Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Indices closed down .21% to .37%......

Indices had a slight pullback.

S&P 500 @ 1676.26, low today 1671.84

RSI @ 64.23

CMF @ 0.121

Internals were :

Down volume led by 1.78 to 1 in NYSE & 1.37 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 1.85 to 1 in NYSE & 1.21 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 153 in NYSE & 234 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 4.57% @ 14.42

Oil @ $106.00

Gold @ $1290.40

AH ER YHOO UP .82%

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, before open Fed testimony will be released, it is the Q&A from 10 AM which will keep markets guessing. Ben Bernanke can create confusion for market when answering question. Hopefully when first testimony is over market can breathe easy.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices down .17% to .35%.....

Indices are taking a rest after many days of UP move. European markets are lower by .41% to .83%.

S&P 500 @ 1676.27, high today 1683.73

Internals are negative.

Oil Down 37 cents

Gold UP $7.30

Canadian $ UP 51 tick @ 96.41

VIX UP 3.77% @ 14.31

In my portfolio :

Sold BBRY @ $9.25

Bought MU @ $13.27

Bought KORS @ $61.85

Portfolio EBAY KOG KORS MU AUY

Exposure 113%

Most stocks are down

@ 2.19 following are green :

EBAY KOG MU AUY CSIQ TCK LEN NFLX
AMZN AAPL EXPE RDN SU BIDU GG
CRUS FB BRCM AMCC QCOM
NVDA MCD EGO SLW AEM
SINA MLNX WYNN.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Monday, July 15, 2013

Indices closed UP .13% to .21%.....NICE !!!!

Indices continues to show strength & closed green.

S&P 500 @ 1682.50, high 1684.51

RSI @ 67.13

CMF @ 0.135

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.78 to 1 in NYSE & 1.74 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.66 to 1 in NYSE & 1.92 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 279 in NYSE & 324 in Nasdaq

VIX Down .36% @ 13.79

Oil @ $106.32

Gold @ $1283.50

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included BBRY
WPRT CSIQ FSLR SPWR MU TCK CLF 
GMCR TIF FB ZNGA AMCC CIEN
C YUM M LVS BIDU FFIV Z
SINA MS.....

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil & Gold Down

About market, TAPE may pause for Ben Bernanke testimony in front of politicians. Sector rotation is slowly making its move. As TAPE is near high point in RSI, it is important to focus on booking some gains.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Indices UP .14% to .19%....NICE !!!!

Indices are UP as Chinese GDP came as expected, Q2 growth was 7.5%.

S&P 500 @ 1682.55, high so far 1682.94

Internals are positive

Oil UP 14 cents

Gold UP $6.20

Canadian $ Down 19 tick @ 95.93

VIX Down .72% @ 13.74

In my portfolio :

Doubled my position in KOG @ $8.54

Portfolio EBAY KOG BBRY AUY

Exposure 107%

Most stocks are UP

@ 1.55 following are down :

EBAY KOG LEN KORS LULU TSLA AMZN
PCLN DNKN CMG GG MA GRPN LRCX
BRCM JDSU QCOM MOS NVDA  MCD
SBUX SU SLW AEM CCJ MGA IBN
MLNX.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sunday, July 14, 2013

Chinese GDP report may scare this market ?

Everything seems to be very good for this market.....Fed supportive....TAPE strong......Momentum building up......what not to like?

Chinese GDP data may give pause .......

China has been targeting 7.5% GDP growth......but lately weakness is creeping up in Chinese economy.....

Chinese Foreign Minister made a "startling comment" in New York few days back......he said "we are going to grow GDP @ 6.5% to 7%.......this statement is a change from previous guidance of 7.5%......this implies that 2nd half Chinese GDP growth may be around 6% only.......

IF Chinese GDP is on the lower end, it may signal another sell off in Commodities ......

Ben Bernanke is testifying before House & Senate...which is after potentially weak Chinese GDP. BB may be more supportive in his testimony....thus a positive for TAPE.

Earnings season are another positive, most estimates are low low low...easy to beat & guide higher.....

Some of the sector rotation are in play these days....Gold, Oil & Ag are the next to move.......

Tech is favoured from October to January........do not be surprised IF there is profit taking after earnings in this sector......

Many technicians are starting to play catch-up as they are caught in their bearish thesis.

S&P 500 @ 1680.19......we are heading much higher to series of new highs.......reason is that we are getting strength in US economy.........it is a US growth story.......

This summer could be very interesting for all participant.

As you have noted about my predictions, it IS based on the TAPE, sometimes i can see weakness when it is not there & it comes to reality in few days. It is also important to quickly do a reset IF TAPE is turning UP.

Good luck with your stock picks & strategy.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Friday, July 12, 2013

Indices closed UP .02% to 0.61%.....NICE !!!!!

Indices closed @ another record.

S&P 500 @ 1680.19...closed @ absolute high of the day.

RSI @ 66.62

CMF @ 0.094

Internals were :

UP volume led by 1.28 to 1 in NYSE & 1.64 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.01 to 1 in NYSE & 1.21 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 224 in NYSE & 285 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 1.21% @ 13.84

Oil @ $105.95

Gold @ $1277.60

Stocks which were UP 1% or more included EBAY
LNKD NFLX TSLA AMZN EXPE PCLN
BAC C GS MS FFIV CRUS AMCC 
JDSU FNSR QCOM CSIQ FSLR
SPWR Z CLDX.....

Here is portfolio weighting :

AUY  36.32%

EBAY 30.97%

BBRY 23.00

KOG  9.71%

Exposure 102%

Next post by 2 PM Sunday.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Thursday, July 11, 2013

Indices closed UP 1.11% to 1.63%....NICE !!!!

Indices closed in record territory, S&P 500 & Dow @ all time high & Nasdaq @ best level since 2000.

S&P 500 @ 1675.02, high 1676.63

RSI @ 65.49

CMF @ 0.087

Internals were :

UP volume led by 7.72 to 1 in NYSE & 5.12 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 6.78 to 1 in NYSE & 2.68 to 1 in Nasdaq

Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 349 in NYSE & 376 in Nasdaq

VIX Down 1.41% @ 14.01

Oil @ $104.91

Gold @ $1279.90

Stocks which were UP 3% or more included AUY
WLT CLF TCK JCP LEN LNKD RDN CF
SU PANW BIDU FFIV GG EGO SLW 
AEM RVBD ZNGA JDSU CIEN
FNSR FSLR SPWR MLNX
WYNN IBN FCX......

AH Futures Down

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Oil Down

AH Gold UP

About market, IBD has changed its rating tonight to "new uptrend". Even stockcharts were extremely bearish going into this week which i inferred in my Sunday BLOG. It is interesting to see how such big outfit got this TAPE so wrong. Everything is lined up for a move to series of new all time highs. Looks like RSI may hit 75 before any serious pullback.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem