK also.
SO...instead of being "totally consumed by headlines", it IS TIME to do your OWN analysis.
FEAR & GREED are CONTRARY indicator in Wall Street......currently FEAR is ruling based on Individual investors survey & Hedge Fund survey....both group is scared & tilting towards 2009 reading.....Individual investors are only 28% bullish & 44% bears...hedge funds are @ lowest confidence levels since 2009 lows......
All i can highlight is, that we are near "major support in S&P 500"........
Good luck with your OWN indicators which dictates your comfort level..
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
10 comments:
Hey Saleem,
Great take on the market! The weekend came at just the right time for everyone I think. Taking a step back and really looking at why things are happening versus focusing on the fear of a day like Friday is the constructive thing to do :).
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Thanks for your feedback.
As I dont have CNBC or buy any newspaper...i am NOT influenced by 1 second analysis......
My analysis takes more than few hours of studying many conflicting signals & then come up with my own "deep inner analysis" which could be "copyrighted conclusion".....just kidding !!!
Saleem
SALEEM
APPL will rule tomorrow at news conference
watch it pop
C
Hi C,
AAPL is due for a jump based on oversold condition.
Saleem
Hey Saleem,
Sold some FIO and Z this morning (at $27.24 and ~$37.09). Although I like FIO longer term, I'm a little worried about this quarter and next's guidance, so I dropped to about 60% full position and have added MLNX post-earnings for extra datacenter exposure. As for Z, I am concerned that so many of their listings are not accurate. I worry this will eventually lead to a lack of credibility concerning the site and could leave them vulnerable to other entrants in the space with better access to information. I kept a half position because, for now, they are still the leading housing online site and traffic numbers and monetization are likely improving. The chart also has nicely positive characteristics currently.
I added to ELOQ this morning after reading more about their niche within the software industry. They were given #1 ratings by Gartner ahead of all the big boys (ORCL, CRM, SAP, etc). I think this will drive stock appreciation for a while still given it is only a $650M company.
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Switching into better Fundamental & higher confidence level IS the right approach.
Saleem
Hey Saleem,
I sold the rest of the Z at $36.62. The positive chart momentum faded, so I'll sit on the sidelines for now given I have adopted a more questionable view on the company. Also, with the high number of vested shorts, the way they weigh on the stock makes it difficult to gain traction without specific news.
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Z exit is based on your sound analysis & TAPE performance.
Saleem
Hey Saleem,
Added some back to APKT at 15.85. It was part of my weekend planning to get back in and not try to "play" the stock ahead of earnings.
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Good luck with add-on in APKT...
Saleem
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