Friday, August 19, 2011

Lower low (1130.57) in S&P 500 today......

Indices are showing no sign of life so far. Today is Option Expiry for week & month. Also there is horrendous amount of margin call which needs to be cleared up by 3.15 PM, after that we may have a chance of half decent close.

Gold UP $33.10 ..a new record high

Oil UP 46 cents

Canadian $ UP 37 tick @ 101.26

VIX barely down, currently negative by 1.73% @ 41.93....it went to 45.40 this AM...unless VIX tumbles 30% or more ....it will be difficult to sustain any rally.

S&P 500 low today is 1130.57, making lower low, RSI @ 34.52

Down volume leading by 50%

New 52 wk lows 263 in NYSE & 241 in Nasdaq

In my portfolio :

Added 50% LULU @ $47.10

Portfolio is RVBD & LULU

$ weighting is 60% LULU & 40% RVBD

Exposure 68%

Most stocks are Down

@ 1.59 following are green :

RVBD,AUY,BIDU,PHYS,GLD,GG,JCP,SLW,AG,
RIMM,BWLD,FNSR,PWRD,AEM,KGC,ABX....

Next post on Sunday by 2 PM....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem


12 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

If this waterfall down continues into the afternoon, I will probably sell the rest of my QID. I think the full realization of our economical situation is almost fully upon the market, so I doubt much index downside is left.

I'm looking forward to adding to some key stocks Wednesday with the buying power I made available today :).

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

YES..it will be prudent to take QID money & run......

You will find many good long ideas by Wednesday when your funds are available.

Lots of time for homework.

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Sold it--now run market, run like the wind :)

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

I am so happy for you..you did way better than most of us....

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Sold the remaining UGL too--just seems like gold getting crowded and not acting all that well during this 150pt selloff.

Now I'm completely done until Wednesday--sitting in mostly cash except for the ACI and KOG.

Have a great weekend everyone!

c said...

S

this market is to difficult to figure out and trade in.

Look at APPLE off another $7 smackers

stocktrader -- way to go way to clean the stock market clock
Hurrah!!!!!!!!!!

best to all

Stocks100 said...

Hi C,

This market is more difficult than 2008.....

@ 68% exposure..still painful....

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Saleem,

I told a friend that recently--this market is more difficult than 2008 in my opinion also.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

In 2008 individuals were getting out of the market in a hurry..BUT today it is all controlled by HFT...

Saleem

Michael said...

Saleem,

Hopefully your health has been better.

I am back to Hong Kong and able to access your blog without any problem. I got a beating on LULU, RVBD, and TZOO. Sold TZOO at 35.6 for a lost of 1 and double down on LULU, since LULU will be better on the way up. I am still 50% of investing. It is tough market and looks like 2008. Another chance to make money if we do it right! You had guided us through the turmoil of 2008. I believe that under your guidance, we will come out strong again. I wish I could be able to access your blog while I was in China. I would do better.

I am still have one more week in China before heading back to the US. I may not be able to read your Sunday block, since it will be Monday in Asia, and I am already in China.

Thank you very much and Good luck to all.

Michael

Stocks100 said...

Hi Michael,

Thanks for your complementary note.

YES..i will try my best to analyze this crazy TAPE..

This TAPE is more difficult than 2008 as it seems to rehash slower GDP growth worldwide...which i have identified months ago.....

I think we are close to finding a base & then moving UP...

Please avoid those stocks whose ER was weak like TZOO....go with winners of last Q like LULU...LULU should go UP substantially very soon.....

Enjoy your trip in China & Hong Kong....was in Hong Kong twice long tine ago.....

Monday should be the day to go higher than 50%..i suggest 80% in strong stocks like BIDU,AAPL,AMZN...

Good luck with your decision !!!!

Saleem

c said...

Hello to all
Michael
I was in Hong Kong 35 years ago and plan on going to Beijing in November!

On Friday there were several strong stocks

IMHO if ya take a conservative approach look at these stocks:
JNJ, KO, MCD, SBUX, LO, BMY
you will get a divi and some up swing--but little down swing. these companies are value divi plays! good luck

I do like TZOO, it should come back--as for LULU fast money say it is dead money and was down graded!
this is one crazy market
APPLE will rule --earning are coming up and we should see $424 or higher--target is $450
Just some ideas

C