Thursday, February 28, 2019

Indices closed down .27% to .29%......

Indices closed down.

S&P 500 @ 2784.40, low 2782.51, high 2793.73

RSI @ 65.90

CMF @ 0.275

Internals were :

Down volume led by 1.53 to 1 in NYSE & 1.05 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.30 to 1 in NYSE & 1.41 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 138 in NYSE & 39 in Nasdaq

VIX UP .54% @ 14.78

Oil @ $57.22

Gold @ $1316.10

AH news....TSLA Down 3.34%, NTNX Down 21.18%

                   GPS UP 25.59%

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil UP

AH Gold Down

About market, TAPE closed slightly lower despite good economic data in USA. 3 days have been sideways pretty much which is a show of strength of this market. Money flow remained positive for months which is also a good sign of inflow into equities. There is only a closing BLOG on Friday's around 7 PM.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices down .04% to .15%.....

Indices are down despite good news on economy in USA.

S&P 500 @ 2789.20, low 2783.39, high 2793.73

Internals are negative.

Oil Down 4 cents

Gold Down $4.60

Canadian $ UP 4 tick @ .6850

VIX UP .20% @ 14.73

Portfolio SQ TSLA TWTR

Most stocks are down

@ 2.15 following are green :

SQ TSLA TWTR LULU SHOP IQ KORS
FSLR CRON CGC CRUS CSIQ JKS 
MRVL QRVO ALDR CHK SPWR
LVS ULTA MCD CMG V CNX....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Wednesday, February 27, 2019

Indices closed mixed...

Indices closed mixed.

S&P 500 @ 2792.38, low 2775.13, high 2795.76

RSI @ 68.86

CMF @ 0.341

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.15 to 1 in NYSE & .79 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by .95 to 1 in NYSE & 1.07 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 85 in NYSE & 38 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 3.10% @ 14.70

Oil @ $56.94

Gold @ $1321.30

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included SQ TSLA
SHOP ESTC HUYA NIU ROKU KORS SPLK 
PRNB OLED CHK RIG LNG OSTK M
PANW.....

AH news....RUBI UP 14.84%, AAOI Down 7.65%

                   BOX Down 24.24%

SQ reported a beat on Sales & EPS in Q 4

Guiding Q 1 sales higher but EPS 4 cents below consensus
due to higher expenses.

Conference call was upbeat, Stock closed Down 6.71% AH.

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, TAPE was mixed @ close only Nasdaq was in green. TAPE looks like it is going through digestive phase and may need to take rest for a while. Earnings AH were generally below expectations, so Nasdaq may be under pressure on Thursday's trading.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Indices mixed.....

Indices are mixed after opening lower. Geo political tension between India & Pakistan is escalating, it may get worse before it gets better.

S&P 500 @ 2792.89, low 2775.13, high 2794.77

Internals are mixed but mostly positive.

Oil UP $1.54

Gold Down $7.80

Canadian $ UP 18 tick @ .6852

VIX Down .46% @ 15.10

Portfolio SQ TSLA TWTR

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.30 PM following are red :

TWTR LULU BZUN FB AMD MU WB VICR
GG AMAT JKA LRCX MRVL NTNX ALDR
WYNN LVS SINA ULTA X.....

AH SQ reports, here are expectations :

December Q Sales $453.41 million, EPS 13 cents

Guidance March Q Sales $473.80 million, EPS 11 cents

Expecting SQ to beat current Q.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, February 26, 2019

Indices closed down .07% to .13%.....

Indices closed down.

S&P 500 @ 2793.90, low 2789.47, high 2803.12

RSI @ 69.42

CMF @ 0.306

Internals were :

Down volume led by 1.39 to 1 in NYSE & 1.20 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.29 to 1 in NYSE & 1.56 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 112 in NYSE & 42 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 2.15% @ 15.17

Oil @ $55.55

Gold @ $1328.50

AH news...WTW Down 31.96%, VICR Down 13.43%

                  GWPH UP 9.22%, PANW UP 9.83%

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets UP

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, TAPE stayed closed to unchanged whole day then closed ever so slightly lower. Internals were weak. Market looks very tired that is why it could not break technical resistance in S&P 500 despite Fed chief in his testimony was more than bullish for stock market. When good news does not propel market higher, then its time to book profit.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices mixed.....

