Sunday, July 13, 2025

US stock market...which way UP or DOWN....

 US stock market is showing " unbelievable UPWARD trajectory "

NEVER EVER ignore " message of the market "

Market is " smarter than all the brains on Wall & Broad street.....

We all fall into a trap of what we think market should be doing OR REACT too much to few days of sideways to DOWN movement...

When market do not go down on so called bad days...then it IS a wake UP call.....

YES

There is Trade War

YES there is Tariff

BUT it SEEMS all of those are yesterday's news & fully discounted already......

Here is how my last week ended :

Last week UP .25%

YTD       UP 26.91%

Here is my portfolio weighting on 62% exposure :

AAPL        25.99%

GOOG      25.27%

CRCL       21.03%

MSFT      12.36%

UBER       8.81%

SMCI        6.54%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

16 comments:

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Salem,

Congrats on another positive week :-)

Simon

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Trimmed AVAV @ 258.01

I was hoping for some continuation of the "hot stock" pullback today but it's not materializing so far... there's a whole list of stocks I'm looking to buy at this point. Hopefully I get decent entry points!

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Trimmed a little FEIM @ 20.50 to bring it into proper position size

I have about 6 positions cash.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with your strategy & new picks $$$$$$

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

As of right now, the picks would be UPST DAVE MGNI AEVA BKSY OSIS

I've been too focused on watching tick by tick today and haven't done my weekly roundup yet but I'll work on that now.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Last week: -1.74% (YTD: -7.39%)
Portfolio Leaders: AVAV UPST
Portfolio Laggards: FEIM RZLV III SSYS PONY

In a modest pullback during a wait-and-see week (earnings, tariffs), some portfolio names pulled back a bit harder and caused some underperformance, but nothing too serious. The relentless move in many hot stocks took pause last week and I raised some cash to hopefully take advantage of these moves. Ideally Friday would have been a good day to buy but I was out of town and now wait for different entries. The market overall continues to climb the wall of worry and there seems nothing that can stand in its way higher, especially as so many investors sit on capital gains that they'd rather take next year. I think momentum and relative strength will be the theme as we enter earnings season and push into the second half of the year. Growth stocks often get that bump higher also as price targets are adjusted for '26 earnings. We will eventually outrun the actual business these companies can produce, but as we are seemingly in the early stages of useful innovation, there is likely much more to go.

Holdings: AVAV SNAP CVCO FATN FEIM III SSYS, cash 46%

Stocktrader

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Stocktrader,
Good luck with the picks and new stocks recommendation.

Simon

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

The buying has happened:

Bought BKSY @ 25.84
Bought MGNI @ 23.46
Bought DAVE @ 197.49
Bought AEVA @ 27.37
Bought OSIS @ 212.10
Bought UPST @ 75.36

Most of these names are I've talked about prior, but BKSY is new and is a company putting satellites into orbit to observe everything from corporate to military to personal. The use cases to take information from the sky and translate it into something useful are nearly unlimited and this company is uniquely positioned.

Stocktrader

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with the previous fav stocks and BYSY. I went ahead and bought a few of each. Thank you!

Simon

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with new buys all 6 of them.....

Saleem

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Salem & Stocktrader,

Bought UBER with my remaining cash.

Stocks100 said...

Hi Simon,

Good luck with 7 new buys.....

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Simon,

Good luck with all new positions - hopefully the internal churn is keeping the market refreshed enough under the surface for more grinding bull action.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Sold AVAV @ 261.51
Bought LFMD @ 11.08
Added small to III @ 4.74

I feel like AVAV's short term catalysts have played out and so I make room for another that has rested and may move again (LFMD).

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with LFMD plus add on

Saleem

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Stocktrader,
Good luck with the swap and more III.

Simon