US stock market, a week to remember....

 US stock market gave a stunning " downhill slide "

When all damages were counted to most portfolio, nothing got spared, from BRK-B...it was freefall of 7% to 15%......in a day.....

YES counting losses is extremely painful and no one was spared....

Reasons are never important....

It IS what are you going to do about it....

Many things can be done....

Like complete reconfigure your portfolio to hopefully better ideas....

OR partial switching of your portfolio

OR leave everything AS IS

I am in the last camp....leave my portfolio alone...

I am expecting a " sharp oversold bounce "

Generally after few days, we normally TEST the LOWS AGAIN....

Why I am leaving my portfolio unchanged....

BECAUSE It was all chosen after careful due diligence and have much higher CONVICTION than some other bright ideas....

YES these slump happens every NORMAL year.....so nothing unusual about this sharp decline.....

SO...follow your OWN instinct & stick to IT....

Here is my last week :

Last week down 19.40%

YTD down 33.28%

Here is my portfolio weighting :

GOOG        16.97%

SHOP        13.63%

TSLA         10.43%

AAPL           9.50%

UBER          8.42%

NVDA          7.55%

SMCI           7.47%

MSFT          7.24%

HOOD         7.13%

AVGO          6.98%

MU              3.06%

SLVU          1.62%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Added 30% HOOD @ $42.09....

 Added 30% HOOD @ $42.09...

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

US stock market in 2025.....

 2025 has turned much more challenging than my " feared projection "

8% Gain was projected...BUT it has become a much larger losses which keeps piling...

NOT a comforting thought of the day....

On my personal front, First we had major Ice storm, which cut off electricity for 24 hours, thus no heat, no internet, no hot water....PLUS downed 5 trees in my backyard....which were 40 feet tall....

Then came end of Ramadan and our celebration which goes on for 3 days...... today is day 2 for us ....

Hope that explains NO BLOG on Sunday plus missing notification....

Here is my last week :

Last week down 8.28%

YTD Down 13.61%....some errors were found in tabulation

Here is my portfolio weighting as of 2 PM EST today :

GOOG        15.94%

SHOP        15.19%

TSLA           9.95%

AAPL          9.94%

UBER         8.46%

NVDA        7.63%

SMCI         7.58%

AVGO        7.05%

MSFT        6.69%

HOOD       5.93%

MU            3.62%

SLVU        2.02%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Added 170% HOOD @ $45.50...

 Added 170% HOOD @ $45.50....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

US stock market has discounted April 2nd trade levies.....

 US stock market has discounted April 2nd trade levies.....

Sometimes market can predict any & all changes which may take place..

Term " flexibility " is being thrown around...which may mean "partial reversal come April 2nd...

Too much mystery is being played out with this " trade " terminology which IS mostly made for TV...a self serving tool...for " look @ me "

No matter what...

US stock market can & will discount any " agenda "

Market has been " derailed " with all the " deliberate confusion "

It will take time to get its " momentum back "

Many good earnings report are being sold off....SO do not believe in " reaction " BE patient for few days and you will see that we are back to levels where we should have been....

SO show CONVICTION & PATIENCE..... a good trait in any market....

On a personal note, Googles compliance wing has been making many false accusation against this BLOG which exposes incompetence of that part of google, ironically I am a share holder of GOOG as my highest exposure...but those employees have NO accountability, previously they said the same things about my You tube channel which has ZERO video...that I am in violation of "community standards "....when I asked them which video they have seen on my channel.....then without apology or compensation for their filth, they restored access to my " blank youtube channel....

I am almost tempted to shut down this BLOG....because I have ZERO financial interest for last 17 years....only Google has benefitted financially from this BLOG...BUT their accusations is the last thing I need in my life when I am trying to " reduce stress due to my weak heart.....

