Added 100% UBER.NE @ $53.00
Added 200% CRCL @ $186.82
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
Added 100% UBER.NE @ $53.00
Added 200% CRCL @ $186.82
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
US stock market remains on a tear despite ongoing trade war with overwhelming countries including Canada where chance of a deal is " almost ZERO "
BUT rhetoric has convinced everyone that there has been a " huge lineup of deal seekers from day ONE "
SO
The question of the day IS......
WHY US stock market keeps going UP & UP
BECAUSE......deadline for deal has been delayed for 3 months in a row....
Comes famous August 1 .....expect another " flip flop ".......
BUT rally may NOT last despite August 1 extension.......
Because we are severely overbought based on RSI.....
All one can do is keep booking profit and keep cash handy for opportunistic buying
Here is my last week results :
Last week UP 2.97%
YTD UP 39.93%
Here is my portfolio weighting on 48% exposure :
GOOG 33.99%
AAPL 33.08%
UBER 20.62%
SMCI 9.08%
CRCL 3.23%
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
Last 3 years US stocks have performed well against 30 years average of 10.17% for S&P 500...
Nasdaq last 3 years back to back are as follows :
2023 Gain of 53.81%
2024 Gain of 24.88%
2025 Gain of 9.77% YTD
IF we add UP 3 years gain ....88.46%......
Last 3 years was the year of AI....where many companies excelled and was well publicized....
Traders were too wrapped up in their old trading ways instead of " daily monitoring of their "thesis "
Traders need to be their " own biggest critic " and make changes / adjust quickly IF results do not match / exceeds benchmarks
It has been easiest 3 years in markets.....
I believe, we are entering much tougher US stock market going forward.....
Markets may pullback in a hurry as many " bullish news are priced IN "
Just for the-record...here is 3 worst year for Nasdaq back to back :
2000 DOWN 36.84%
2001 DOWN 32.65%
2002 DOWN 37.58%
Total loss of 107.07% in 3 straight years......
History is a great wake UP call for " COMPLACENCY "
Here is my result for last week :
Last week UP 10.05%
YTD UP 36.96%
Here is my weighting on 46% exposure :
AAPL 33.87%
GOOG 33.80%
UBER 21.22%
SMCI 8.96%
CRCL 2.15%
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
Added 100% UBER.NE @ $54.54 in Toronto....
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
US stock market is showing " unbelievable UPWARD trajectory "
NEVER EVER ignore " message of the market "
Market is " smarter than all the brains on Wall & Broad street.....
We all fall into a trap of what we think market should be doing OR REACT too much to few days of sideways to DOWN movement...
When market do not go down on so called bad days...then it IS a wake UP call.....
YES
There is Trade War
YES there is Tariff
BUT it SEEMS all of those are yesterday's news & fully discounted already......
Here is how my last week ended :
Last week UP .25%
YTD UP 26.91%
Here is my portfolio weighting on 62% exposure :
AAPL 25.99%
GOOG 25.27%
CRCL 21.03%
MSFT 12.36%
UBER 8.81%
SMCI 6.54%
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
Bought UBER.NE @ $57.90 in Toronto....
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
US stock market entering another chaotic deadline of July 9th for unilateral tariff....
I am almost sure there may be many " spin for any or all change in deadline "
9th July may come & go BUT TV camera will be ON for " non news "
Tariff as " weapon " is in play.....
US stock market MAY IGNORE all the " non news about tariff "
This tariff game may NOT be over until end of the year....
SO be ready for an opportunistic trade as & when you see it.....
Stock market has a tendency to filter " non news " and do its own thing....
Pay attention to " how we close "
Here is my last week :
Last week UP 4.20%
YTD UP 26.66%
Here is my portfolio weighting on 65% exposure :
AAPL 26.63%
GOOG 25.67%
CRCL 21.50
MSFT 12.35%
NVDA 7.28%
SMCI 6.57%
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem