Thursday, July 21, 2011

Indices closed UP .72% to 1.35%.....NICE !!!!

Indices closed strong today, on renewed hope for resolution in Debt crisis.

Internals were strong.

Earning reports were greeted as follows :

APKT <.73%>

PLCM <2.35%>

Earnings are greeted with great focus by traders. IF it is not a major beat, reaction is to the downside.Even when it is a major beat like AAPL it got 2% by close next day. IF earnings are weaker than expected then it is clobbered like TZOO down 34.66%.....I am making a deliberate attempt to avoid being in earnings drama.Last Q ER i suffered in earnings game.

In my portfolio :

SOLD UXG

Bought AMZN @ $213.54.....looks ready for a breakout @ $219.44 for a target of $233.80....as per www.stockconsultant.com earning is on Tuesday AH.....

Portfolio is FFIV,AUY,ATML,AMZN

Here is my $ weighting :

FFIV 36.80%
AUY 28.21%
ATML 19.11%
AMZN 15.88%

Total exposure in market @ 65% from highest level.

Here is the RSI in my portfolio & other stocks :

AMZN 58.77
ATML 41.94
FFIV 38.06
AUY 66.28
APKT 36.57
AAPL 79.38
LULU 72.04
NFLX 50.29
WYNN 68.64

This is a good example of how market is valuing different stocks. Strong stocks base for few days and move higher again.

This is a tough market & i am trying hard to book any gain & position for a quick trade. My drastic & sudden selling reflects my lack of comfort with this market.

RSI in S&P 500 is 60.04 while Dow is @ 62.80, Nasdaq 58.39

I am expecting this market to become even more tough once earnings are over. I intend to play with my exposure depending on the opportunities.

SO....please do not view my sale or buy as an indication of that stock, but more of a strategy & market view.

AH Futures UP

AH Asian markets UP

AH Oil, Gold & Silver UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

6 comments:

c said...

S

First fantastic market analysis
J Cramer was saying stay the course--hold for gains

He again loves APPLE too much and said selling on TZOO was way over done and CEO would be on his show soon
I am getting busted on CAT my price was $107 PHEW
\
this is one tough market
earnings plays are awful up-down --yoyo effect

here to hoping that FFIV soars!

I still own APPLE and it is a 9 bagger so far

the best to all

Stocks100 said...

Hi C,

Thanks for your feedback.

Booking profit is critical in this market......earnings play is killing traders.

Saleem

c said...

SALEEM

Sold 200 shares of APPLE still have 25 shares
I do not what o be a hog--so $8500 is enough cabbage... keep a few shares in case it does not ever look back !n sort of a core position, paid for with house money...
SO I booked profit per your strong suggestion and
market jitters
Like my CAT way down on earnings--killer......

FFIBV up $2 and TZOO up $3.50 hurray
thanks for the help

Stocks100 said...

Hi C,

Good move in booking profit in AAPL.

AAPL will give you a chance to buyback again.

TZOO & FFIV looking good alongwith APKT.

Saleem

c said...

S

AUY hit a new 52 week high $13.64

sweet

Stocks100 said...

Hi C,

YES AUY did but its 14 cents below now ?

Saleem