Here is my last week :

Last week UP 1.73%

YTD Down .39%

Here is weighting of my portfolio :

GOOG       16.43%

SHOP        16.11%

AAPL         9.51%

TSLA         9.48%

SMCI         9.15%

UBER        8.57%

NVDA        8.15%

AVGO       7.90%

MSFT       6.80%

MU           3.88%

HOOD     2.20%

SLVU      1.82%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

US stock market " ready to explode higher "

 US stock market has finished the-biggest price & PE compression since 2022....

We rallied from end of 2022 to end of 2024 in a straight line, defying GRAVITY & LOGIC

Frothier the stock we ran up to unbelievable levels several 100% higher & higher

NOW...all stocks have come down to realistic levels.....irrespective of all the hoopla associated with their business model....

SO

NOW we have a normal market for 2025.....where gains will be within historical norms of last 50 years

YES

Technology will still lead as it should.....based on...

AI

QUANTUM COMPUTING

BUT there is FEW major OBSTACLE which may create CHALLENGES

TRADE WAR ....... USA VS REST OF THE WORLD

ANNEXATION ....USA vs CANADA, GREENLAND & PANAMA as starting point....

SO DO NOT be too comfortable after this relentless pullback.....ABOVE 2 issues MAY become a major conflict....with GERMANY emerging as MAJOR power.....

Here is my last week :

Last week Down 3.00%

YTD Down 2.12%

Here is my portfolio weighting :

GOOG         16.79%

SHOP          14.91%

TSLA            9.58%

AAPL           9.43%

SMCI           9.29%

NVDA          8.57%

UBER          8.21%

AVGO         8.18%

MSFT         6.86%

MU             4.19%

HOOD       2.06%

SLVU        1.93%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Bought SLVU.NE @ $32.09 in Toronto....

 Bought SLVU.NE @ $32.09 in Toronto....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Added 20% UBER.NE @ $43.08 in Toronto....

 Added 20% UBER.NE @ $43.08 in Toronto....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

US stock market under stress.....

 US stock market is under daily stress of " major uncertainty "

World order is being disrupted which traders cannot relate to...

Attempt to change " world order " is extremely deliberate...

US stock market & world market @ large is having serious difficulty in " understanding or adjusting to this rare disorder "

US traders & individual investors were NEVER ready to " so called BREAKING NEWS which gets broken in few hours "

Everyday new " accusation of how BAD others ARE "

YES.... all this has become a " BAD DREAM DAILY "

YES...this IS our morning analysis....and we are suppose to make " trading or investment decision " in this DISORGANIZED CHAOS "

CANADA, MEXICO, CHINA, EU will face the brunt of  " whatever 2.0 will become "

SO....what to do....

NOT MUCH....

ITS TOTALLY IRRATIONAL....

And it will NOT END anytime soon....

SO....

Get your dartboard out...

AND....

Hope for the best outcome.....

Here is how my last week ended.....

Last week Down 7.43%

YTD UP .88%

Here is my portfolio weighting :

GOOG        18.30%

SHOP        16.25%

AAPL        10.92%

TSLA        10.44%

SMCI         8.74%

AVGO        8.42%

NVDA        8.21%

UBER        7.58%

MSFT        7.19%

MU            3.95%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Added 100% UBER.NE @ $45.58 in Toronto....

 Added 100% UBER.NE @ $45.58 in Toronto....

Sold RIOT @ $8.03.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

US stock market deeply oversold....

 US stock market finally gave in to repeat escalation of tariff with China & Tuesday's enforcement with Canada & Mexico....

As a Canadian I can safely say this has " damaged relationship with a good neighbor "

World has changed, It IS NEVER WISE to OVERPLAY an old formula....This tactics MAY have worked in the past....BUT NOW many are fed UP with unilateral misquoting of FACTS.....

BUT everyone learns the hard way with lot of damage done in the process...so much for tariff.....

Majority of stocks are on sale.....black Friday sale.....

IF there is room in your portfolio, pick up everything on sale....prices are way down...even below 200 DMA an ideal time to buy.....

YES there is lot of uncertainty BUT life goes ON even on Wall Street....

BUY whatever you know well and looks good.....

