Sunday, February 24, 2019

Fed and trade progress helping Indices....

Market has been given a major support and upward push from Federal Reserve and major progress in China US trade negotiation.

Fed had been very aggressive in communicating its bias towards  steady interest rate.

I have not seen any Fed which was adjusting its policy approach and further communicating with Wall Street on a weekly basis.

After each Fed clarification, we move higher to conquer resistance.

China US trade talk has been monitored and all progress being touted daily.

Wall Street is loving updates from two key players Fed & Trade.

BUT...like everything else, we need to keep an eye on severe overbought condition which is being developed in the process.

Here is a look @ RSI for further analysis :

Nasdaq               67.83

SOX                   67.91

S&P 500            69.70

DOW                 69.72

RUT                  75.94

Interesting picture of RSI, most of indices are contained right below 70, BUT RUT is @ whopping 75.94 which means euphoria and froth has developed.

What is @ play in the stock market IF fear of recession has subsided despite weak economic data lately in USA.

Also interesting in Nasdaq that old technology darling are leading stocks not world famous FANG.

Chinese small caps came to life on Friday

Solar stocks are jumping @ abnormal pace

SO many positives are @ play in US market.

Important thing to do now is to watch for sudden pullback to deal with overbought condition.

Good luck with your own analysis of this market and your own comfort level.

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem  

2 comments:

stocktrader_1996 said...

Hi Saleem,

Last week: -2.06% (YTD: +1.89%)
Notable Winners: AA EAF MLNX ORTX
Notable Losers: TRIL HEAR TWST SAIL

It was another disappointing week thanks mostly to TRIL (-42%), but also some other big losers in a general up move for the overall markets. I have not been able to catch fire like last year in the stock picking, seemingly making the exact wrong move sometimes. I will continue to try though as we still have much time this year, and the ferocious up move may settle at some point, providing me a better opportunity to do stock rotation.

Holdings: ORTX URI GS MLNX AA EAF MHO GM VICR SAIL TWST HEAR TRIL, cash 0.0%

I'll still note that holding TNA would have been one of the best ideas this year so far as the market has traveled so far and straight. There's nothing I can do about it now, but it will serve as a reminder for future circumstances like this.

Stocktrader

Stocks100 said...

Hi Stocktrader,

Last week UP 5.96%

YTD UP 87.73%

Saleem