Markets fought its way back from deep loss.......
Markets are facing too many "determined shorts"
Some shorts have the "support of charts...which is awful under the circumstances"
This market has @ least one thing going for it now.....fed aggressive support.....
Fed support "is a good thing"
So...how one plays this market......
Again ...we are back to "conviction"...
Most stocks are down big.......So...if you are trading out.....then you are locking loss after loss..not a good way to start 2008.........
It is important to look beyond 2008......to 2009.......sounds too far...not really if you can calculate/predict where your stocks MAY be trading in 2009........
I do NOT know of any other way to go through this difficult market...which WILL remain challenging in spite of fed aggressive support.....
Market NEEDS time to work through "technical damage"....it may take several grinding months to find a strong base......
The earliest which I can see is April that we may have finished "support building process"..I have seen "too many broken markets that follow a similar pattern"
Techs will under perform for Q1 & Q2...a seasonally slow period plus spending challenges by consumers & business.......imho
AAPL ER was a major disappointment....they have "never guided this low from consensus"
Markets will go through AAPL news like any other negative news.......
Different markets needs different strategy...currently long term bets are more desireable.....
If you must trade...buy on down day's and sell quickly when profit is there.....otherwise you will face another down day & profit will disappear....
In my portfolio :
AGU UP 10 cents..rating 100/75...1st target $63.43........
AKNS down 35 cents.....not rated by www.stockconsultant.com
CSIQ UP 79 cents..rating 65/60 breakout predicted @ $19.17..1st target $22.19
LDK down $1.53... rating 100/70...1st target $42.08......
MA UP $7.55...rating 80/50..1st target $197.97.....
UEX.TO UP 12 cents....no rating.....
Overall I had a "green day"..after many day's.......
Today I covered my Canadian $ short...for a 11.95% forex gain Net Net....shorted @ $1.0980 covered today @ 97.85......commission included on both sides....This trade gave me 125% gain in total equity from Nov 7th to Jan 22....in 75 calender days......one of my proud achievement....
Why did I cover...because as of today...there is a 50 basis higher differential in Canadian Interest rate vs US..as Canada lowered by 25 basis vs 75 basis by US Fed......expecting Canadian currency to gain against US$ from these lower level...some forex experts are predicting that CAD will gain 400 points to 1.02......
In other stocks :
CMED rating 80/90..1st target $48.16
SOHU rating 85/95..1st target $44.65
AAPL rating 85/85..1st target 136.06 (downside after ER)
RIMM rating 100/80..1st target $100.10
Please keep monitoring FA & news on all your stocks.
BLOG does NOT give buy or sell.
Saleem
17 comments:
Saleem,
Thanks for the target info on LDK and RSI... on other stocks.
SALEEM
thanks for your information and constant prodding of us weeker mortals.
Appreciate it
Madmax
Hi Madmax,
All mortals are weak...but together we are stronger by sharing.
Saleem
Saleem,
What are the two numbers 80/90? on the target info. Thanks
At 10 PM world markets advancing.
AAPL +4.00$ at DAX
US Market futures very weak. S&P -10
Time to start looking around for the next leaders. RIMM & Focus Media picked at Barrons.
Anyone with any bright ideas bring them forward.
Standards
Hi standard,
I like FWLT for a relief rally play. IH bought in @ $129.75. It closed around $126. I am thinking about entering tomorrow if we have selling pressure in the morning but the afternoon session looks like a rebound could occur. They and I think that the global infrastructure stocks could bounce up nicely but they also warn to take profits relatively fast as it will sell off again on the next down leg of the bearish market. CMED looks tasty too. Just a couple of thoughts.
Something to laugh...
If you had purchased $1,000.00 of Delta Air Lines stock one year ago you
would have $49.00 left.
With Enron, you would have had $16.50 left of the original $1,000.00.
With WorldCom, you would have had less than $5.00 left.
But, if you had purchased $1,000.00 worth of beer, one year ago, drank all
of the beer, then turned in the cans for the aluminum recycling REFUND, you would have had 214.00.
Based on the above, the best current investment advice is to drink heavily
and recycle.
Doug,
IBD showed companies BWA,FLS,SPX,WGOV all moving up on higher volume.
They all have something to do with flow valves, meters, etc.
WGOV had great earnings report and good move up. Appear to be basic machinery needed in developing countries, correct me if I'm wrong.
Standards
standardhigh,
Thanks for sharing you AAPL woes.
In your blog message you noted AAPL was +4.00$ at DAX. Where do you get current stock prices on foreign exchange?
Bruce,
Look here. Not realtime. But informational.
http://money.cnn.com/data/premarket/
S
To AAPL fans
A late news clarification by Piper Jeffery on AAPL. AAPL has always been conservative on their next qtr calls. They easily expect to beat the $1.09 street number next qtr. They see no slow down in their operations. PJ is market maker for AAPL stock.
S
Standard,
Thanks for the info. Keep the faith (more fun when they're going up than going down)!
Well let's go, bring on the new day!
[LDK] Today 07:12am
LDK Solar Co LTD ADR Lazard Raised LDK to Hold from Sell
It's over....Guess AAPL should just close their doors and give it up, sell their products and other assets for salvage, and call it a day.
Just my opinion...not!
Trying to have some fun....
Hi Standards,
The numbers are rating by www.stockconsultant.com
I respect their technical read for trading big time......
First number is overall rating
Second number is trade rating
So based on RIMM 100/80 from yesterday....they expect RIMM among their highest in overall points...and also 80 in trade out of possible 100 is pretty good also.
Saleem
Hello on a sunny Wed morning!
Have some fun guys and a good laugh out loud.
Hey here's a question.
Who will win the super bowl?
I'll take the Pat's and give 3.
Gonna be a close one.
Interesting that retail and brokers are getting the pump right now. I would think that ICE and the others are making huge sums of cash.
Thoughts?
S.
BOARD and Standard hello....
thanks Saleem for letting us use his board for venting!
I Will take the Giants--Hurray!
As for ICE It will close Green as will NYX and my MA is up a buck already!
LDK is coming back too.
This is an amazing market. Asia closed up over 10% for the day. We could too.
Just some thoughts.
peace---Madmax
Hi Madmax,
BLOG belongs to all visitors....As they are contributing on a daily basis with thoughts ideas & humour.
Super bowl is of great interest to the market......
They are a leading indicator based on which team WINS !!!
Saleem
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