Sunday, August 16, 2015

S&P 500 looking better technically than Nasdaq.....

IF you look @ chart, following picture emerges.

DOW below 50 & 200 DMA and near lows of its trading range...

Nasdaq above 200 DMA and is 29 points away from 50 DMA

S&P 500 above 200 DMA but only 3 points away from 50 DMA....

S&P 500 being the strongest in terms of above analysis , gives hope that 500 stocks of S&P 500 is behaving much better than 100 Nasdaq stocks.....

Broadening of strength is always a tell tale of underlying strength which may be developing.

Dow is the weakest and does not give confidence to 30 components which remains weak.

NOW...the question is what to do in this "dog days of summer market "

First recommendation is, this TAPE is weak and requires different strategy than when market is strong.

Second, strength is in a very narrow range of stocks....

Third, stocks which are strong, needs to be monitored closely for loss of strength or getting a good entry point.

Fourth, exposure in this type of TAPE has  to be in a "high comfort zone"

This week is Option Expiry, which may bring more volatility.

TAPE remains challenging, but limited exposure in strong stocks may bring some gains. 

It is important to book gains IF you get it quickly. 

Some beaten down stocks require selective buying. Oil may be the place to be as we are flirting with 6 year low.

Good luck with your own analysis and comfort level.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


5 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Sold FCX @ 10.124

It doesn't seem like commodities have bottomed yet, and FCX is so highly levered, there could be major problems there still.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Sold XOOM @ 24.853
Bought CYBR @ 59.30

It doesn't look like XOOM will receive a higher bid, and CYBR appears to have formed a pretty good base as well as being on Mad Money tonight--Cramer loved the quarter, hopefully I can get a bump from that sentiment.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Windows 10 is giving me big time headache, reverted to windows 7, which is also unstable.

Took me 1 hour to get it going.

CYBR is a good move , you are into PANW & CYBR...PANW is looking good.....

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

I have Windows 8.1, still working pretty well for me.

We moved into our new house this weekend and the internet connection is much less stable than in our previous house--I've had two problems already today which worries me...hopefully just first day glitches...

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Congratulations on this move.

Hopefully internet connection will be stable going forward.

We depend so much on PC, Tablet, Cell...WIFI becomes a must.

Saleem