Sunday, May 25, 2014

IS sell in May working so far ?

Everybody is looking for key investment format in Wall Street, one of the most talked about & bears favorite is "sell in May & go away".....

Like any popular theory which gives many gurus time to show their understanding of market generally fails them ....

Wall Street is never predictable even on a day to day basis sometimes even on a hour to hour basis.

Here is how indices closed on April 30th & how it is on Friday @ close :

S&P 500 April 30th close 1883.95, May 23rd close 1900.53 positive by 16.58 points

Dow April 30th close 16580.84, May 23rd close 16606.57 positive by 25.73 points

Nasdaq April 30th close 4114.56, May 23rd close 4185.81 positive by 71.25 points

So far "sell in May & go away" is not holding very well.....

Next popular theory is that VIX which closed @ new 52 wk low is signalling a " major collapse of this market"......we all know from experience new low begets lower lows......i will not be surprised IF we see 9 in VIX......which we have seen before.....

The way i see it, this TAPE has just gathered new "renewed strength"......this may entails new highs in Dow & higher highs in S&P 500 while Nasdaq is all set to make a new 52 wk high or 14 year high.....

We may see " momentum buying" going into month end........

Again, being diversified has proven to be a smart strategy which prevents or minimize losses during turmoil.

In any strength which is currently underway, diversified portfolio should outperform or do as well.

SO...sit back & enjoy this momentum buying & watch shorts & so-called smart bears scramble to get back in either to cover or go long.......this rally has further to go.......

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

7 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Well, I was spot on last week, the two of us going neutral took the indices to new highs! :)

We are definitely in bull mode now, where any dips need to be bought. The potential negative catalysts are fading away...

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Monday, Tuesday was down days as per our fear....then oversold condition created a tradable bottom.

This is Still a rangebound market till October.

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Sold DATA @ 63.881.

Stocktrader

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Bought a speculative position in CTRL @ 17.85.

With a high focus on the connected home right now given Google's purchase of Nest and Apple's new product line upcoming, I think this company could be "in play".

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

I know you are following your strategy for DATA.

Good luck with CTRL.

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hey Saleem,

Sold SPLK @ 49.541.

Per my writeup, I was looking for a bump to be able to sell ahead of earnings. Wow, I got a nice one today! :)

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good Move with SPLK...

When you are lucky you are really lucky.

Saleem