Sunday, April 20, 2014

Technicians are not comfortable with this TAPE ?

Technicians are extremely nervous that we are on the verge of another breakdown.

They are quoting the recent "technical violations" as a long term phenomenon.....

They are firmly in the camp that once a trendline has been broken then there is more to come.....

Technicians are doing "micro analysis" of every indicator there is..be it VIX, Options or history....

It is the much feared "sell in May" syndrome taking hold......

All of the above negativity is reflected in the latest bull to bear ratio, currently

Bulls @ 27.2%

Bears @ 34.3%

Highest bearish reading since April 18,2013.......

Any reading of this extreme can only mean one thing......in my trading history......that opportunity is highest to make good money in short order.......

Technicians may be right in the long run...but this BLOG is meant for short term analysis.....

Short term which could last 72 hours is looking very good.......

We even have a good chance to make new highs in S&P 500 which is more of a balanced index of 500 stocks.....

S&P 500 has gained 2.78% on a closing basis & have gained 3.05% on intraday high basis.....from 1814.36 we touched 1869.63....in 4 straight days.......

SO...any weak open or weakness is a trading opportunity.

YES it is a short term window of opportunity but it does work.....

We are entering weak months from May to early October...but focused / strategic buying should work.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

10 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

The holiday weekend caused another late weekly recap/outlook by me but I've posted that now.

I haven't seen a better washout day than Tuesday in quite a while--I agree the bias is definitely higher now.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Relaxation & family time during holidays is a priority.

Looking forward to good TAPE.

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Wow upgrade this morning:

07:33 EDT MU theflyonthewall.com: Micron price target raised to $50 from $20 at Drexel Hamilton

Drexel Hamilton raised Buy rated Micron estimates and increased its price target to $50 from $20 due to higher pricing and margin trends. The firm expects DRAM pricing to remain firm and for minimal industry capacity additions this year, resulting in rising earnings, an improving balance sheet and greater share upside potential. :theflyonthewall.com

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Thanks for this note.

MU is UP $1 in pre-market.

Saleem

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Added 30% LULU @ $51.10.

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Nice add on LULU.

I swapped my two biotechs, SGMO @ 14.015 and CLDX @ 14.414, for WUBA @ 43.24 avg.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Welcome to the world of WUBA...

Saleem

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Did a swap..sold RAD $7.14 & doubled my position with LULU @ $48.85....

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Wow, tough day for LULU--probably a nice pickup.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

One analyst Stern Agee has their reaction to LULU analyst day on Thursday....they commented...no new strategy to improve their Sales...

Creates buying opportunity....

Saleem