Sunday, December 26, 2021

US stock market in 2022.....

 2022 is  only 1 trading week away....

Many are wondering what kind of strategy will work...

Most technicians were not accurate about 2021, they were super bearish all along...

Most traders were whipsawed by rotation

Those who stayed the course were caught in the end

Although major Indices made series of new highs all year of 2021, major players, traders did not have performance to match Indices....

Passive Investors did much better than traders hands down in 2021, they watched in awe how much their investment have grown just by being in the market through ETF in their retirement accounts.....

I am sure, many traders are readjusting their daytrading techniques 

HFT high frequency traders were also caught with rotation in markets which nullified many of their game plans....

Most participants for once will admit that ETF and leaving it alone was the best strategy in 2021

2022 may be a lot different market with many cross current @ play :

High inflation...

Chips shortage

Freight cost very high

Fed raising interest rates

OMICRON or other variant may be be the disruptor

Above factors are just the known ones, there may be few " unknown risks which may come into play "

Every year something totally unpredictable takes the wind out of stock market....

2022 may be another year where passive investing may win out again.....

Overtrading may not work in 2022 either

We are entering uncharted territory in 2022...

First 6 months may be more challenging than 2nd half

2nd half of 2022 may see a trend which most can follow and hopefully can make money

SO 2022 may require lot of patience and home work

Most followed TAPE since heyday of 1999 2000 which has worked more the most part......

2022 may be the year of fundamental analysis which most traders do not follow

So new learning and lots of patience is in the mix.....

OH...by the way...2021 will go out like a bang...@ series of new highs in lat week of 2021 & first week of 2022......

After that, it is back to basic!!!!

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

5 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays!!

Last week: +5.38% (YTD: +34.99%)
Notable Leaders: most everything
Notable Laggards: USER ZENV

It was a resurgent week as selling finally faded which left only buyers remaining. This week should see a series of new highs as Saleem suggested.

Holdings: ZIP PINS PHM LYFT UPST PLAY AGCO SNAP ELY CXM USER ZENV GMBL BMEA, cash 0%

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Sold LYFT @ 44.05 to take profits

Bought FDX @ 256.40 on great earnings recently and continued delivery trends

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...


Hi Stocktrader,

Last week UP 8.00%

YTD UP 8.57%

Good luck with FDX

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Sold SNAP @ 48.67 on recent price rise and lack of catalysts

Bought TASK @ 55.17 on future growth prospects

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...


Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with TASK...

Saleem