Indices are mixed despite overbought condition, Fed chief in his testimony again gave a boos to bulls. Indices are near low of the day.

S&P 500 @ 2795.93, low 2789.47, high 2802.60

Internals are mostly negative.

Oil Down 2 cents

Gold Down 80 cents

Canadian $ UP 5 tick @ .6817

VIX Down .40% @ 14.79

Portfolio SQ TSLA TWTR

Most stocks are down

@ 1.31 PM following are green ;

SQ LULU HUYA UAL NIU ROKU AAL KORS
SPLK CRON CGC TLRY PRNB EXPE GOOG 
QRVO NTNX TK LNG WYNN LVS GS MS
SU MSFT ULTA NKE CMG M....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, February 25, 2019

Indices closed UP .12% to .36%.....NICE !!!!

Indices closed UP.

S&P 500 @ 2796.11, high 2813.49, low 2794.89

RSI @ 70.19

CMF @ 0.366

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.16 to 1 in NYSE & 1.46 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.14 to 1 in NYSE & 1.05 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 177 in NYSE & 132 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 9.92% @ 14.85

Oil @ $55.48

Gold @ $1329.50

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included SHOP ESTC MOMO
HUYA WB PRNB BABA CTRP BZUN ALDR GS SINA.....

AH news.....TSLA Down 3.58%, ETSY UP 7.10%

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil Down

AH Gold UP

About market, TAPE celebrated progress in trade talk between China & USA. Chinese stocks were strong again. TAPE may have discounted all the good news from Fed & Trade. RSI are flashing caution. VIX was UP whole day while market was UP, a tell tale of upcoming pullback.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Indices UP .41% to .61%....NICE !!!!

Indices higher on progress in China USA trade talk, Chinese stocks on the move again on this news.

S&P 500 @ 2803.57, high 2813.49, low 2799.98

Internals are positive by as much as 2 to 1

Oil Down $1.60

Gold Down $3.60

Canadian $ Down 43 tick .6821

VIX UP 4.59% @ 14.13

Portfolio SQ TSLA TWTR

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.20 following are red :

LULU BIDU IQ MTCH PHM FSLR CSIQ JKS
CRON CGC EXPE FFIV NTNX LNG WYNN
LVS TRIP MGA OSTK MCD SU ULTA KBH
CMG X....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, February 24, 2019

Fed and trade progress helping Indices....

Market has been given a major support and upward push from Federal Reserve and major progress in China US trade negotiation.

Fed had been very aggressive in communicating its bias towards  steady interest rate.

I have not seen any Fed which was adjusting its policy approach and further communicating with Wall Street on a weekly basis.

After each Fed clarification, we move higher to conquer resistance.

China US trade talk has been monitored and all progress being touted daily.

Wall Street is loving updates from two key players Fed & Trade.

BUT...like everything else, we need to keep an eye on severe overbought condition which is being developed in the process.

Here is a look @ RSI for further analysis :

Nasdaq               67.83

SOX                   67.91

S&P 500            69.70

DOW                 69.72

RUT                  75.94

Interesting picture of RSI, most of indices are contained right below 70, BUT RUT is @ whopping 75.94 which means euphoria and froth has developed.

What is @ play in the stock market IF fear of recession has subsided despite weak economic data lately in USA.

Also interesting in Nasdaq that old technology darling are leading stocks not world famous FANG.

Chinese small caps came to life on Friday

Solar stocks are jumping @ abnormal pace

SO many positives are @ play in US market.

Important thing to do now is to watch for sudden pullback to deal with overbought condition.

Good luck with your own analysis of this market and your own comfort level.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem  

Friday, February 22, 2019

Indices closed UP .64% to .91%....NICE !!!!

Indices closed UP. Indices closed near high of the day on optimism about US China trade treaty.

