There are many negative forces in play which may impact TAPE in a negative way.
First, momentum is broken & we made lower lows, not a healthy technical picture.
Pullbacks are minimum 4 percent area, we are far from it.....
Fed minutes on Wednesday may have language change to indicate stronger US economy but will word it cautiously by highlighting European & Chinese weakness...net net no change in timing of rate increase in this minute.....which will be a positive for the market.
Thursday is "Scotland vote"..i expect a NO win.....another positive for Euro & markets around the world.
Friday is "BABA" day...another huge positive...
SO negative TAPE until Wednesday 2 PM...then positive close Wednesday, Thursday & Friday....
Option Expiry may take its toll until Wednesday minute release.....
SO....plan according to early week weakness & positive from Wednesday close...
It is never easy on Wall Street, who could have guessed about Scotland issue ?
Nasdaq is looking healthiest among all indices which is a good thing, thanks to BABA fever....
Dow is the weakest and made deeper lower lows also, not a good thing, lower lows in Dow & S&P 500 were made on higher volume another red flag.....
SO..what to do is the question ?
Again, keep booking profit & buy the weakness which has worked for last 5 years....
Stay with strength & watch closely any weak stocks in your portfolio.
By end of the weak, we may be taking a deep sigh of relief from world events.
Good luck with your own strategy & analysis.
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
4 comments:
Hey Saleem,
I think this week could be very choppy with a lot of push and pull. Uncertainty resolution late week should help as you suggest, although I'm not convinced BABA is a good thing--we will know soon...
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
YES this will be a tough 20 trading hours ahead of us..
BABA is over subscribed big time..hedge funds and institutions will run it higher to about 100 percent gain from IPO price.
Saleem
Hey Saleem,
Bought NOW @ 61.73.
It got two positive notes today and the chart looks like a good setup versus some other new IT stocks that are extended.
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Good luck with NOW.
Saleem
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