Investors & traders are fixated on the following negatives :
- Impact from Crimea voting.
-Chinese slowdown
-VIX surging
-Oil slumping
-Gold surging
-High volume selling in indices
-Indices breaching key technical levels
-US Dollar slumping
-Copper @ multi-year lows
-Bonds UP
-Fed interest rate decision on Wed
-Option Expiry on Friday
-Upcoming Chinese Data
-Where the hell is Malaysian Flight 370
- Technicians bracing for downward move in all indices......
-Bulls @ 55.1% & Bears @ 17.4%...which technicians feel is too frothy.
In my 40++ year of trading i cannot recall so many things going in the wrong direction......
BUT the real question is ?
WHY are we not down more when all of the above is known to everyone & has been playing out for weeks & months.......?
My conclusion is, that above issues has impacted indices and they are in the process of discounting or anticipating all of the above issues......remember stock market looks ahead 6 months or to the future immediately ahead.......
Is it possible that all of the above MAY reverse very soon?
TAPE action on Friday was leaning towards issues being discounted or in the process of reversing ahead.
GOLD did not close @ high the day which was $1388?
Indices did make lower lows & lower highs but we did not close near absolute low of the day...
Surprisingly market internals were mixed not negative.......
VIX did not close @ high of the day
Net new 52 wk highs were still making new highs on Friday....
Near lows, it is important to pay attention to any divergence
My conclusion is, that there is no long term negatives in the market & we are getting ready to find support & move UP as early as Monday.
Good luck with your own conclusions about TAPE & market direction.
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
11 comments:
Hey Saleem,
Sold YELP @ 88.132.
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Good luck with your Strategy.
Saleem
Hey Saleem,
Sold DATA @ 90.39 and NOW @ 67.144.
Stocktrader
Hey Saleem,
We'll see how it works out. The market is looking really good today--it's mentally hard to sell into strength.
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Now that you have sold everything you wanted...it is time to analyze what you think you should do.
Good luck with your analysis.
Saleem
Hey Saleem,
Bought a large chunk of TZA @ 14.92 to protect the rest of the portfolio. I can relax and let some things play out now.
Stocktrader
Hey Saleem,
SINA seems really cheap here when you consider the value of their upcoming Weibo IPO. Right?
Stocktrader
Hey Saleem,
Maybe I'm reaching too hard, but bought SINA @ 69.978. It just seems like the valuation of the IPO will be a huge support in the price of the stock.
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Just got back after liquidating 50% of my physical gold this AM.....felt price was right as i got over $1500 per OZ due to weak Canadian $....
Good luck with SINA & TZA....
Saleem
Hey Saleem,
Definitely a nice price considering where we've been lately! :)
Stocktrader
Hi Stocktrader,
Physical gold was purchased in 1986 to all the way back to 1972......the cost in those was anywhere from $200 to $500 per OZ.....when Gold hit $1800 Canadian $ was above US$ by 5%...today it is below US$ by 10.5%....thus effective rate today was $1525 per OZ.....for me....
To say the least...very happy about this move today....
Saleem
Post a Comment