Last 3 years US stocks have performed well against 30 years average of 10.17% for S&P 500...
Nasdaq last 3 years back to back are as follows :
2023 Gain of 53.81%
2024 Gain of 24.88%
2025 Gain of 9.77% YTD
IF we add UP 3 years gain ....88.46%......
Last 3 years was the year of AI....where many companies excelled and was well publicized....
Traders were too wrapped up in their old trading ways instead of " daily monitoring of their "thesis "
Traders need to be their " own biggest critic " and make changes / adjust quickly IF results do not match / exceeds benchmarks
It has been easiest 3 years in markets.....
I believe, we are entering much tougher US stock market going forward.....
Markets may pullback in a hurry as many " bullish news are priced IN "
Just for the-record...here is 3 worst year for Nasdaq back to back :
2000 DOWN 36.84%
2001 DOWN 32.65%
2002 DOWN 37.58%
Total loss of 107.07% in 3 straight years......
History is a great wake UP call for " COMPLACENCY "
Here is my result for last week :
Last week UP 10.05%
YTD UP 36.96%
Here is my weighting on 46% exposure :
AAPL 33.87%
GOOG 33.80%
UBER 21.22%
SMCI 8.96%
CRCL 2.15%
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
2 comments:
Hello Salem,
Congrats on another stella week!
Simon
Hi Saleem,
Your picks have been amazing this year! Congrats on the YTD gains :)
Last week: +1.63% (YTD: -5.88%)
Portfolio Leaders: AEVA DAVE(from purchase) SNAP FEIM
Portfolio Laggards: BKSY CVCO FATN
It was another week of moderate gains for the markets, and the portfolio performed overall similarly, despite volatility in individual names. There doesn't seem much to stand in the way of higher and higher as anything thrown at the market is absorbed within a day. Even though individual names are experiencing high volatility, the pullbacks are bought, spikes are eventually sold, and then resting happens, all symptomatic of a positive bull market. I continue to suggest that huge gains in names forestall selling until next year as capital gains "can't" be taken now, so many investors are just holding through the ups and downs and are being rewarded. I still try to approach stock picking from a valuation standpoint, and therefore earnings season is important to me, and I hope I have correctly positioned for some of the next big up moves.
Holdings: SNAP FEIM MGNI OSIS UPST DAVE LFMD CVCO III FATN AEVA SSYS BKSY, cash 0%
Stocktrader
Post a Comment