Tuesday, October 25, 2011

Indices closed down 1.74% to 2.26%......

Indices were in retreat thanks to overbought conditions.

S&P 500 closed @ 1229.05, near its support area of 1225.

RSI retreated to 56.58

Internals of the market were as follows :

Down volume led by 10.62 to 1 in NYSE & 5.85 to 1 in Nasdaq

Declining stocks led by 4.81 to 1 in NYSE & 4.09 to 1 in Nasdaq

New 52 wk high were 32 in NYSE & 24 in Nasdaq

VIX UP 10.12% @ 32.22

Oil Closed @ $93.17

Gold closed @ $1700.40

IF we analyze today's TAPE, it gives a clear message that Oil & Gold is predicting European resolution.....

CNBC does not promote constructive or positive analysis of any event, always negatively biased commentary.

I expect European leaders to move decidedly towards dealing with a very messy situation.

IF this happens, we may have another move HIGHER above S&P 500 200 DMA.....

In my portfolio :

Bought JCP @ $33.30

Bought LVS @ $42.30

Exposure 29%

AH ER were greeted as follows :

PNRA UP 10.25%

FFIV UP 7.99%

BRCM Down 5.31%

AMZN Down 12.41%....AH range was $184.59 to $237.74 in heavy volume of 5 million shares.

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian Markets Mixed

AH Gold UP

AH Oil Down

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

18 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

I dodged a bullet by opting against the AMZN investment. The valuation is more challenging for me to wrap my head around now given this latest quarter and guidance, so I'm going to let it play out a while. I guess I'll be on the hunt for something else now!

Looking forward to a better day tomorrow hopefully :).

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

You are an analytical buyer, looking @ pros & cons all the time.

Your DD is excellent.

Saleem

c said...

Stocktrader

Very astute decision on AMAZON

A falling knife is dangerous

TOT will continue to go up
still over sold and oil is hot
I also like copper
FCX is a goodie as is SCCO
c

Up said...

Hi All

I, too bought some 230 calls 2 hours before close and later decided to sell it because i felt the same ways as stocktrader does. Just wanted to point out that AMZN's long term trend line is at 200. Question is will MM let it close below it? Plus seems like amzn always going back after earning. What do you guys think?

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

I know we've both liked RVBD in the past. Do you feel FFIV's earnings and outlook confirms the positive reaction we saw from RVBD, and that maybe the time to invest there is now even after this run? It's something I'm thinking about this morning...

Thanks in advance for your thoughts! :)

Stocktrader

c said...

Hello to all

Look at this piece of news on AMAZON:Amazon doesn’t deserve a valuation that puts it ahead of Apple by some measures, said Colin Gillis, an analyst at BGC Partners LP. With an operating margin of 30.8 last quarter, Apple squeezes more profitability from sales, even with its own investment in new products, he said. Amazon trades at 119.5 times earnings, compared with Apple’s 14.4 times, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Up,

I remember many times AMZN gapped down after earnings and rallied quite a lot from opening to close near/above unchanged, but eventually an investor has to perform a "reset" if the aberration becomes the norm. I have no strong opinion this time that it can or can't rally again from open, so I've taken it off my immediate radar and will see what the next few days holds first. For me, AMZN just got harder and I've got plenty of other stock that are begging for investment and are a lot easier :).

Stocktrader

Up said...

Stocktrader

ERTS earning call tomorrow and seems like all stock taken a hit after earning. But all i see is ERTS is at a point of breaking out from a cup and handle formation on weekly. Are you still going to keep it through earning?

c said...

Stocktrader
and all....

Take a look at FFIV
it has been going like gang busters.

Ford is an interesting play it has announced no dividend! Dropped in price. May be time to scoop up a little

thoughts

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

RVBD ER was a beat & guide UP...

Yes it is still in buy range...

Saleem

c said...

Saleem

Take a look at the tankers they appear to be doing well!

thanks
c

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Up,

ERTS's chart was one of the compelling reasons to enter the stock as my fundamental thesis was supported by a great chart. I am keeping through earnings and I think the new online gaming segment will continue to drive the stock price and earnings/margins and feel that part remains underappreciated still.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Bought RVBD @ open ..$26.60

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Great move!

I got caught up in other things (like this blog--haha!) and couldn't pinpoint a sell yet in my portfolio to be able to consider the RVBD buy. I'm working on that currently :).

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

I got lucky and was able to get some 26.678 just now (sold my GHDX).

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good price on RVBD.

Saleem

c said...

SALEEM

maybe I should have shorted for today

Hmm

best to all

Stocks100 said...

Hi C,

Shorting is a very dangerous game, can go against....

Saleem