Sunday, March 1, 2026

US stock market has a new problem to discount....

 US stock market faced a new problem to digest & discount, that is IRAN......

In war nothing is predictable

Many new possibilities may happen which has not been factored IN...

Like a new " deadly weapon " which may come into play.....

OR an escalation no one was prepared for....

War creates " desperation "

While these factors are being discounted, we may have a " positive close " in Nasdaq....nothing is fair on Wall St or WAR

SO fasten your seatbelt for a sharply lower open and new highs on GOLD & SILVER

Here is how my last week ended :

Week Down 4.26%

YTD  Down 13.41%

Here is my weighting on 85% exposure :

GGLL        42.53%

AAPL        23.17%

TSLL        13.06%

HOOD       7.70%

BTCC        7.19%

ZMIC        6.35%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

23 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Sold QBTS @ 18.73

After earnings from IONQ, we see that QBTS is not even the best company in among the niche quantum players, much less competitive threats from the huge players. The chart says it has much more to prove before being worthy of investment, so I raise cash here for a new idea.

Stocktrader

Stock Rookie said...

Sold QBTS @18.60 to raise cash.

Simon

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Last week: +3.71% (YTD: +7.54%)
Portfolio Leaders: BFLY ANRO AEVA SANA
Portfolio Laggards: FATN GLUE

The portfolio outperformed nicely thanks to individual gainers in an otherwise down market. Lingering fears about AI disruption, future job losses, and an imminent Iranian offensive (which happened) took a toll, but the pullback was minor given all the fears out there, and we see signs that individual names can move higher as earnings are reported. With prices and sentiment very muted right now, I think the stage is definitely set for a move higher, and the portfolio experienced some of that last week. Stocks with strong charts continue to see inflows and many are approaching breakout points (see ANRO today). I will keep pruning the portfolio as needed and rotating to the stronger names - we get signs daily of which stocks are best...

Portfolio (current): AEVA ANRO PDYN RKLB NN GLUE SANA NNOX ASPI BFLY FATN, cash 8%

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Bought AIP @ 16.50 on a great quarter and good chart

Stocktrader

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with AIP.

Simon

Stock Rookie said...

Good morning Salem & Stocktrader,
I am very uncomfortable with the market right now especially with Iran situation. I am planning to move my 401k to safe fund until this situation resolve. May I ask what's your guys think? Thank you!

Simon

Stocks100 said...

Hi Simon,
We have seen the lows today, rest is digestive process of aboiut a week, my suggestion...stay put....

Saleem

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with AIP....

Saleem

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Salem!

🙏🙏🙏

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Simon,

I think so far the market damage has been fairly contained and only a large spike in oil I think would disrupt that. In most cases, the stocks with no exposure to the consequences will find opportunistic buyers. As for a 401k and index funds, I would definitely not try to time it - any resolution could spike the market overnight and you could be left out.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Sold the rest of my FATN @ 1.75

It probably will shoot much higher now that I'm out but that's okay...

Added to AIP BFLY ASPI AEVA

Stocktrader

Stock Rookie said...

HI Stocktrader,

Good luck with the add-on.

Sold my FATN @1.80 to recoup some loses and raise for new idea.

Simon

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Sold SANA @ 3.69

This is starting to remind me of one of those downward spirals where the stock just drifts down a little bit every day. I cut it loose and wait for more news.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Trimmed a little PDYN @ 9.64 to take profits

I have a new position I will likely enter later today.

Stocktrader

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Congrats on PDYN stella earnings..

Sold SANA @3.60 & 1/2 PDYN @9.25 to raise cash for new purchase. Thank you PDYN recommendation.

Simon

stocktrader_1996 said...

Sad about SANA but pleased with PDYN :)

Stock Rookie said...

Yes yes yes :-)

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Bought NSSC @ 42.38

I wanted to buy CODA instead as a provider of next-gen sonar equipment and mapping with burgeoning military contracts, but it wouldn't let me buy without calling in (I assume due to liquidity or size). Instead, I buy NSSC which is a leader provider of electronic locking devices for corporate, industrial, and residential buildings. Their recurring revenue stream is growing and should provide for revenue and multiple expansion both.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Used a little extra funds to add to AIP and BFLY

Stock Rookie said...

Hi Stocktrader,
Good luck with new NSSC and more BFLY AIP.

Simon

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with NSSC
And more add for BFLY & AIP

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Finally important positive news for ASPI - might light a fire.

Stocktrader

Stock Rookie said...

Hopefully $$$$ to the moon :-)