Here is my last week :

Last week Down 8.02%

YTD UP 8.31%

Here is my portfolio weighting :

SHOP       17.62%

GOOG      17.25%

TSLA        11.17%

AAPL       10.61%

SMCI         9.04%

NVDA        8.75%

AVGO        8.30%

MSFT        6.97%

MU            3.88%

UBER       3.64%

RIOT        2.83%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell

On my health front, heart seems to be working fine, next echo & ecg and its results to be discussed on July 11th, by my Cardiologist, in the meantime medication continues and working on gaining weight...Thanks for all your prayers & best wishes.....

Saleem  

Bought UBER.NE @ $45.14 in Toronto...

 Bought UBER.NE in Toronto @ $45.14....

Sold BTCC.TO @ $16.06 in Toronto

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Every US market dip is a buying opportunity....

 US market is in a tizzy, every one-off news is taken as a " major trend "

Technicians have missed many buying opportunities " so now they are short big time "

When any group of traders are " unanimous " in their conclusions.....then no market " accommodates them "

SO....buy first thing after open and hopefully by end of Monday you could be happy with your decision to buy buy buy....

Serious money IS being made by doing gutsy purchasing on bad days....

US market will remain zig zag till October...so get used to playing " zig & zag "

About US market it IS totally different  " this year more volatility "

Still we are near all time highs......

Here are my results for last week after so many zig / zag...

Last week down 2.67%

YTD UP 16.33%

Here is my portfolio weighting :

GOOG        16.78%

TSLA          11.97%

SHOP         11.03%

SMCI          10.30%

AAPL         10.00

NVDA          8.74%

AVGO         8.44%

MSFT          6.67%

BRK            6.03%

MU              3.79%

BTCC          3.43%

RIOT           2.82%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Bought SHOP.TO in Toronto @ $175.00....

 Bought SHOP.TO in Toronto @ $175.00

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell

Saleem

US stock market making new HIGHS....NICE !!!!

 US stock market is making new all time highs.....

Nasdaq showing " renewed strength " ignoring all skeptics....

Gold @ new all time high....again.....

Bitcoin basing near $95K to $99K.....

NVDA moving towards new highs.....

AAPL on the move again....

META on an uninterrupted tear....20 straight days and counting....

Even MU is coming to life despite adjusting realistic margins....

SMCI had the best GAINS in a long time......

A well diversified portfolio is working like a charm.....

HAD my best week last week......

Last week UP 11.13%

YTD UP 19.00%

Here is my portfolio weighting :

GOOG       19.38%

TSLA         14.06%

AAPL        10.96%

AVGO           9.99%

SMCI            9.81%

NVDA           9.77%

MSFT           7.45%

BRK              6.74%

MU               4.25%

BTCC           3.91%

RIOT           3.68%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

SOLD SHOP @ $121.65 in AH in Nasdaq.....

 Sold SHOP @ $121.65 in AH in Nasdaq.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

US stock market may not exceed 8% in 2025....

 US stock market in last 6 trading weeks is displaying " jitteriness "

Every Friday's close leaves us wondering about Monday's open

This week may decisively turn negative....

All this churning & trading below 50 DMA for most Mag 7 stocks is not a confidence builder...

Something got to give very soon....

I may start reducing my exposure ASAP

Please book profit wherever & whenever it comes.....an environment of " singles NOT homerun "

Here is my last week's results :

Last week UP 1.97%

YTD UP 7.87%

Here is my portfolio weighting :

GOOG          17.71%

SHOP           17.21%

AAPL              9.48%

AVGO             8.87%

NVDA             8.61%

TSLA              8.04%

SMCI              6.82%

MSFT             6.82%

BRK                6.09%

MU                 3.60%

BTCC             3.56%

RIOT              3.19%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sold UBER.NE @ $46.50 in Toronto.....

 Sold UBER.NE @ $46.50 in Toronto....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Added 100% GOOG.NE @ $31.94 in Toronto....

