Sunday, August 21, 2011

Message of the market is.......?

Market is giving a verdict on the state of affairs in US & Europe, Leadership in both continent is spineless NOT willing to even acknowledge that there is a serious problem which needs immediate resolution.

In US Obama is claiming US IS & ALWAYS will be AAA...a statement which challenges FACTS & INTELLIGENCE of US citizens who KNOWS better....

This week MS,C,JPM all downgraded US GDP projection but cream of the crop GS had to downgrade THREE times in August...BUT Obama & US politicians see nothing WRONG.....

SO..what is the message of the market ?

Worldwide investors & traders have lost confidence in US & its ability to even RECOGNIZE that there is a problem...unless this class of 2011 politicians is not thrown out, nothing will change.....

SEC on the other hand has no monitoring of how manipulation is ripe in US trading, HFT now controls every tick in most stocks.......another spineless US agency with no accountability.

SO there is focus on Friday in Jackson Hole economic event so Ben Bernanke does the heavy lifting for losers.....

As of Friday's close, we are down 18.03% in S&P 500, RSI @ 33.37....

Looks like that we are set for a "technical bounce"

I do not see this market going higher than 1210 area...then back down to new lows.....

We currently have "double bottom" in indices with Nasdaq closing lower than previous lows.....

Looks like volatility will remain high like previous bounce, which will be a tell tale of weak bounce & test of triple bottom......

Based on inaction by US politicians triple bottom may be a given.....

SO..how you think many popular stocks have fared in this double bottom, here is a breakdown with high, close, $ loss & % loss :

AAPL $404.50 $356.03 <$48.47> <11.98%>
CMG $337.32 $279.37 <57.95> <17.18%>
PCLN $561.88 $488.95 <$112.93> <20.09%>
AMZN $227.45 $178.93 <$48.52> <21.33%>
GOOG $627.50 $490.92 <$136.58> <21.77%>
BIDU $165.96 $126.98 <$38.98> <23.5%>
LULU $64.49 $46.00 <$18.49> <28.67%>
CRM $160.12 $111.00 <$49.12> <30.68%>
CAT $116.06 $79.97 <$36.09> <31.10%>
NFLX $304.79 $205.21 <$99.58> <32.67%>
SINA $147.12 $90.05 <$57.07> <38.79%>
NTAP $61.02 $35.95 <$25.07> <41.08%>
FFIV $145.76 $69.32 <$76.44> <52.44%
APKT $84.50 $39.92 <$44.58> <52.76%>
ARUN $36.40 $16.34 <$20.06> <55.10%>
TZOO $103.80 $32.55 <$71.25> <68.64%>
RVBD $44.70 $20.61 <$24.09> <68.79%>

There are many ways to analyze above "reality"......First, this is a "bear market TAPE"

Second, this market is "not business as usual"

Third, there is a dire need to learn from above reality, i have observed a "real stubbornness of NOT to do any thing different"

This is a scary market & adaptability to above is more than urgent.

Try to increase knowledge base from this difficult market.....just imagine IF we go to new lows.....after 1100 support, next support maybe 1040 area..that is another 5.5% slump......

Too much complacency & too much entertainment focus on CNBC. Money is NOT entertainment ?

It is your money, you must place it prudently in your trading account or IRA or ROTH IRA...it is your hard earned $.....

Wall Street teaches you to LEARN & ADAPT "immediately" to new reality.

PRESERVATION of capital should be Job 1.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

17 comments:

Anonymous said...

Good afternoon Saleem.

I just read TD ameritrades market insight bulletin. It states, in a nutshell, that we don't want to see consecutive closes below recent lows @ 1120. The longer we are below that level, the higher the probability of another leg down. On the upside, they see 1250-1260. Good luck on your trading. I'm basically in divy stocks riding it out.

Victor

Stocks100 said...

Hi Victor,

I am glad you have repositio in Dividend paying stocks....it is important to make changes....

Your comfort level should be much much higher with changes..which is critical these days.

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

The price action Friday was horrible--I fear a breakdown this week unless world leaders can step up. RVBD is so enticing--the best technology will eventually prevail. The US$ seems to be in trouble--it can't even catch a bid against a troubled euro. I'm stuck until Wednesday--we'll see how things look then.

I hope all is well on the health front.

Stocktrader

c said...

S

where the market stand now:


Where the markets stand!!!!!!!

As noted, the market is sending a loud signal that investors are very worried about slowing growth. There are regular discussions of the nasty recession of 1937-38, set off when the Franklin Roosevelt administration cut spending and raised taxes to trim the nation's budget deficit. (The Dow fell 49% between March 1937 and March 1938.)

Growth, the blood that fuels investing, is slowing domestically and globally. Political tensions are hot and getting hotter. The search for creative solutions to the crisis that erupted in 2008 is more difficult.

Patience is a must in this environment, in part because so much of the markets are now driven by computer programs set to execute sell and buy orders whenever predefined conditions arise. That means trends can and will reverse in a heartbeat.

The Dow and S&P 500 are holding up fairly well, compared with the benchmark German and French indexes. But the Dow Jones Transportation Average is down 23% since April 29. That's worrisome.

Also worrisome: The 50-day moving average of the S&P 500 has been below its 200-day moving average on Aug. 12. It's not something that's easily tradeable. It is, however, directional and not in a good way.
C

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

I am going for Ech-Cardiogram & Throid blood test on Tuesday for 11.15 AM.....

Cardioligist will see me on Sep 14 @ 130 PM.....not happy about this sechedule....but it is Canada..things do not move fast unless its absolute emergency.

I am having negative reaction to Beta Blocker also..lifting my blood pressure to 165...i am cutting the dosage in half as of today....feel dizzy & weak..but learning to live with that...no choice for now.....

Wed may clear trading picture a bit for you......

I am stumped @ lack of action everywhere...when we are living in information age where news travels in nano-second ?

Gold UP again !!!!!

Saleem

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

In Canada we use metric measurement...so for Blood Pressure your 200 is equal to 140 here....

Some other typo ECHO Cardiogram...Thyroid

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

You have your hands full--I hope everything works out.

Stocktrader

c said...

S

Are you going to start taking thryroid medicine?

I have been on it for 5 years now

It has changed twice to a stronger dose

I do hope that you have nothing serious going on
please keep me posted......
thanks

Stocks100 said...

Hi C,

I am going through diagnostic process,nobody knows what caused my pulse to shoot up to 158...

Saleem

c said...

S

do you have allegeirs

maybe just a food?

I hope something simple

God Bless

c said...

Saleem

Plz give me your thoughts for a day trade in BIDU??

thanks

Stocks100 said...

Hi C,

We have to wait for test results.

Saleem

c said...

SALEEM

I bought some BIDU at $129.95 for a day trade!

Hmmmm

Stocks100 said...

Hi C,

BIDU is a strong stock to hold...

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

I'm looking at BAC now with this drop today ($6.60)--getting too cheap and the bad news for banks completely priced in? Waiting for Wednesday...

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

This market remains tough & unpredictable.....VIX remains high even today...

Only thing really working is Gold & Silver.....

Be careful..what you buy....

My 2 cents ....

Saleem

c said...

Stocktrader

I got some BIDU

sold at a profit

It is swing trading here
buy low sell high
I do not trust this market

very best to all