Sunday, August 2, 2020

US stock market still attractive......

Earnings report has been very impressive so far.

Earning reaction so far has been mixed.

RSI still attractive in indices and stocks.

Here is RSI numbers for market & selected stocks :

Table 1.....

Nasdaq     61.67
S&P 500  61.03
SOX        60.90
IWM       55.47
DOW      52.13 

Table 2.....

GLD       82.22
TAN       65.06 
XLE      43.73

Table 3......

AMD     77.43
AAPL    73.80
LRCX    68.39
TSM      66.79
FB         65.01
AMZN   62.51
CRWD  62.08
DDOG  61.16
SHOP   59.85
ZM       53.09

Above 3 table of RSI gives you a very good read on " relative strength / weakness ".

First table analyze overall market, that gives a clear signal that based on RSI we are very healthy.

Second table gives us an idea of sector, again it shows leading and lagging sector.

Third table is very interesting, many surprises as to where they are in RSI ...

As we are getting late in COVID-19 scenario, it is important that we realize, there is no simplistic solution to deal with Corona Virus.

World needs to adjust to new reality and move on with life @ hand.

All this focus on vaccine is getting overplayed, in the end they may not get a real solution only a temporary stop gap hope /  solution.

We have not cured FLU for so long after so many vaccine were invented and we keep tinkering every year with new strings of FLU...still no guarantee for even cure for FLU...

We all need to take precaution just like for FLU for COVID-19, which may co-exist with FLU for a very long time.....

Once we accept this reality of precaution, world will adjust accordingly.

We are already in 3rd wave of COVID-19 in many countries where they took serious measures to control it......" reality speaks louder than fiction "

SO...lets get focus on picking stocks which is giving lot of opportunities....

Above 3 tables will give you a format to focus and prosper.....

RSI is telling us " we are more than OK even now "

Good luck with your own analysis and comfort level.

BLOG does not give buy or sell.

Saleem



7 comments:

psrajpal said...

Hi Saleem,

Great Analysis. I love this blog..

Last week was subdued and resulted in a weekly loss but overall July was positive.

Portfolio Performance Last week (-11.95%)
Portfolio Performance for Jul 2020 (21%)

Few stocks came down due to weak ER and manipulation(after good numbers).

Sold KRA GAN DKNG ONEM
Bought more SPAQ and OPK

Wishing for the positive outcome for Aug and beyond for all!!

Paramjeet

Stocks100 said...


Hi Paramjeet,

Thanks for your feedback on my view of US market, much appreciated.

Last week Down .87%

YTD UP 28.20%.

Saleem

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader Paramjeet

Bought MSFT @ $210 in pre market.

Saleem

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader Paramjeet

Added 20% CCL @ $13.37

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Last week: +4.24% (YTD: +55.07%)
Notable Gainers: PINS DDOG LITE SQ SWKS ELY HUBS
Notable Laggards: GAN RUN BHVN

The overall market continued its positive grind, but some strong stocks pulled back sharply on profit taking. The portfolio diversification again helped, and I strive to swap out for stronger stocks when the opportunity arises (only trade this week was NXPI out/SWKS in). The only potential hiccup I see is presidential election worries, but so far the market is not wavering. Sentiment remains low even as we rally here, which should set up a more fervent year-end chase eventually.

Portfolio: PINS SQ ELY RUN SWKS DDOG LITE AKAM LOW HUBS WEN PLAN GAN ELF BHVN, cash 0.0%

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Good luck with MSFT and more CCL!

Stocktrader

psrajpal said...

Hi Saleem,

Good luck with new additions.

Paramjeet