Sunday, June 22, 2025

US stock market facing new challenges.....

 US stock market always has many challenges " so it can climb wall of worries "

Highest inflation worldwide.....

High Interest rates....

Slowing GDP....

NOW B2 " bombing "

Followed by Iran Missiles hitting Haifa & Tel Aviv

Sound like a " bad movie "

As Aunt Clara used to say " where is the beef "

Lot of " disinformation & tough talk "

BUT Wall & Broad St...can sort the " fluff out "

There is NO WW111.....that involves real Army on ground.....the best we can do these days is Firing from 14000 Kilometers away with REMOTE and GRAZE few structures.....

SO.....

Wall Street should rally....as one more " step is out of the way "

YES...same old same old 7 stocks should lead this market much higher.....

Fed is all set to " reduce rates in July " which IS few days away.....

SO...increase your exposure with " opportunistic buying "

Here is my last week result "

Last week UP .68%

YTD          UP 14.32%

Here is my weighting on 80% exposure :

SHOP       36.90%

AAPL       17.85%

GOOG     16.90%

UBER     10.88%

MSFT       8.47%

NVDA      4.67%

SMCI      4.33%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


8 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Last week: +1.40% (YTD: -18.66%)
Portfolio Leaders: FEIM UPST PSNL
Portfolio Laggards: OSIS RZLV RBRK

It was a flat week for the markets and the portfolio did well thanks to a few names. Even with headlines from the Middle East, the market took it mostly in stride as we pause to refresh. Other than some headlines, you can tell it's the summer slow time and liquidity is not great. A plethora of recent IPOs has reduced the sideline cash, so I expect more churn here as we digest that extra supply but the economic backdrop stays surprisingly strong. The big event this week is the Russell rebalance, and we could see some big moves late in the week. I remain comfortable with most of my positioning but continue to evaluate new and old names alike.

Holdings: FEIM UPST AVAV RBRK CVCO III RZLV PONY OSIS SSYS SNAP FATN, cash 0%

Stocktrader

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Salem & Stocktrader,

Sold half of my position of RZLV @2.70 and bought DUOT. Thank you Stocktrader for an awesome recommendation of RZLV. Much appreciated sir!

Simon

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Simon,

The patience pays off! I have no idea why people didn't realize the addition to the Russell indices until today - I flagged it when the lists first came out in May, but we'll take the win!

I can't quite figure out if DUOT is a gold mine or just an old business trying to find any new path for revenue that may or may not work. Ultimately, I think the company is undiscovered and undervalued when a firm like Fortress Investment Group takes an interest.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Simon,

Oh also, I'm holding the full RZLV still. I haven't understood why this company isn't worth more like $5+ given its revenue streams and business model, but it's hung around this $2 area for so long despite the good press that maybe I'm just wrong about it. We should know soon as this Russell addition either propels more gains or if the stock just fades again.

Stocktrader

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Thank you for all the good advice. So grateful to have you and Salem around. I've learn so much from you both!

Simon

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Trimmed a little (12%) RZLV @ 2.94 after the recent run makes it too overweight for the portfolio. I'll add to some existing positions tomorrow.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good move to trim & keep the profit.....

Good luck with next purchase / additional shares...

Saleem

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Great idea booking profit.. Good luck with the next move.

Simon