TAPE started on a strong note on Chinese stimulus hope but lost most of its gains by close. All indices were able to close green & above lows of the day.....a victory for bulls.
S&P 500 @ 1857.62, low 1850.07, high 1866.63
RSI @ 51.86
CMF -0.016
Internals were :
UP volume led by 3.04 to 1 in NYSE & 1.21 to 1 in Nasdaq
Advancing stocks led by 2.53 to 1 in NYSE & 1.02 to 1 in Nasdaq
Net new 52 wk highs were leading by 60 in NYSE & lows by 7 in Nasdaq
VIX Down 1.44% @ 14.41
Oil @ $101.67
Gold @ $1294.30, low today $1285.90
Canadian $ Down 7 tick @ 89.36
In my portfolio :
Sold BBRY @ $8.94
Sold KOG @ $12.07
Bought WUBA @ $42.01 & $40.79
Added 30% EGO @ $5.73
Portfolio weighting :
MU 34.64%
WUBA 33.45%
EGO 31.91%
Exposure 148%
Stocks which were UP 1% or more included WUBA KOG
LULU KORS TSLA TWTR JKS YNDX SNDK LVS
AMCC FNSR LNKD TSL CSIQ DNKN CMG
MCDSU YUM GMCR ABX SLW AEM
WLT TRLA Z......
Next post by 2 PM on Sunday.
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
2 comments:
Hey Saleem,
The crushing of the small caps this week affected the portfolio majorly and caused a loss of 3.62% versus the S&P's -0.48%.
Weekly Winners: WUBA (+4.0% from purchase), AGU (+3.5%), AXLL (+3.0%)
Weekly Losers: CSOD (-14.5%), SINA (-10.9%), JKS (-10.3%), PFPT (-8.6%), DATA (-8.5%), YELP (-4.5% from purchase)
YTD Info:
Portfolio: -5.57%
S&P 500: +0.50%
Since I was on vacation this week, I did very little except to deploy the 21% cash I entered the week with. I did sell MOS on Friday to take advantage of an opportunity with WUBA. Here's the current look of the portfolio:
Top holding (19.6%): AAL
The rest (8.8-4.6%): AXLL CSOD DATA PFPT DRYS AGU JKS WLH WUBA YELP NOW SINA
Cash: 1.5%
Closed Position: MOS
New Positions: DRYS NOW YELP WUBA
Add-ons: DATA CSOD PFPT
So, I've been zigging and zagging opposite the market for weeks now. I was empty of high growth stocks for the right reasons, but re-entered many way too soon and then a real acceleration down started. I was very long TZA as a hedge, and unwound that just before the real move. This is frustrating, but things happen and I have to look forward.
It seems to me the overflow of IPOs and secondaries started the selloff in high fliers, and quarter-end effects exacerbated the move at the end. If these were indeed the main reasons, speculating this because economically-sensitive stocks did mostly fine this week, then looking ahead to a new quarter with fresh earnings may provide some upside catalysts. I have fully positioned in my known names for a potential positive run in coming weeks.
The only hiccup here could be the technical factors. Many of these stocks, as well as the $COMPX and $RUT are badly damaged, and really need a new spark to get going. Obviously the oversold bounce is due, but something like a takeover or major bullish call out of a brokerage firm could start a more sustained move higher. Regardless, I think only the quality companies will get the majority of inflows, and questionable business models will be tossed aside finally as they should. A postponement of IPOs due to "market conditions" would also be very helpful right now for limiting new supply, especially from someone like Alibaba.
As usual, I expect the jobs report to be mostly/fully factored in prior to the number, and could give us a nice boost at the end of the week if the jobs economy does show acceleration from the weather-depressed numbers earlier this year.
Overall, I expect a new quarter to bring new ideas and flows for money managers, and hope I am positioned correctly for those moves. I am still doing a bit of catchup as far as gauging sentiment and nuances around things like China and Ukraine, but I look for this week to provide a positive tailwind for many stocks as Spring is upon us.
Good luck to all as earnings season approaches! :)
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
We all have our own view of market & that is what makes a market....
There will be a wait & see till jobs report...
Good luck with your strategy.
Saleem
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