Sunday, August 30, 2015

Death cross in S&P 500 & Dow.........

Last week saw one of the sharpest slump in recent memory......

Dow slumping 1089 points @ open on Monday

Nasdaq slumping 8.8% on Monday

Most stocks were down in 10% area on Monday

Oil went to $37.75..currently @ $45.33

VIX went to 53.29...currently @ 26.05

Gold jumped to $1133.30 from $1073.70

To top it all off Dow & S&P 500 have entered " death cross "

These are not "normal tape action"

Many traders & professionals were selling @ market....@ any price....in panic mode

This breakdown in market is result of Chinese downtrend in their economy, form 12% to 5% growth in a span of  7 years......world corporations are being impacted in their profitability......

BUT...last 3 trading days have seen a snapback and some recovery in all indices.....

Many pundits are " extremely nervous " about this TAPE and are predicting "retest " of previous lows...

None of the pundits were set up for this slump, now they "can see clearly now " what will happen next ?

SO...what next......

I think most of the Chinese slump has seen its impact by Monday TAPE.....

It is wise to buy "strong stocks "...they will fare much better in weak or strong TAPE.

Strategic buying or staying put has helped many portfolio including mine in this slump....

I added few stocks last week, TSL @ $8.73 on Thursday & FIT @ $33.80 on Friday.

Here is my weighting :

FB      30.14%

LULU 29.29%

RAD   11.73%

GPRO 11.17%

VDSI  10.48%

TSL      3.83%

FIT       3.36%

Exposure 283%

Appreciated stocktraders input and closing reports while i was away.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

4 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

My portfolio survived last week, gaining +0.32% versus +0.91% for the S&P 500. The biggest winners were PRU (+7.5% from purchase), AMBA (+7.3%), and LBIO (+6.9%). The largest decliners were WLH (-7.5%) and HDP (-5.2%). I am still +1.15% YTD which is good comfort against the S&P 500 at -3.40%.

I made very few moves trying not to react to such large market swings. The current portfolio is PRU CYBR MS LNKD SPLK GM FDX HDP WLH DATA AMBA HUN LBIO. Cash is 0.0%.

There's a few things I'm watching this week. First, given that a lot of oil and market pain happened in August (although arguably maybe too late in Aug), I want to see if companies are still hiring at their same solid pace. That information on Friday may tip the scales for the upcoming rate decision. Also, AMBA reports Tuesday after the bell and I haven't decided whether to hold through earnings or not. Finally, I hope to sell one of my "big data" companies of SPLK, DATA, and HDP to free up cash for other ideas.

Glad to have you back! :)

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Good to stay positive in a very challenging TAPE.

Once again, thanks for your daily recap.

Saleem

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

I could never do it as well as you, but I tried my best :)

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

I read your recap daily, it was complete with "critical technical information"

Saleem