Sunday, October 11, 2020

Stimulus stalemate may kill momentum in US stock market....

 Stimulus talks are no further ahead than 3 weeks ago.....

$2.2 trillion vs $1.8 trillion is being thrown around with no conviction then comes a talk of bigger than $2.2 trillion....little kids trying to talk each other out with words only...NO action....

Stock market is showing lot of traction despite daily contradiction on Stimulus status....my take going nowhere " stuck in mud spinning wheels "

SOX is showing great strength with pre announcements, mergers and good earning momentum, so SOX is @ new all time high based on Friday's closing numbers of 2398.40...

TAN made a new high on Wednesday with highest RSI number of 85.39

SOX RSI is @ measly 66.57...so much more room to run....more bids coming in this sector, market will keep playing who is next and @ what price takeover of XLNX  by AMD...

Russell 2000 / IWM is only 3.56% away from making new all time high, when small cap is the best performing sector for last week, then you know technology is going much much higher and it may take other indices higher for the ride.

As far as S&P 500, DOW & Nasdaq are concerned, they have taken a back seat to small cap and took a well deserved rest / basing time.

RSI for Nasdaq 60.00, S&P 500 60.72, DOW 61.16

Interesting that DOW is doing better than Nasdaq & S&P 500 due to " rotation "

Energy remains the biggest laggard with RSI @ 44.21, they say " longer the base .......

Airlines are also behaving much better with RSI @ 57.42 for JETS

Gold is behind Airlines with RSI @ 54.51

SO....RSI numbers are proving one thing only that rotation has taken hold with TAN as leader followed by small cap with SOX showing real strength......

YES Cloud stocks are also streaming ahead as most in demand due to additional need for capacity & monitoring of home based security needs.

Let the politicians spoil the party, but momentum is building UP and may recover from every negative tweets from either side.....

Stay engaged with this rotation based stock market with opportunistic trade, $$$ keeps coming as long as as you are diversified....

Good luck with your own thesis about this market and your own comfort level.

We have only last 10 working weeks left in this year trading, look @ your own portfolio IF it needs tweaking...this year will go down in history as easiest to make money......maybe.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

4 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Last week: +7.44% (YTD: +86.23%)
Notable Leaders: BHVN GRWG ELF USCR HUBS VICR EAT
Notable Laggards: RUN FAZ

The market exploded this week and breadth was impressive. The uncertainty removed about the election is the key factor I believe as the stimulus hopes faded once again and virus cases surge across the world. With the election basically decided however, companies can begin long term spending plans and institutions can deploy funds that were sidelined. I expect the market to continue its march higher into year end, and think we could potentially see S&P 4000. This rally may steal from next year, so I think it's important to make the gains while we can.

Holdings: HUBS EAT SQ PINS GM ELF MTCH QRVO USCR BHVN LITE VICR RUN GRWG, cash 5.4%

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Last week UP 2.30%

YTD UP 38.01%

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Added to RUN @ 67.61 on this dip

Bought HUYA @ 23.85 on the merger with a competitor

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...


Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with HUYA & more RUN....

Saleem