Sunday, September 9, 2012

Indices are all set for more new highs.....

Indices are setting the stage for more gains.

S&P 500 closed @ absolute high on Friday @ 1437.92.

Friday's gain is more important as it came on "downbeat Jobs data". Indices should have pulled back "substantially"...but it did not on bad news. Actually we closed @ highest point in S&P 500. This is a strong signal that we are going "further UP".

Many traders are counting on what could go wrong, but indices have ignored majority of "wrongs"

TAPE is relieved that, ECB has come "full force" to defend European Economy & Euro. IMF is also backing & will participate in ECB plan.

Many non-events are being talked about, like German verdict or Fed move...those are not going to be "the key driver of world stock market"....it was all along ECB & they have come through.

TAPE has given its verdict "over & over again" that ECB matters......

Now the question IS.......?

Where do we go from here ?

I personally believe that S&P 500 could march towards 1500, overbought conditions can be monitored by keeping an eye on RSI.....currently its @ 69.34..it can easily go towards 80 area based on current strength.

Any pullbacks, should be viewed as "normal" in a strong bull market.

I have not seen this kind of stable market in a long time, strategy needs to reflect that. Most stocks are getting stronger & stronger going into 80 RSI..a sign of a very strong TAPE.

Chinese slowdown should reverse soon. & will go to normalized GDP growth of around 9%.

Indian economy should also emerge from their slowdown of 5% GDP towards 7% GDP

US economy is showing pulse if one can "ignore biased political outburst"

Canadian economy will surge once Chinese GDP goes in growth mode. Canada is heavily dependent on Commodities export.

With ECB decision & surging Euro, confidence in EU zone will gradually return.

All of the above is very good for "psychological boost" to investors confidence worldwide.

SO..be OPTIMISTIC as TAPE has turned for the BETTER.

Be diversified & be confident, as EQUITIES have once again come around, to be the-best future investment.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem




10 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

It turns out that CRUS may have stolen the AAPL business from ADNC. This might also partly explain their huge guide up a month ago. I'll be doing more research on this situation and may consider CRUS for a future investment.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

CRUS EPS have exploded big time & its PPS is reflecting that.....

YES..it was obvious from CRUS miss & HIGHER guidance that they got new business.

Good luck with CRUS review.

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

I had to get in on MLNX after this 20% drop from the highs. I sold NTAP at $35.66 and bought MLNX at $101.30.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good luck with MLNX.

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

I'm scared to death of this thing! I have to wait until Thursday to sell. Hopefully it gets a nice technical bounce :).

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

MLNX is coming back "towards" your price...it made $3 move from lows...

You may be OK with MLNX...

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Yes, I do think a technical bounce is in store after a good test of the 50 DMA today, but I realize after the fact that I'm not as comfortable with the fundamental story as I'd like to be. This is what is making me nervous, and I look forward to selling on Thursday (I do have the option to sell today of course, but that would put the whole account back on trading restrictions--an emergency plan only!)

Stocktrader

c said...

HELLO to all

Have a great day
BIDU is still in the poor house

SCCO is a monster--IMHO
SDRL is takin g some lumps

SALEEM thanks for your take on BIDU--yes , trouble some now

LEN and LVS are looking OK
C

Stocks100 said...

Hi C,

BIDU may be OK now..as long as BIDU does not go below $106.87..which is low of today.....

Saleem

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

CFO resignation is the only news i could find on MLNX.......

MLNX is stable below $100..which is a good thing..technically speaking.

Saleem