Last 5 trading days have been on the downside for the most part, for S&P 500, Technology , Sox and Russell......
Here is the performance chart for last 5 trading days since hitting all time highs :
Dow......... down .29%
S&P 500 down 1.00%
Russell down 2.44%
Nasdaq down 2.74%
Sox down 4.91%
Here is RSI picture :
Nasdaq 46.51
Sox 48.69
S&P 500 58.26
Russell 62.90
Dow 73.28
It is clear from the above statistics, that some sectors are clearly overbought and other sectors are deeply oversold.
Euphoria has set in base metals, financials and steels..... may need a well deserved rest.....
Technology has seen major outflows since election, those who wanted out are out, thus less selling pressure and may actually see buying interest, based on relative valuation.
Investor sentiment is 56% bullish, which is a clear sign that optimism is rampant.
Q4 is known to be strong for technology, which ends in 19 trading days.....
Year end selling may involve quick money made in election favorites, next year capital gains or personal tax may be higher, so more reason for booking gains this year.
YES.... the nature of this market has changed, from heavy technology weighting to equal weight in technology.
Energy looks very attractive after OPEC production cutback...pundits were wrong as usual.
It is always important, to be ahead of the game in rotation.
Here is my portfolio allocation :
CMG 32.56%
BIDU 21.94%
CNQ 18.97%
AMD 11.57%
TWLO 8.66%
WB 6.30%
Sincere thanks to stocktrader for doing daily recap and his buy and sell information. My sister is going through treatment @ Memorial Sloan Kettering in New York since October 15th for Neuroendocrine, I wanted to see her after 2 treatment of embolization in liver. She is recovering nicely, thanks to specialists @ MSK. Visited Richmond VA, South Windsor CT, NYC and Fishkil NY. Met many relatives, i have not seen in 11 years.
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
16 comments:
Hi Saleem,
Glad to hear the recovery is going well after treatment. I hope things continue on a good path!
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Thanks for your message of hope for my sister.She is a fighter and banking on her doctors expertise.
So far looks optimistic , 2 cancer specialist in Richmond told her she has 6 months to live back in early August.
3rd opinion @ MSK in New York changed all that into a workable endocrine treatment and much much longer lifespan. Now we are looking @ potential 10 years.
Saleem
Hi Saleem,
Wow, what a great outlook after the initial diagnoses. She is in my thoughts today and in the future.
Stocktrader
Hi Saleem,
Last week was a pullback one with the portfolio losing 3.34%, somewhat more than the indices, putting the YTD at +31.8%. The biggest culprit was TRIL (-19.3%) with SPLK (-8.0%) and ZYNE (-7.1% upon sale) also contributing. AKS and SWN (from purchase) were both gained 4+% which helped.
Portfolio: MET(2x), LYB TRIL FDX M, CHK SPLK AKS, SWN CY, cash 2.5%
Stocktrader
Hi guys,
After TRIL released data this weekend, I think there are more questions than answers about its efficacy. Although shown safe, nobody is really quite sure what the drug can actually do. A likely scenario is that it works well against certain cancers or in combination with other drugs, but this lowers ultimate valuation and will take time and money to figure out.
I unfortunately got too excited about the prospects of this drug and the portfolio has suffered probably more than any one position this year. I am thankful many other stocks worked well this year creating a nice portfolio performance (including RLYP), but I will remember the lessons learned here. I will be paring back the position to speculative grade as price permits.
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Thanks for your feedback about my sister's health challenge.
Your portfolio gain of 31%+ is outstanding.
Your detailed research and findings in biotechnology is the reason for a major beat.
BLOG visitors have benefited from your research.
Good luck for 2017 which is only few trading days away.
Saleem
Hi Saleem,
Trimmed 1/3rd TRIL @ 7.25
Stocktrader
Hi Saleem,
Trimmed a little more TRIL @ 7.38 to get it down to speculative size.
Stocktrader
Hi Saleem,
Sold SWN @ 12.08
There are much better valuation in the general space. I like CHK better, and I am looking to buy some TECK.
Stocktrader
Hi Saleem,
Bought TECK @ 25.87
Great assets, great valuation, great management. What more can you say?
Portfolio: MET(2x), LYB FDX M SPLK CHK, AKS TECK, CY TRIL, cash 6.5%
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Good luck with TECK.
Yes good stock and good management.
Saleem
Hi Saleem,
Bought a speculative position in PI @ 26.94
With AMZN's announcement today, I think this company's RFID products might be on the cusp of major adoption. Although I know the company in name and have watched it a little since IPO this summer, I don't know in-depth details about it, hence the starter position.
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Good luck with PI.
I have to read about it.
Saleem
Hi Saleem,
Sold the rest of TRIL @ 7.16 (except for a small Friday lot that I need to wait 2 more days).
Now lacking catalysts except for a "surprise" announcement on a partnership or takeover, I thought it best to move on. I tried to look at it like if I was making a decision today to start a position or not, and I definitely wouldn't be.
I thought safety data released by ZYNE today was pretty good and efficacy is less questionable. I might dip my toe back in there if the stock holds the 50 DMA here (12.92) and GWPH remains strong.
I added a little more to PI @ 27.04 as the company is intriguing and the stock was pushed down by a secondary. If that inventory clears, it could have 10-20% quickly.
Stocktrader
Hi Saleem,
Trimmed some AKS @ 10.53 to take profits.
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Wise moves on AKS and TRIL......profit is good...risk is bad...
Saleem
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