S&P 500 @ 2792.67, high 2794.20, low 2779.11

RSI @ 69.70

CMF @ 0.389

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.86 to 1 in NYSE & 2.30 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 2.66 to 1 in NYSE & 2.45 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 200 in NYSE & 105 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 6.57% @ 13.51

Oil @ $57.26

Gold @ $ 1332.80

Canadian $ .6875

Stocks which were UP 3% or more included TWTR
BZUN MOMO HUYA WB IQ ROKU FSLR YY
PRNB BABA OLED CSIQ JKS MGA SINA

Here is my portfolio weighting ;

TWTR          40.80%

SQ               38.10%

TSLA           21.10%

Based on 40% exposure....

Next post by 6 PM on Sunday

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Thursday, February 21, 2019

Indices closed down .35% to .40%......

Indices closed down.

S&P 500 @ 2774.88, low 2764.55, high 2781.58

RSI @ 67.14

CMF @ 0.396

Internals were :

Down volume 2.23 to 1 in NYSE & 1.49 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.75 to 1 in NYSE & 1.39 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 93 in NYSE & 59 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 3.14% @ 14.46

Oil @ $56.96

Gold @ $1327.80

AH news...BIDU UP 3.84%, ACIA UP 4.94%, Z UP 6.36%

                  OLED UP 6.68%, BJRI Down 11.49%

                  STMP Down 49.52%

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil Down  

AH Gold UP

About market, TAPE had a mild pullback on weak economic data, today's TAPE is very surprising on two counts, first mild pullback plus VIX barely moved, it can only be interpreted that good news may be coming from US China trade talk. Internals also were mildly negative another plus.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices down .29% to .36%.......

Indices are down on weak economic data in US.

S&P 500 @ 2774.74, low 2769.62, high 2781.58

Internals are negative.

Oil Down 21 cents

Gold Down $21.00

Canadian $ Down 41 tick @ .6785

VIX UP 3.78% @ 14.55

Portfolio SQ TSLA TWTR

Most stocks are down

@ 2.21 PM following are green :

SHOP BIDU AMD IQ UAL MTCH PHM LULU
KORS FSLR CRON CSIQ FFIV JKS SPWR
TK ORCL MSFT ULTA KBH CMG .....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Wednesday, February 20, 2019

Indices closed UP .03% to .24%...NICE !!!!

Indices closed UP.

S&P 500 @ 2784.70, high 2789.88, low 2774.70

RSI @ 70.18

CMF @ 0.398

Internals were ;

UP volume led by 1.56 to 1 in NYSE & 1.20 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.73 to 1 in NYSE & 1.17 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 137 in NYSE & 80 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 5.78% @ 14.02

Oil @ $56.92

Gold @ $1347.90

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included BZUN HUYA 
IQ ESTC AEM GG CRON TLRY CIEN LRCX MRVL 
QRVO CHK TK MLNX MGA SINA X......

AH news....HTZ UP 6.73%, CAR UP 9.86%

                 VIPS Down7.66%

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, TAPE closed green but off the highs of the day, Fed minutes gave more insight as to how much Fed officials are worried about US economic growth, thus taking further measures of keeping interest rates in check. RSI @ 70+ calls for caution.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices mixed.....

Indices are mixed after a huge 8+ week run.

S&P 500 @ 2781.42, high 2789.88, low 2775.68

Internals are positive

Oil UP 89 cents

Gold Down 30 cents

Canadian $ UP 39 tick @ .6833

VIX Down 1.68% @ 14.63

Portfolio SQ TSLA TWTR

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.24 following are red ;

AMZN SQ TSLA TWTR SHOP MOMO BIDU
MTCH SPLK FSLR PRNB JKS GOOG PANW
NTNX YELP CSIQ TRIP....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem 

Tuesday, February 19, 2019

Indices closed UP .03% to .19%...NICE !!!!

Indices closed UP.

S&P 500 @ 2770.7, high 2787.33, low 2767.29

RSI @ 69.54

CMF @ o.366

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.92 to 1 in NYSE & 1.43 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 2.13 to 1 in NYSE & 1.63 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 154 in NYSE & 76 in Nasdaq

VIX Down .20% @ 14.88

Oil @ $56.45

Gold @ $1344.80

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included MOMO BZUN
HUYA IQ WB ROKU GG FSLR CSIQ JKS SPWR PRNB
BABA CIEN MRVL YY CHK WYNN OSTK....

