Friday, October 18, 2013

Indices closed UP .18% to 1.32%.....NICE !!!!

Indices closed near high of the day as GOOG earnings was the catalyst.

S&P 500 @ 1744.50, high 1745.31

RSI @ 65.89

CMF @ 0.213

Internals were :

UP volume led by 2.03 to 1 in NYSE & 2.01 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 2.55 to 1 in NYSE & 2.13 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 442 in NYSE & 374 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 3.26% @ 13.04

Oil @ $100.81

Gold @ $1314.60

In my portfolio :

Bought CIEN @ $26.96, GMCR @ $64.67, TSLA @ $184.26

Portfolio weighting :

TSLA   33.49%

CIEN   24.62%

YHOO 20.35%

MU      17.62%

GMCR 3.92%

Exposure 182%

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included YHOO GMCR
FB GOOG LNKD QIHU SINA FNSR KORS CF YY 
CSIQ CMG AMZN LVS BIDU FFIV FSLR
CRUS JDSU SPWR MS TRLA Z YELP
MLNX...

Next post by 2 PM on Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

2 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

It was a volatile and initially frustrating week that saw the portfolio only gain 2.17% versus the S&P's 2.42%.

A note about the following *'d percentages: the +/- represents the actual weekly gains or losses. My personal returns in these stocks are lower as I sold and bought them back at higher prices. I felt it would be helpful to use the true weekly gains and losses for comparison reasons.

Winners: FB (+10.4%*), YY (+10.0%*), X (+9.2%*), MNST (+7.5% upon sale), TRLA (+5.00%*)

Losers: YHOO (-2.1%*), TXTR (-1.3% upon sale), BIDU (-1.1% upon sale), CLDX (-1.0% upon sale)

YTD Info:

Portfolio: +56.55%
S&P 500: +22.32%

The week started a mess for me as fears around the stalling debt negotiations prompted me to sell almost all my stocks. By Tuesday, I realized a deal was truly in the works, and price action was so constructive, so I starting buying them back, all higher. I used TNA to get a little extra boost in the middle of the week, but sold that on Thursday to buy specific names. On Friday, I took profits in MNST which helped raise cash for opportunities. Here's the portfolio now:

Diversified Core Positions (~10-11% ea): FB KORS FCX CSOD RALY
Supporting Positions (~7-8.5% ea): YY YHOO LCC SODA
Smallest Positions (~5%): TRLA X
Cash: ~6.3%

New Position: YY
Adjustments: FCX(+) KORS(+) SODA(+) LCC(-)
Sells: CLDX TXTR BIDU MNST

We finally saw some resolution this week to the dominating discussion over the last month. In the end, it worked out as many anticipated--a last minute agreement to "kick the can". While this might seem negative, and ultimately might be, the sigh of relief from the US markets, coupled with growing momentum in Europe, and stabilization in China, all helped to propel the markets to new all-time highs.

There has been almost no breath you can take from owning stocks. I tried this week to sell on multiple occasions, and in each case, I looked like a fool in hours or a day. The scent of a strong bull market with worldwide participation in economic growth has investors clamoring for anything they can buy, and they keep coming.

There are still many investors, short- and long-term, that are underweight stocks as compared to the 20-yr average. Whether it has been comfort in the safety of bonds against an often volatile stock market, or doubting US economic recovery, or fearing politicians, or waiting for China to collapse or Europe to break apart, too many people have been left out of one or more stages in this extremely generous rally over the years. I think we are approaching a phase where economic activity and money inflow really work together to power this rally to the next level.

It is important to stay the course in growth stocks showing positive price action. There are many institutions and investors loading up on the leaders for the future, and prices have the chance to really rocket into year end. I have personally felt the pressure in being left behind, if even for a day, so I intend to keep with my personal picks and let things play out.

A focus on earnings comes into view now.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

It was a good week for most participant on the long side.

Focus for me is to swing trade if possible as TAPE may falter as we go along......

Saleem