Thursday, January 19, 2012

Indices closed UP .36% to .67%.......NICE !!!!

Indices closed near high of the day again.

S&P 500 closed @ 1314.50, high today was 1315.49

RSI @ 68.69

Internals of the market were :

UP volume led by 1.90 to 1 in NYSE & 2.05 to 1 in Nasdaq

Advancing stocks led by 1.91 to 1 in NYSE & 1.41 to 1 in Nasdaq

New 52 wk highs were in the lead, 177 in NYSE & 78 in Nasdaq

VIX closed @ 19.87 down 4.88%

Oil closed @ $100.39

Gold closed @ $1654.50

CMF in S&P 500 @ 0.492, highest level in five months

IF you look @ internals ratios above, it is NOT as strong as it has been..i am more comfortable when it is close to 3 to 1.

Sentiment in market is extremely EUPHORIC, which is my warning sign.

Market has been UP in a straight line since new year. S&P 500 has gone UP from 1202.37 to 1315.49 a gain of 113 points or 9.40% ....that is a huge move UP in 12 trading days. We all have participated in this move UP. It is PRUDENT to book gains which i did today.

NOBODY can predict market moves, but we all can book profit after huge gains.

Your OWN market prediction should dictate what you should do.

I have done what makes me comfortable.

AH ER :

INTC UP .86%

MSFT UP 2.52%

IBM UP 2.70%

ISRG Down 4.60%

GOOG Down 9.08%

Stocks which were UP 2% or more included RVBD,AMZN,
MGA,MPEL,FFIV,VMW,CRM,APKT,TLM,JCP,TCK,MS,
JDSU,FNSR,CRUS,ARUN,GS......

AH Futures Mixed

AH Asian Markets UP

AH Oil & Gold UP

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

17 comments:

c said...

YUK YUK

Stocks100 said...

Hi C,

How are you.

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

There are a few more stocks I like on a continuing basis in addition to the ones I have. Do you think I should pare back some from all of them (commission hit is probably manageable as a one-time situation), move WWWW to equal weight with the others (although this is by far my highest year-end PT stock), or just continue my current replacement strategy?

Thanks in advance for your thoughts! :)

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

YES..it is wise to equal weight in WWWW.....

Paring for few weeks is wise..as we had huge move UP already.

Markets needs to digest these gains.

Good luck on your paring & equal weight.

Saleem

c said...

i got some AMZN
way over sold here.
C

Up said...

Saleem

If we are really in the early bull market, maybe market just go sideway for awhile to ease those overbought condition. IMO, too many people wanted to short the market now, and Mr. market tend to say no to them. As wise man said" Too good to be truth"

Stocks100 said...

Hi C,

Good luck with AMZN.....

Saleem

Stocks100 said...

Hi Up,

Risk / reward ratio needs to be monitored all the time.

Currently reward is not that great except for daytrading.

Easy money has been made.

Saleem

Anonymous said...

Saleem, good morning. When you look at RSI, are you looking at the daily or weekly? Thanks.

Victor

Up said...

Saleem

In case you don't know, financial like gs, ms and other are breaking it's downtrend line on weekly chart. This is huge

Stocks100 said...

Hi Victor,

RSI..i am looking @ 14 day..5 months chart..as shown in www.stockcharts.com....check under gallery..then click default sharpchart on top left corner...

Hope it helps.

Saleem

Stocks100 said...

Hi Up,

Yes, i am aware of that..that is the reason i have added 3 stocks few minutes ago.

I now have total 5 stocks..85% exposure from previous 140%

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Up,

I thought the BAC report and 2012 forecast was pretty good and I'd be comfortable with buying that again given the extremely cheap valuation although don't have a place for it at the moment. I am currently looking at some housing-related stocks like LEN/MAS also.

Stocktrader

c said...

Stcoktrader

Please consider: MTB, FNFG, NLY,
DD which I own, SCCO which is down today!


Just some stuff to ponder
C

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey c,

Thanks for the suggestions! :)

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Sold SWC, trimmed APKT, trimmed OCZ, initiated CF, initiated GHDX, added to RVBD.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Rebalancing is always a good idea.

I am back to my below neutral allocation, details coming shortly.

Saleem