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold Down


About market, TAPE built its positive close on optimism about trade progress. Market is overbought and is a nice place to book gains, this TAPE can reverse very very quickly, close today was not the best. Waiting for prices to come down could be a good strategy @ this stage, it always comes down after being UP for 8 weeks.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices UP .07% to .20%....NICE !!!!

Indices are green after dipping into red, optimism for continued US China trade talk is being taken as positive. Indices are near high of the day.

S&P 500 @ 2781.52, high 2783.84, low 2767.29

Internals are positive.

Oil UP 34 cents

Gold UP $20.80

Canadian $ UP 26 tick @ .6787

VIX Down .40% @ 14.85

Portfolio SQ TSLA TWTR

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.07 PM following are red :

FEYE PHM LULU VICR CGC CRUS ALDR RIG
ULTA CMG .....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Monday, February 18, 2019

Indices near top of its range ?

Indices are showing rare strength in climbing over 200 DMA, only sector that has not gone over 200 DMA is Russell 2000.

To further analyze, let us check RSI :

RUT             74.58

DOW           69.43

S&P 500     69.01

SOX            67.84

Nasdaq      66.62

Based on all of the above RSI numbers, history tells us we are overbought and is near top of the range for RSI.

Russell 2000 is way above overbought, DOW, S&P 500 are near 70 area.

Nasdaq is the only one which has some room to hit 70 area.

As you can see from RUT, it is above critical 70 area.

SO...how do we interpret these overbought RSI numbers, we may have to go back to election of Donald Trump when we were touching 80 area.

YES...it is possible to go above current RSI readings.

IF we go above these numbers then we are entering "severely overbought "

CAUTION is advisable IF we are hitting 80 RSI area.....

Pullbacks from 80 area is " sharp & sudden "

As they say " Bulls make money Bears make money pigs get slaughtered "

Greed may not be good as we get close to 80 area

All Indices are hitting top of its range, they may go over top of the range, but drop can be very painful.....

Please exercise extreme caution this short week.

Good luck with your own research about this TAPE and comfort level.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem






Friday, February 15, 2019

Indices closed UP .61% to 1.74%....NUICE !!!!

Indices closed @ high of the day on optimism about trade deal with China.

S&P 500 @ 2775.60, high 2775.66, low 2760.24

RSI @ 69.01

CMF @ 0.387

Internals were :

UP volume led by 5.29 to 1 in NYSE & 2.08 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 3.65 to 1 in NYSE & 2.58 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 130 in NYSE & 78 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 8.08% @ 14.91

Oil @ $55.59

Gold @ $1322.10

Canadian $ @ .6723

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included TSLA
NVDA AMD ROKU KORS SPLK AEM CRON
CGC PRNB CIEN ALDR CHK RIG YELP LVS
GS MS MA OSTK MCD SU MSFTX V.....

Here is my portfolio weighting :

TWTR            40.20%

SQ                   37.80%

TSLA               22.00

Based on 40% exposure....

Next post by 6 PM on Monday , Monday, US & Canadian markets are closed.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, February 14, 2019

Indices closed mixed.....

Indices closed mixed.

S&P 500 @ 2745.73, low 2731.23, high 2757.90

RSI @ 65.00

CMF @ 0.364

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.14 to 1 in NYSE & 1.75 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.21 to 1 in NYSE & 1.02 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 78 in NYSE & 51 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 3.64% @ 16.22

Oil @ $54.41

Gold @ $1313.90

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included SHOP HUYA
ESTC FEYE VICR NFLX RIG OSTK....

AH news...ACOR UP 9.25%, NVDA UP 5.42%

                 TRUE Down 18.16%, AMAT Down 2.06%

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, TAPE was mixed @ close on weak economic data from US and strong trade data from China. Market being overbought will react to any bad news, it needs to pullback to a better entry point, RSI may need to come down to 40+ level before it is ready to move up again, S&P 500 and DOW are above 200 DMA but Nasdaq remained below 200 DMA, diversion is not good technically speaking. There is only a closing BLOG on Friday's around 7 PM.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices mixed....

Indices are mixed as we are deeply overbought.

