Wednesday, September 12, 2012

Indices UP .20% to .29%......NICE !!!!

Indices are in green again after German court said OK to bailout.

S&P 500 @ 1437.74

Internals are positive.

Oil Down 21 cents

Gold Down $1.40

Canadian $ Down 17 tick @ 102.55

VIX Down 2.38% @ 16.02

In my portfolio :

Added 55% AUY @ $17.18

Portfolio is EXPE,LVS,LEN,SNDK,TCK,AUY

Exposure 103%

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.00 following are red :

TCK,AEM,JCP,BIDU,YUM,KORS,MLNX,PANW,
COH,CLF,MOS,MCD,STLD,AEM,CCJ,ECA,MGA,
BAC.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Tuesday, September 11, 2012

Dow closed @ highest level since Dec 2007....NICE !!!!

Indices closed UP by .02% to .52%. Dow made the highest close since Dec 2007.

S&P 500 closed @ 1433.56

RSI @ 64.84

CMF 0.120

Internals were :

UP volume led by 3.11 to 1 in NYSE & 1.42 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 2.06 to 1 in NYSE & 1.49 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 169 in NYSE & 64 in Nasdaq

VIX closed UP .8% @ 16.41

Oil closed @ $97.17

Gold closed @ $1734.90

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included EXPE,SNDK,TCK,
JCP,CLF,PCLN,MA,V,GMCR,FB,JDSU,FNSR,C,DNKN,
YUM,AGU.....

AH Futures UP

AH Asian Markets UP

AH Gold UP

AH Oil Down

About market, German courts on Wednesday, should give its blessing to Germany's role in ECB financing.Thursday, Fed should "improve their language" in their statement. All this should be a positive catalyst for the market. I suggest stay engaged till we see a defined reversal in the market.Near 1500 we may see hesitation.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices UP .27% to .70%......NICE !!!!

Indices are back on track of going UP.

S&P 500 @ 1435.69

Internals are positive

Oil UP 47 cents

Gold UP $3.50

Canadian $ UP 54 tick @ 102.83

VIX Down 1.6% @ 16.02

Portfolio is EXPE,LVS,LEN,SNDK,TCK,AUY

Most stocks are UP

@ 1.56 following are down :

AUY,KORS,M,GOOG,AMZN,PANW,
NTES,COH,LRCX,MU,ARNA,CCJ,
APKT.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, September 10, 2012

Indices closed down .39% to 1.03%......

Indices drifted lower, closing near lows of the day.

S&P 500 closed @ 1429.08

RSI 63.12

CMF 0.144

Internals were :

Down volume led by 2.16 to 1 in NYSE & 2.80 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.50 to 1 in NYSE & 1.42 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 193 in NYSE & 77 in Nasdaq

VIX rocketed UP 13.21% @ 16.28.....HFT must be involved in this "crazy jump" with no relevance to the weakness in Dow or S&P 500 ????

Oil closed UP @ $96.54

Gold closed Down @ $1731.80

Stocks which closed UP included CMG,JCP,MA,GMCR,YUM,
FCX,PANW,MCD,BJRI,WYNN,SNE.......

AH ER PANW Down 9.55%

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Down

AH Oil Down

AH Gold UP

About market, today was profit taking after multi year highs. S&P 500 made a new high today. I personally believe that this pullback was normal, after such a huge run. Any weakness to be bought. We should resume our march to higher highs, could be as soon as Tuesday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Indices down .05% to .60%.....

Indices are down slightly, after huge moves last week.

S&P 500 @ 1435.16, after hitting new high of 1438.74

RSI @ 67.72

Internals are mostly positive.

Oil Down 38 cents

Gold Down $8.90

Canadian $ UP 15 tick @ 102.38, a new 52 wk high

VIX UP 2.99% @ 14.81

In my portfolio :

Bought AUY @ $17.66

Portfolio is EXPE,LVS,LEN,SNDK,TCK,AUY

Exposure 100%

Most stocks are UP

@ 2.02 following are down :

EXPE,LVS,LEN,AUY,AEM,GG,
PCLN,KORS,AAPL,AMZN,
GOOG,LNKD,AGU,MLNX,
V,CIEN,MOS,SINA,NTES,
MS,GS.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


Sunday, September 9, 2012

Indices are all set for more new highs.....

Indices are setting the stage for more gains.

S&P 500 closed @ absolute high on Friday @ 1437.92.

Friday's gain is more important as it came on "downbeat Jobs data". Indices should have pulled back "substantially"...but it did not on bad news. Actually we closed @ highest point in S&P 500. This is a strong signal that we are going "further UP".

Many traders are counting on what could go wrong, but indices have ignored majority of "wrongs"

TAPE is relieved that, ECB has come "full force" to defend European Economy & Euro. IMF is also backing & will participate in ECB plan.

Many non-events are being talked about, like German verdict or Fed move...those are not going to be "the key driver of world stock market"....it was all along ECB & they have come through.

TAPE has given its verdict "over & over again" that ECB matters......

Now the question IS.......?

Where do we go from here ?

I personally believe that S&P 500 could march towards 1500, overbought conditions can be monitored by keeping an eye on RSI.....currently its @ 69.34..it can easily go towards 80 area based on current strength.

Any pullbacks, should be viewed as "normal" in a strong bull market.

I have not seen this kind of stable market in a long time, strategy needs to reflect that. Most stocks are getting stronger & stronger going into 80 RSI..a sign of a very strong TAPE.

Chinese slowdown should reverse soon. & will go to normalized GDP growth of around 9%.

Indian economy should also emerge from their slowdown of 5% GDP towards 7% GDP

US economy is showing pulse if one can "ignore biased political outburst"

Canadian economy will surge once Chinese GDP goes in growth mode. Canada is heavily dependent on Commodities export.

With ECB decision & surging Euro, confidence in EU zone will gradually return.

All of the above is very good for "psychological boost" to investors confidence worldwide.

SO..be OPTIMISTIC as TAPE has turned for the BETTER.

Be diversified & be confident, as EQUITIES have once again come around, to be the-best future investment.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem




Friday, September 7, 2012

Indices closed UP.02% to .40%....AGAIN !!!!

Indices closed UP again. Volume remained above average. This despite below consensus 96K job creation. In Canada Job creation was way above consensus, expectations 10K actual 34.3K.....

S&P 500 closed @ absolute high of the day.

S&P 500 @ 1437.92

CMF 0.246

RSI @ 69.34

Internals were :

UP volume led by 2.49 to 1 in NYSE & .96 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 2.11 to 1 in NYSE & 1.32 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 273 in NYSE & 121 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 7.82% @ 14.38

Oil @ $96.42

Gold @ $1740.50

Canadian $ UP 48 tick @ 102.23, new 4 month high...

In my portfolio:

Sold OCZ

Bought SNDK @ $43.80

Added 50% EXPE @ $53.97

Portfolio is EXPE,LVS,LEN,SNDK,TCK

Here is my portfolio weighting :

LEN  27.60%

EXPE 22.00%

LVS  18.62%

TCK  16.78%

SNDK 15.00%

Exposure 94%

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included LVS,TCK,
OCZ,YUM,CMG,PCLN,LULU,FCX,AMZN,GG,
COH,CLF,SU,GMCR,JDSU,CIEN,FNSR,C,X,
STLD,EGO,AEM,CCJ,APKT,SINA,ECA,MGA,
BAC,MS,BJRI,SNE,GS,IBN.....

Next post by 2 PM Sunday

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem