Sunday, July 12, 2020

Pandemic or no pandemic market keeps chugging along....

It has been exactly 7 months since COVID-19 started in WUHAN China on January 12th 2020, first concentrated in WUHAN then in other Chinese cities, it was generally downplayed initially even by WHO...but soon the whole world was alarmed and Pandemic was declared.....

Despite COVID-19 spreading fast, US indices maintained their rapid ascent to new all time high in mid February, then came the plunge in all indices breaching all key support levels, after 1 full month of relentless selling, all indices found their footing and started its climb back above and has been all clear since mid May.....into series of record all time highs in SOX & NASDAQ......

Ironically Russell 2000 is still 16.31% below its last high......

DOW is still 11.91% below its all time high..

S&P 500 is still 6.55% below its all time high....

Why do I give all the background of COVID-19 and its impact is to give a broader perspective of reality in markets.....

US market technicians were the-most reluctant to acknowledge strength in Nasdaq & SOX...always using S&P 500 chart in their thesis......

Trouble with stat is you can show whatever you want, but new all time highs are a real story and cannot be ignored by rational being...be it fundamental or technical.....

Judging from current flare up in Florida, Texas and other places, there is too much doom and gloom and ignoring all the accomplishments of Northeast...NY, CT, NJ in particular.....and majority of countries around the world.....

SO one must take lessons from what was accomplished within USA to get a better handle, even El Presidente is wearing a mask today......

YES it is bad wherever it is rising, but the flip side is, soon it will go down to a manageable level.

Market looks ahead usually 6 months .....

Everyone in USA and world sees a much better economy 6 months down the road.....

Moral of the story is " have patience " it gets darker before it gets better......

Stay with your own ideas and have very high comfort level with selected stocks, market have a habit of thrashing most popular stories quite often...so do not be a trend follower for too long...you may overstay your welcome....

Good luck with your own ideas!

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

6 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi guys,

Last week: +5.18% (YTD: +48.79%)
Notable Winners: RUN SQ PINS DDOG ELF
Notable Laggards: GAN AVYA ADPT

It was another great week, powered by RUN (+44%) and SQ (+17%). It seems like every week a new big mover drives returns - this is symptomatic of a solid bull market. I am not sure when the market eventually slows down, but it's important to be on the ride for now.

Holdings: PINS RUN DDOG AKAM NXPI PLAN ELY LOW LITE SHYF BHVN AVYA WEN ELF GAN, cash 0.0%

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader

Added 20% AAL @ $11.58

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Good luck with more AAL!

The year is barely half over and already some investors have had their best years in a while, and it feels like there's more room to go in many stocks...

Stocktrader

psrajpal said...

Hi Saleem,

Best Wishes for more AAL.

Looks like the bull run just got started again.

Paramjeet

psrajpal said...

Hi Guys,

Market sold off in the last hr due to CA lockdown news. Healthy correction BTW

Picked up

My favorite ones

LVGO @ 94
ONEM @ 38
PS @ 17.70
More NVAX @ 104

Sold AVYA @ 12.12
Sold OPK @ 4.01
Reduced some GAN @ 24.78

Thanks

Paramjeet

Stocks100 said...


Hi Paramjeet,

Good luck with your new buys.....

Saleem