S&P 500 @ 2751.20, low 2731.23, high 2755.29

Internals are positive

Oil UP 59 cents

Gold Down 70 cents

Canadian $ Down 32 tick @ .6716

VIX UP 1.15% @ 15.83

Portfolio SQ TSLA TWTR

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.09 PM following are red :

TSLA AMZN MOMO BIDU NIU CGC TLRY
CTRP EAF YY WB BABA WYNN LVS 
SINA CNX SWIR....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Wednesday, February 13, 2019

Indices closed UP .08% to .46%....NICE !!!!

Indices closed UP.

S&P 500 @ 2753.03, high 2761.85, low 2748.63

RSI @ 66.97

CMF @ 0.334

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.45 to 1 in NYSE & 1.62 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.84 to 1 in NYSE & 1.40 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 91 in NYSE & 54 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 1.43% @ 15.65

Oil @ 53.90

Gold @ $1315.10

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included TWTR
MOMO BIDU ROKU CRON CGC PRNB EAF
CHK SPWR MU.....

AH news...AVP UP 8.62%, YELP UP 5.95%

                 SWIR Down 21.42%, FOSL Down 15.98%

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil UP

AH Gold Down

About market, TAPE continued its optimism over two issues facing US market, trade with China & Government shutdown. Indices closed over the key resistance of 200 DMA in Dow & S&P 500.Market internals were positive. RSI is flashing caution with close to 70 area.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices UP .27% to .37%....NICE !!!!

Indices are higher on optimism for a trade deal between US & China. Shutdown averted also helping sentiment.

S&P 500 @ 2753.12, high 2761.85, low 2748.63

Internals are positive

Oil UP 91 cents

Gold Down 90 cents

Canadian $ Down 8 tick @ .6757

VIX Down .13% @ 15.41

Portfolio SQ TSLA TWTR

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.14 PM following are red :

TSLA SHOP ESTC HUYA FEYE NIU LULU
NFLX PANW TRIP TSM KBH X....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, February 12, 2019

Indices closed UP 1.29% to 1.49%....NICE !!!!

Indices closed UP.

S&P 500 @ 2744.73, high 2748.19, low 2722.81

RSI @ 65.88

CMF @ 0.386

UP volume led by 3.69 to 1 in NYSE & 2.87 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 3.28 to 1 in NYSE & 2.83 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 98 in NYSE & 67 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 3.38% @ 15.43

Oil @ $53.10

Gold @ $1314,00

Stocks which were UP 3% or more included MOMO HYA NVDA
MU WB ROKU PHM LULU NFLX OLED YY SINA OSTK
KBH......

AH news....TWLO Down 5.31%, AQ Down 16.85%

                   JCOM UP 10.65%, UIS UP 12.21%

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, TAPE reacted well to framework to prevent US government shutdown. President Trump is sowing flexibility in extending March 1st deadline to impose across the board duties on all Chinese imports, nice to see compromise being made, do not expect any agreement until end of March, these things takes long time to resolve. Many positive in market which may propel this TAPE higher.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices UP 1.40% to 1.59%.....NICE !!!!

Indices are sharply higher and S&P 500 @ top of its current range. Indices are @ high of the day, its the wall today which is carrying the day.

S&P 500 @ 2747.65, high 2748.19, low 2722.61

Internals are positive by 3 to 1

Oil UP $1.18

Gold UP $2.80

Canadian $ UP 65 tick @ .6761

VIX Down 4.32% @ 15.28

Portfolio SQ TSLA TWTR

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.05 following are red :

TSLA SHOP AMD MTCH NIU AEM GG
JKS PANW FNSR MCD CMG M....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, February 11, 2019

Indices closed mixed......

Indices closed mixed.

S&P 500 @ 2709.80, high 2718.05, low 2703.79

RSI @ 60.82

CMF @ 0.365

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.45 to 1 in NYSE & 1.14 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.82 to 1 in NYSE & 1.52 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 86 in NYSE & 33 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 1.59% @ 15.97

Oil @ $52.41

Gold @ $1311.90

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included TSLA
WB SWN FEYE CIEN CSIQ MRVL OLED TK
FSLR JKS MLNX CMG X.....

