Sunday, July 18, 2021

US stock market needs a catalyst......

 US stock market is facing many issues....

Fed is working on tapering schedule, a negative for US stock market.

Delta variant is playing havoc with new infections all over the world....

Boris Johnson British Prime Minister is most high profile who may be exposed again and is in self isolation

Chinese US tit for tat diplomacy is hurting also

Chip shortage has no real solution yet

Car production is impacted and not recovering from chip shortage

World economies is facing major resistance to working from office instead of online and from home only

Labor shortage has pegged US wages @ minimum $15 per hour already and going higher

INFLATION is playing havoc with world economies, most items are higher priced in groceries.

Oil in $71.81 is adding to cost of everything

All of the above has no solution as of now.....

Stock market hates uncertainty......

Earnings being managed by few companies only....others are using chips, inflation as key reasons to so so guidance.

Delta variant is not ready to peak....thus uncertainty continues....

All I can suggest is to reduce your exposure or to switch to low RSI low PE stocks to mark time

I do not see much changing until we correct more from here

October may be the best time to refocus and go for growth wherever It may be.

SO...stay well diversified so you are protected from sharp pullback in any one sector.....

Every sector currently is extremely vulnerable to a quick 10% downdraft....

Good luck with your own analysis and comfort level.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


7 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Last week: +0.72% (YTD: +31.79%)
Notable Leaders: TZA SOXS BHVN
Notable Laggards: DDD GRWG FSLR ELY

It was a survival week for the portfolio and it came through ok. Some big individual decliners were more than offset by the large short hedges. As we progress through the market selloff, I'll continue to unwind some of the hedging and do more stock picking. Earnings season seems like it will be a non-factor and only the macro will move the market.

Holdings: TZA (25%), SOXS (18%), FSLR BHVN AGCO ZIP ELY SNAP GRWG BMBL UPST DDD, cash 2%

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Trimmed TZA @ 37.00

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Bought ESTC @ 137.19 to get some software exposure back

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...


Hi Stocktrader,

Last week Down 8.74%

YTD UP 3.10%

Saleem

Stocks100 said...


Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with ESTC!

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Bought GMBL @ 9.20

I think e-gaming and gambling has a large future ahead.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...


Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with GMBL....

Saleem