 Added 100% GOOG.NE @ $31.94

Bought UBER.NE @ $39.90

All purchase in Toronto after open

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

US stock market in " Battle of Tariff "

 US Started 25% Tariff.... Canada & Mexico has started " tit for tat Tariff " and may escalate further.....

That was the las thing US stock market needs NOW.....

DeepSeek AI was enough of a challenge for US tech giants...now comes Tariff war.....

Reaction could be swift again......

More earnings are due this week.....

Monday PLTR NXPI

Tuesday GOOG AMD

Wednesday QCOM ARM UBER

Friday Jobs report....

GOOG may be the best this week......

AMD may finally be better than expected 50/50 chance

Quality of portfolio matters in challenging markets...stay with the-best.....

Here is my last week "

Last week Down 6.96%

YTD UP 5.90%

Here is my portfolio weighting :

AAPL       12.17%

GDXJ       11.91%

TSLA       11.16%

AVGO      10.83%

NVDA        9.87%

SHOP        9.59%

MSFT        8.56%

SMCI        6.64%

GOOG      6.02%

BTCC       4.66%

MU           4.44%

RIOT        4.15%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

PS....on health front... challenges continues, treatment ongoing, test & monitoring ongoing....my guess, another 60 days needed to get to where I could be health wise...thanks to Stocktrader & Simon for your ongoing messages & prayers.....I need prayers until full recovery.....

Saleem

Sold SHOP.TO @ $161.18 in Toronto....

 Sold SHOP.TO in Toronto @ $161.18....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

US stock market making new highs.....

US stock market making new all time highs in S&P 500 .....

Earnings are on tap from key companies this week....

Wednesday MSFT, META TSLA

Thursday AAPL 

Expecting UPBEAT guidance from all of the above....

Biggest surprise may come from AAPL....which has been downgraded by many analysts based on Chinese iPhone sales....BUT the surprise may be on AI implementation in coming quarter...thus I remain OPTIMISTIC....

Market has been doing better than expected with S&P 500 being the leader.....Nasdaq may jump into leadership this week....followed by DOW.....

Here is my results from last week :

Last week UP 3.74%

YTD UP 12.10%

Here is my portfolio weighting :

SHOP       14.28%

AVGO       13.03%

GDXJ       12.63%

AAPL       12.56% 

TSLA        12.25%

MSFT          9.98%

SMCI           8.49%

GOOG         6.46%

BTCC          5.24%

RIOT           5.08%

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Added 100% AAPL.NE @ $32.50 in Toronto.....

 Added 100% AAPL.NE in Toronto @ $32.50.....

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

US stock market in " happy mode "

 US stock market is in happy mode as President-elect Trump is ready to take over his new job in few hours.

Lot is expected from President Trump administration ....

President Trump is expected to sign " record number of Executive orders " starting Tuesday...

This expectations puts US Stock market in a very happy place

YES...we are entering a " President Trump honeymoon period"......

I am expecting US Stock market to run higher in new record highs in a hurry.....

TRY to take advantage of this " bullish set up "

Many sectors have become " highly volatile "....try to steer away from those.....

YES...world markets are open on Monday including Toronto and may move higher ahead of US markets which opens on Tuesday.....

Here are my results from Last week "

Last week UP 6.76%

YTD UP 8.92%

Here is my portfolio weighting :

SHOP     14.56%

TSLA      13.55%

AVGO     13.30%

GDXJ     12.98%

MSFT     10.15%

SMCI      8.28%

AAPL      6.82%

GOOG    6.66%

BTCC     5.53%

MU         4.72%

RIOT      3.45%

Good luck in 2025!!!

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Added 45% SMCI.NE @ $10.57 in Toronto....

Added 45% SMCI.NE @ $10.57 in Toronto...

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

2025 challenging US stock market continues....

 US stock market is displaying technical deterioration in major Indices.....

Even the strongest stocks are on the weak side.....

CES did the-most damage to " quantum frenzy "

Even NVDA was " evasive " in terms of how the business is going....round & round answers given.....

2025 looks like a " negative year " after 2 years of frenzied gains....

As they say " First 5 trading days sets the tone for rest of the year "

Tone is down down down.....