AH news....BV UP 15.38%, PYX UP 12.04%

                    CHGG UP 9.48%, EA UP 6.03%

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold UP

About market, TAPE was in neutral mode waiting for development on shutdown and trade meeting with China & US, shutdown has an agreement / framework in place which is lifting futures.
I will call today's action as positive as mixed close is more than OK. We must watch how we close daily which is more important than open.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices mixed.....

Indices are mixed despite China USA on table to discuss trade this week. Shutdown again in focus and traders are not happy.

S&P 500 @ 2707.19, low 2704.98, high 2718.05

Internals are positive.

Oil Down 48 cents

Gold Down $6.40

Canadian $ Down 23 tick @ .6701

VIX UP 3.44% @ 16.26

Portfolio SQ TSLA TWTR

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.06 PM following are red :

FB BIDU NVDA AMD MU NIU ROKU AEM
CGC TLRY EXPE NFLX PANW ALDR
LNG BIDU WYNN MS OSTK ....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, February 10, 2019

USA China trade stalemate may affect stock market....

China & USA are heading into a very difficult stage of trade negotiations, Trump wants all the concessions which he has outlined, but Chinese team are not going to fall for it, thus a stalemate and it can get worse.

How all this will affect stock market is unknown, Kudlow the pragmatic may lose out to hawk / clones of Trump in the team.

Let us look @ RSI where it is sitting :

Nasdaq            59.50

DOW               60.18

S&P 500         60.52

SOX                61.12

RUT                62.00

IF we look @ RSI, it is showing a picture of bull market, pretty much in 60 area. 60 area is considered overbought in a normal market, we did go well above close to 70 in SOX and it has pulled back.

Other way is to look @ chart where 200 DMA rules as point of resistance or breakout in current scenario.

Based on charts, SOX and DOW are above 200 DMA while Nasdaq & RUT are weakest in relationship to how far they are down from 200 DMA....

To say the least chart is NOT giving a clear picture of strength or weakness, I will say, it is neutral @ best.

SO...based on two analysis verdict is neutral and may go in either direction based on when Trump blinks and rekindles hope for a trade deal with China.

SO...be ready for a trade driven roller coaster ride.

Most FANG stocks are not the leader this time around which is a concern, we need strong leadership stocks which is missing CMG is doing well.

SO...I have been in an " underweight mode " until I feel there is a trade deal which looks imminent.

We have only 14 trading days left for March 1st trade deal deadline, market hates uncertainty.

Good luck with your own strategy and comfort level.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Friday, February 8, 2019

Indices closed mixed.....

Indices closed mixed but @ high of the day. China & USA are heading for a showdown in trade dispute after 14 trading days, that may not bode well for market long before that, so jitters continue.

S&P 500 @ 2707.88, high 2708.07, low 2681.83

RSI @ 60.62

CMF @ 0.414

Internals were :

Down volume led by 1.19 to 1 in NYSE & .89 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.15 to 1 in NYSE & 1.04 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 58 in NYSE & 3 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 3.97% @ 15.72

Oil @ $52.72

Gold @ $1312.50

Canadian $ @ .6724

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included SQ
SHOP ESTC IQ ROKU SPLK EXPE PANW 
NTNX TK YELP SINA OSTK.....

Here is my portfolio allocation :

TWTR        39.70%

SQ             37.80%

TSLA         22.50%

Based on 40% exposure...

Next post by 6 PM on Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, February 7, 2019

Indices closed down .87% to 1.18%.....

Indices closed down.

S&P 500 @ 2706.05, low 2687.26, high 2719.32

RSI @ 60.25

CMF @ 0.414

Internals were :

Down volume led by 2.69 to 1 in NYSE & 2.25 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 2.20 to 1 in NYSE & 2.07 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk high were leading by 36 in NYSE & lows by 1 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 6.44% @ 16.37

Oil @ $52.24

Gold @ $1313.60

AH news...HAIN Down 8.67%, ANGI Down 6.05%

                  SKX UP 18.23%, MAT UP 17.80%

AH Futures Down

AH Asian markets Mixed

Oil & Gold Down

About market, TAPE was under selling pressure from open but closed above lows of the day in midpoint, culprit seems to be overbought conditions & China US trade seems to be wide apart from any solutions, thus market may remain under pressure for Friday's. There is only a closing BLOG on Friday's around 7 PM.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem