2024 US stock market performance is in history books....
DOW UP 13% went UP the-least, S&P 500 +23.31% ( 25% with dividend reinvested ) was the second best while Nasdaq 29% went UP the-most.....
5 years average return 11.33% for entire stock market
Where you invest matters, returns were almost TRIPLE IF you compare with small cap IWM which was UP 10.03%.....to almighty Nasdaq.....29%.....
BUT many investors / traders prefer to focus on small cap over & over....hoping to hit many home runs...BUT history does NOT support that thesis...generally in the end small cap crash & burn to horror of many traders.....
Actual performance proves with history of Wall Street that Nasdaq has been a " much stronger & SAFER bet than other Indices " with almost AUTO PILOT mode....BUY IT & leave it alone......BUT so hard to follow this winning formula.....
AGAIN for 2025 Nasdaq should beat even in a much more challenging environment.....
Please DO NOT take 2025 as easy to beat and make easy money....It IS going to be " MUCH MUCH TOUGHER "
Earnings are not supporting expectations of OPTIMISTIC traders....
TOO MANY " EUPHORIA PUNDITS " making outlandish targets about many " super speculative stocks "....which by end of 2025....may shock believers....
Making money requires " realistic expectations "
Making money requires " diversified strategy in many sectors "
Making money requires " PATIENCE & CONVICTION "
Changing strategies on " so called opinion " does not work out
REACTING to near term issues also hurts.....
Think of quarterly expectations, instead of " ticker reaction "
Try to RELAX with your portfolio.....It IS NOT KENTUCKY DERBY...not a horse race either...
SO WHAT...IF you are behind after week 4.....think end of 2025 which IS what really matters.....
SO take a good look @ your strategy & composition of your portfolios, generally " TRENDS DO NOT CHANGE OVERNIGHT "
In any portfolio of 10, 4 will exceed your expectations while 6 will lag.....nothing wrong with that as long as you stick to your winners and do not over trade.....sometimes laggards becomes strong by end of the year.....
HOMEWORK MATTERS......
GAME PLAN MATTERS.......
No matter what you do, good luck in 2025.....
Here is my 2 day result of 2025 :
UP 5.77%
Here is my portfolio weighting :
AVGO 16.04%
GDXJ 15.29%
MSFT 12.34%
TSLA 12.29%
MU 9.24%
AAPL 8.88%
GOOG 8.00%
SMCI 7.64%
BTCC 6.37%
RIOT 3.91%
Next post when I buy or sell or my usual " Sunday full report "by 6 PM EST...
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
11 comments:
Thank you for your post and all the vulnerable informations Salem!
Hi Stocktrader,
Added 30% TSLA.NE @ $37.68 in Toronto....
Saleem
Hi Saleem,
Good luck with more TSLA!
Hi Stocktrader,
I finally sold a little of ZENZ (10k shares) @2.5 to buy BMR @4.8
Hi Saleem,
Last week: +4.61% (YTD: +7.55%, just the two days)
Portfolio Leaders: BMR ATOM PSNL UEC
Portfolio Laggards: SOUN
The year started strongly and the portfolio powered higher thanks to some big gainers. I don't see much in the way to stall out the grinding bull run, especially as multiple bouts of profit taking in the last month has refreshed some of the price action and sentiment. I think is it important to stay nearly fully invested as I believe a lot of the "non-hype" stocks will perform well this year as burgeoning efficiency gains from AI/automation pair with lower input costs and higher revenues. My personal goals are to try and remain balanced among sectors but keep doing homework and sticking with individual names and stories I find compelling. As most of us follow the market daily, we should have the ability to react and adjust as needed to changing market conditions should they occur. It's important to remember, if we have the proper process for selecting stocks, the positive outcomes should take care of themselves over time, even if one idea or another doesn't exactly work.
Holdings: ATOM UEC CNK OSIS (all x1.5), ZENV PLNT GTLS SRRK PSNL BMR, cash 0%
Stocktrader
Hi Saleem,
Good luck with more TSLA - two positive analyst mentions today!
Stocktrader
Hi Stock Rookie,
The recovery in ZENV has been remarkable and our patience paid off!
The price action tells me something is happening in BMR, but admittedly I haven't been able to find anything specific and potentially it could turn out to be nothing. For now, I am eagerly interested...
Stocktrader
Hi Saleem,
Trimmed ATOM @ 16.86 down to normal sizing
After this run-up, I just don't feel like an oversize position is warranted and I'd rather have the excess cash for other opportunities.
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Why ZENV pop so much recently and the avg volume today almost quadruple? I couldn't find any news on it. Thank you again for ZENV recommendation🙏
Hi Stock Rookie,
I don't know why the stock has been moving either but the buying interest had been persistent, like an institutional accumulation or some positive event upcoming, and now it's getting some retail interest since it broke back above the 50 and 200 DMA definitively.
I'll guess we'll wait and see how it pans out but I'm looking for opportunities to pare back positioning because it has gotten a bit too large in the portfolio for my liking.
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Good luck with next pick.....funds on hand always good !!!
Saleem
Thank you sir!
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