This year of 2025 will find most traders " NOT READY FOR A DOWN MARKET "

Speculative stocks are being crushed 40% @ a time.......

Hard to recover from such a beating.....

There is really no way to hide from a " bear market "

IF you are in the market, you will be negative unless you go for " Money Market " OR T Bills "

Not much of a hope I can share unless you get very very lucky with your stocks....or your timing is PERFECT.....

SO keep CASH on hand for end of the year bargain hunting.....

Good luck with your own take and comfort level.....

Here is my week result :

Last week Down 1.78%

YTD UP 3.99%

Here is my weighting :

SHOP         15.79%

GDXJ         13.79%

AVGO        13.65%

TSLA         13.57%

MSFT        10.76%

AAPL           7.62%

GOOG         7.06%

SMCI           6.59%

BTCC          5.41%

RIOT           3.35%

MU              2.41%

Next post when I buy or sell or on Sunday as usual!

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Bought MU.NE @ $22.65....

 Bought MU.NE @ $22.65 in Toronto...

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

Sold MU.NE @ $24.35......

 Sold MU.NE @ $24.35 in Toronto.....

Portfolio GOOG AAPL AVGO MSFT BTCC TSLA RIOT GDXJ SMCI

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

US stock market to be extremely selective.....

 2024 US stock market performance is in history books....

DOW UP 13% went UP the-least, S&P 500 +23.31% ( 25% with dividend reinvested ) was the second best while Nasdaq 29% went UP the-most.....

5 years average return 11.33% for entire stock market

Where you invest matters, returns were almost TRIPLE IF you compare with small cap IWM which was UP 10.03%.....to almighty Nasdaq.....29%.....

BUT many investors / traders prefer to focus on small cap over & over....hoping to hit many home runs...BUT history does NOT support that thesis...generally in the end small cap crash & burn to horror of many traders.....

Actual performance proves with history of Wall Street that Nasdaq has been a " much stronger & SAFER bet than other Indices " with almost AUTO PILOT mode....BUY IT & leave it alone......BUT so hard to follow this winning formula.....

AGAIN for 2025 Nasdaq should beat even in a much more challenging environment.....

Please DO NOT take 2025 as easy to beat and make easy money....It IS going to be " MUCH MUCH TOUGHER "

Earnings are not supporting expectations of OPTIMISTIC traders....

TOO MANY " EUPHORIA PUNDITS " making outlandish targets about many " super speculative stocks "....which by end of 2025....may shock believers....

Making money requires " realistic expectations "

Making money requires " diversified strategy in many sectors "

Making money requires " PATIENCE & CONVICTION "

Changing strategies on " so called opinion " does not work out

REACTING to near term issues also hurts.....

Think of quarterly expectations, instead of " ticker reaction "

Try to RELAX with your portfolio.....It IS NOT KENTUCKY DERBY...not a horse race either...

SO WHAT...IF you are behind after week 4.....think end of 2025 which IS what really matters.....

SO take a good look @ your strategy & composition of your portfolios, generally " TRENDS DO NOT CHANGE OVERNIGHT "

In any portfolio of 10, 4 will exceed your expectations while 6 will lag.....nothing wrong with that as long as you stick to your winners and do not over trade.....sometimes laggards becomes strong by end of the year.....

HOMEWORK MATTERS......

GAME PLAN MATTERS.......

No matter what you do, good luck in 2025.....

Here is my 2 day result of 2025 :

UP 5.77%

Here is my portfolio weighting :

AVGO         16.04%

GDXJ         15.29%

MSFT         12.34%

TSLA         12.29%

MU               9.24%

AAPL           8.88%

GOOG         8.00%

SMCI           7.64%

BTCC          6.37%

RIOT           3.91%

Next post when I buy or sell or my usual " Sunday full report "by 6 PM EST...

BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.

Saleem

2024 ......

 Here is how my 2024 ended.....

Last week down 4.50%

YTD UP 62.45%

Good luck to all in 2025.....

Saleem